STATEMENT OF SENATOR EDWARD M. KENNEDY
"OUR BUDGET REFLECTS OUR VALUES"

April 4, 2001


For Immediate Release
Contact: Jim Manley
(202) 224-2633

The Democratic budget plan stands in stark contrast to the Republican plan. Budgets are a reflection of our real values, and these two budgets clearly demonstrate how different the values of the two parties are. In political speeches, it is easy to be all things to all people. But the budget we vote for shows who we really are and what we really stand for.

There are the four major criteria by which we should evaluate a budget plan: 1. is it a fiscally responsible, balanced program? 2. does it protect Social Security and Medicare for future generations of retirees?, 3. does it adequately address America's urgent national needs?, and 4. does it distribute the benefits of the surplus fairly amongst all Americans?

By each of these yardsticks, the Republican budget fails to measure up. The Democratic budget offers a far sounder blueprint for building America's future.

I. Is it fiscally responsible?

Once the Social Security and Medicare surplus are reserved for the payment of future benefits, the available surplus is projected to be $2.7 trillion over the next ten years. The heart of the difference between the Democratic and Republican budgets is how each would use this surplus. The Democratic proposal would divide the surplus into thirds; allocating $900 billion for tax cuts, $900 billion for priority programs, and $900 billion for debt reduction. This contrasts sharply with the Republican plan, which would consume 90% of the surplus on tax cuts.

When President Bush cites $1.6 trillion as the cost of his tax cut, he neglects the increased cost - more than $400 billion - of interest on the larger national debt caused by the tax cut. He ignores the $240 billion cost already added to elements of the Bush plan by House Republicans. His plan also ignores the $200 billion cost of revising the Alternative Minimum Tax to prevent an unintended increase in taxes on middle income families, and the $100 billion cost of extending existing tax credits through the decade. In reality, the Bush tax cut will consume $2.5 trillion over the decade.

By consuming $2.5 trillion of the $2.7 trillion available surplus on tax cuts, the Republican budget would leave virtually nothing over the next ten years— o to strengthen Social Security and Medicare before the baby boomers retire, o to begin the quality prescription drug benefit that seniors desperately need, o to provide the education increases that the nation's children deserve, o to train and protect the American workers whose increased productivity has proved essential to our strong economy, o to advance scientific research, o to improve the nation's military readiness, o to improve the security of family farmers, and o to avoid burdening our children with the debt that we have accumulated.

After the Bush tax cut, we will not have the resources to meet these urgent challenges. There will simply be no money left.

The Democratic plan strikes a balance between tax cuts and addressing these important national priorities. It provides $900 billion dollars to finance tax relief for the American people. This amount would allow a tax rate cut for all taxpayers, plus marriage penalty relief, and a doubling of the child tax credit. It would also enable us to implement several of the most widely supported targeted tax cuts such as making college tuition tax deductible and providing a tax credit for long term care costs.

I support a substantial tax cut, such as the one I just outlined, but not one that is so large that it crowds out investment in national priorities like education, health care, worker training and scientific research. Not one that is so large that it jeopardizes Medicare and Social Security. Not one that is so large that it threatens to return us to the era of large deficits.

By authorizing a third of the surplus for spending on the nation's most important priorities, the Democratic plan would enable us to improve education by reducing class size and enhancing teacher quality, to provide senior citizens with meaningful assistance with the cost of prescription drugs coverage, to extend health care coverage to many uninsured families, and to expand worker training opportunities and scientific research that will strengthen our economy. These are important initiatives that have overwhelming public support. The Democratic budget gives us the resources to pursue these goals. Unfortunately, the Republican budget does not.

By reserving one third of the surplus for debt reduction, the Democratic plan provides a safety value should the full amount of the projected surplus not materialize. We are not spending every last dollar of the $2.7 trillion, we propose to hold $900 billion in reserve. If the full surplus materializes, it will be used to pay down the debt. If projections fall short, we will have a cushion.

$2.7 trillion is only a projected surplus. CBO itself recognizes that a small reduction in the growth rate of the economy would reduce its surplus estimates by trillions of dollars. Its projection for the next decade is based on a growth rate which the economy has only achieved in 5 of the last 35 years. Forecasting a budget surplus over ten years is no more reliable than forecasting the weather ten years in advance. Recent events should vividly remind us how difficult it is to predict the economy even one year ahead. CBO acknowledges that there is a 35% chance that the on-budget surplus will be less than half the size it has projected...less than half! Without a large reserve, Social Security is vulnerable to a new raid if the projected level of surplus fails to materialize.

II. Does it protect Social Security and Medicare?

In order to truly protect Social Security and Medicare, the budget we adopt must 1) reserve the entire Social Security surplus and the Medicare surplus to pay for future retirement and medical benefits; and 2) devote a substantial portion of the available surplus to financially strengthening Social Security and Medicare by reducing long term debt. The Democratic budget does both, and the Republican budget does neither.

The Social Security and Medicare surpluses are money that workers deposit with the government through the payroll tax to pay for their future Social Security and Medicare benefits. Just because the government does not pay all those dollars out this year does not make us free to spend them. Over the next ten years, Social Security will take in $2.5 trillion more dollars that it will pay out and Medicare will take in $400 billion more dollars than it will pay out. But every penny of this will be needed to provide Social Security and Medicare benefits when the baby boomers retire.

The Republican budget fails to set the entire $2.9 trillion aside to cover the cost of future Social Security and Medicare benefits. It only protects $2 trillion of that amount. The remaining $900 billion is used for other purposes. This seriously threatens the retirement benefits of current workers. While the Bush budget is vague on just how this money will be used, it appears that more than $500 billion of it will be used to finance the Administration's scheme to create private retirement accounts. I believe it would be terribly wrong to take money out of Social Security to finance risky private accounts.

The Republican budget is even more reckless in its treatment of the $400 billion Medicare surplus. The Bush Administration would give the Medicare dollars no special protection. It would co-mingle them in a contingency fund available to pay for their tax cuts and new spending.

The threat posed by the Republican budget to Social Security and Medicare is very real. It invades the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds by removing $900 billion that already belong to these essential programs.

Democrats are committed to keeping Social Security and Medicare strong. We do this by reserving all payroll taxes to pay for the retirement and medical benefits that are now promised to seniors under current law. No qualifications, no exceptions. This commitment means that workers' payroll taxes are not available to fund income tax and estate tax cuts, private retirement accounts, or new spending.

The contrast between the Democratic and Republican budgets on Social Security and Medicare could not be greater. The Democrats would use $900 billion of the available surplus to strengthen Social Security and Medicare by paying down the debt. The Republicans would remove $900 billion from Social Security and Medicare - dollars that workers specifically paid to the programs for future benefits - and they would spend these dollars for other purposes.

III. Does it adequately address America's urgent needs?

Many of America's most critical unmet needs are in the areas of health care and education. The surplus affords us an unprecedented opportunity to address these national concerns. Unfortunately, the Republican budget seriously short-changes them both.

One of our highest health care priorities should be assisting seniors with the cost of prescription drugs. America's seniors desperately need access to prescription drugs, and President Bush only provides a placebo. He says the right things about how important it is to provide prescription drugs, but the numbers in the Republican budget prove that his words can not pass the truth in advertising test.

There can be no question about the urgent need for a Medicare prescription drug benefit. A third of senior citizens–12 million people–have no prescription drug coverage at all. Only half of all senior citizens have prescription drug coverage throughout the year. Meanwhile, last year alone prescription drug costs increased an average 17%.

The Bush budget provides only $153 billion over 10 years to finance prescription drug assistance for seniors. That amount is woefully inadequate. A real drug benefit available to all senior would cost more than twice that amount. However, even the $153 billion which the Administration purports to provide is not real. These are not new dollars. They come out of the $400 billion Medicare surplus which was improperly removed from the Medicare Trust Fund.

The Democratic budget provides $311 billion to make prescription drugs affordable for seniors. Unlike Republican proposals, the Democratic plan would provide drug coverage to all seniors through Medicare. It is the only real way to solve the problem.

The Republican budget also fails to address the needs of the nation's uninsured. An uninsured family is exposed to financial disaster in the event of serious illness. The health consequences of being uninsured are even more devastating. In any given year, one-third of the uninsured go without needed medical care. The chilling bottom line is that eighty-three thousand Americans die every year because they have no insurance. Being uninsured is the seventh leading cause of death in America. Our failure to provide health insurance for every citizen kills more people than kidney disease, liver disease, and AIDS combined.

Candidate Bush severely criticized the Clinton-Gore Administration for what he described as an inadequate response to this crisis. But the budget President Bush has presented does nothing meaningful to expand health coverage. In this time of unprecedented budget surpluses, isn't it more important to assure that children and their parents can see a doctor when they fall ill than it is to provide new tax breaks for millionaires?

The Democratic budget provides $80 billion new dollars over the decade to extend health care coverage to uninsured families. Over the last few years, we have made great strides providing health coverage for children. However, there are many more uninsured children who we have not yet reached. These children, and their entire families, desperately need access to health care. The most effective way to provide health coverage is to insure the entire family. We are committed to taking this next step.

Given how much President Bush has talked about education, it may come as a surprise to hear that education is one of the national priorities he has seriously shortchanged. But, sadly that is what the facts of the Republican budget show. The claim that President Bush increases funding for the U.S. Department of Education by $4.6 billion or 11.5% this year is the purest fantasy. Smoke and mirrors produced these numbers.

President Bush counts $2.1 billion that President Clinton and the 106th Congress approved last year as part of this year's increase. If President Bush did nothing on education, almost half of "his increase" would happen anyway. The real increase that he proposes is $2.4 billion—only 5.7% above a freeze. And $600 million of the $2.4 billion increase is needed just to keep up with inflation. In reality, President Bush proposes only $1.8 billion in new money for education next year, a mere 4 percent above inflation.

President Bush's education budget is a step backwards. It does not keep up with the average 13 percent annual increase Congress has provided for education over the last 5 years, and it will not enable communities and families across the country to meet their education needs.

This year, schools confront record enrollments of 53 million elementary and secondary school students, and that number will continue to rise steadily, reaching an average six percent increase in student enrollment each year. President Bush's budget fails to keep pace with population growth in schools, and under the budget he proposes, federal education support per student may well decrease over the next ten years.

I applaud President Bush for making the reauthorization of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act a top priority. I applaud him for challenging the nation to "leave no child behind." But I am disappointed that he has not backed his words with the resources needed to produce the action that we all agree is necessary. The Republican budget will leave many children behind.

In sharp contrast, the Democratic budget would increase investment in education by $150 billion over the decade. It is the second largest spending commitment in the Democratic plan.

This will provide the resources which will enable us to keep pace with the needs of the steadily expanding number of students in our public schools. It will allow us to significantly reduce class size, so that teachers can give individual students the attention they need. It will provide for better professional development for teachers and for greater access to information technology in the classroom. It will make after school programs available for children who currently have no where constructive to go. And, it will make college financially attainable for many of the students who simply cannot afford it today. It would be extraordinarily shortsighted to turn our back on these national responsibilities.

IV. Is it fair to all Americans?

All these program cuts are made to finance the Republican tax cut, and the tax cut they would enact is grossly unfair. In reality, the wealthiest 1% of taxpayers, who pay 20% of all federal taxes, would receive over 40% of the tax benefits from Bush's plan. Their average annual tax cut would be more than $54,000, more than a majority of American workers earn in a year.

The contrast is stark. Eighty percent of American families have annual incomes below $65,000. They would receive less than 30% of the tax benefits under Bush's plan. The average tax cut those families would receive each year is less than $500. Twelve million low-income families who work and pay taxes would get no tax cut at all under Bush's plan. If we are going to return a share of the surplus to the people, that certainly is not a fair way to do it.

Because the Bush tax cut is slanted so heavily to the wealthy, it is possible to enact a tax cut that costs less than half of President Bush's proposal, yet actually provides more tax relief for working families. That is what the Democratic tax cut would do.

The Democratic tax cut proposal incorporated in our budget would cost $900 billion. It would provide a tax cut for everyone who pays income tax. In addition, it would provide tax relief for the 12 million working families that the Bush plan ignored. These low income families pay substantial payroll taxes, and they too deserve relief. The Democratic plan also provides help to couples currently hurt by the marriage penalty. A tax cut of this size would also allow us to help families by doubling in the child tax credit, making college tuition tax deductible, and providing a tax credit for long term care costs. Such a program would provide greater tax relief for a substantial majority of taxpayers than the far more expensive Bush plan. That is because the tax benefits are distributed fairly.

A close look at President Bush's budget only confirms that indeed we can not have it all. There is no way to provide massive tax cuts, eliminate the national debt, and meet the nation's priority needs. This Republican budget is a fantasy.

In essence, President Bush is asking working families to sacrifice while the wealthiest families in America collect far more than their fair share. This Republican budget threatens our prosperity and ignores the most fundamental national needs. It does not have the support of the American people, and it does not deserve their support.

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