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  Decision 2000:

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New Millennium

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Addendum A

Analysis prepared by Kenneth E. Thorpe, Ph.D., Vanselow Professor of Health Policy and Director, Institute for Health Services Research, Tulane University Medical Center

Incremental Health Care Reform Proposals

Proposal 1. Refundable Tax Credit

  • Who Is Eligible? Uninsured adults between 101 percent and 150 percent of poverty.
  • What Benefits? Those eligible would receive a package of benefits with an actuarial equivalence to the Blue Cross, Blue Shield Standard Option plan in the Federal Employees Health Benefit Program
  • How Administered? Eligibility for the programs would be initially established by the states. Annual adjusted gross income would be used to establish eligibility. Those enrolling in the program would receive a federal tax credit. The credit could be claimed as part of the income tax filing process, or on an advanced payment option. Under the advanced payment option, enrollees would receive a monthly voucher to purchase insurance, or alternatively the enrollee could direct the voucher directly to the health plan. The actual magnitude of the tax credit would be reconciled each year when the enrollee files their federal income tax.
  • Contributions. The value of the credit would average $2800 per adult for those living at the federal poverty line. At 150 percent of poverty, the credit would reduce to $2,400. Employers or the individual enrollee would be responsible for paying the difference between the credit and the cost of the health plan.
  • Program Financing. The federal cost of the program of fiscal years 2000 through 2004 would total $57 Billion.* The costs of the program would be financed through savings in federal disproportionate share payments ($6.8 Billion with the remaining costs of the program financed through the federal budget surplus). This would require the equivalent of 5.4 percent of the surplus.
  • Expected Number of Participants. A total of 2.8 million formerly uninsured adults are expected to enroll.

Proposal 2. Medicaid Expansion for Uninsured Adults through 100 percent of poverty

  • Who is Eligible? Uninsured adults living in poverty.
  • What Benefits? Current Medicaid program in each state.
  • How Administered? Same as current Medicaid program.
  • Contributions. Enhanced federal match--current Medicaid matching rate plus 10 percentage points. States would also receive additional outreach funds, pegged at 10 percent of program costs.
  • Program Financing. Federal costs estimated at $50 billion over the next five fiscal years (FY 2000-2004). Program financed through savings in federal disproportionate share payments ($8.5 billion) and dedicating the equivalent of 4.5 percent of the federal budget surplus ($41.5 Billion) toward the cost of the program.
  • Expected Number of Participants. Approximately 3.5 million previously uninsured adults.

Proposal 3. Medicaid Enrollment Outreach

  • Who is Eligible? All pregnant women and children currently eligible for Medicaid.
  • What Benefits? Current Medicaid program benefits.
  • How Administered? Current Medicaid rules.
  • Contributions. States enroll eligibles under current federal/state matching rules. Each state receives additional 10 percent of program costs for enrollment outreach programs.
  • Program Financing. Estimated at $17 billion over next five fiscal years. Paid for by federal disproportionate share savings ($2.4 billion) and dedicating the equivalent of 1.6 percent of federal budget surplus ($14.6 billion) toward the program.
  • Expected Number of Participants. Approximately 3.2 million previously uninsured.

Proposal 4. Subsidies for Temporarily Unemployed Persons

  • Who is Eligible? Unemployed and uninsured persons with employer-sponsored insurance prior to their unemployment spell, and those eligible for unemployment insurance benefits for up to 6 months of coverage.
  • What Benefits? Health insurance provided by previous employer.
  • How Administered? Similar to current state administration of unemployment insurance benefits.
  • Contributions. Subsidy limited to 100 percent of COBRA-health insurance costs. Full subsidy for workers with monthly income at or below poverty, phasing out proportionately at 250 percent of poverty. Federal subsidies limited to 6-month period.
  • Program Financing. Federal costs estimated at $12.8 billion over the next five fiscal years. Costs financed through savings in federal disproportionate share payments ($2.4 billion) and the equivalent of 1.1 percent of the federal budget surplus ($10.4 billion) over the next five fiscal years.
  • Expected Number of Participants. Approximately 1 million currently uninsured and unemployed adults.

Tables 1-3 are attached.

* The program would cost $105 Billion if phased out at 200 percent of poverty and would cover 5.4 million uninsured adults.