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Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company  
The New York Times

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April 1, 1999, Thursday, Late Edition - Final

SECTION: Section A; Page 1; Column 1; Metropolitan Desk 

LENGTH: 1751 words

HEADLINE: Many Hospitals in New York Quit Plan for Fewer Doctors

BYLINE:  By LISA W. FODERARO 

BODY:
Two years ago, dozens of teaching hospitals across New York State embraced an unusual pilot program to ease the nationwide glut of physicians. The Federal Government would pay bonuses to the hospitals if they trained fewer doctors, just as it once paid corn farmers not to grow corn.

But half those hospitals have now dropped out of the plan after finding that they cannot function without the low-cost labor provided by doctors in training, known as residents. The development, which comes even as the Government is planning to expand the New York pilot program nationwide, raises doubts about Federal efforts to curb the number of doctors in the nation, and it illustrates a conundrum of health care today. While society at large can ill afford to have an oversupply of doctors, which experts say drives up the cost of health care, hospital officials cannot afford to run their institutions without the trainees who will add to that oversupply.

"The financial benefits to teaching hospitals are still so great that there's an incentive to train more physicians, whether they are needed in the long run or not," said Edward Salsberg, director of the Center for Health Workforce Studies at the State University in Albany.

The pilot program in New York was devised by officials from the Greater New York Hospital Association, an influential trade group. It was approved in early 1997 by the Federal agency that pays for training of physicians, the Health Care Financing Administration, which hoped to reap eventual savings of hundreds of millions of dollars.

Essentially, hospitals needed to cut 20 percent to 25 percent of their residents over six years to receive the subsidies.

But the hospitals found that in many cases, they were replacing the trainees -- fully qualified medical doctors who log 80-hour weeks and earn about $50,000 a year -- with more established doctors, who work a more typical 40-hour week and earn about $150,000.

"It became clear how indispensable the residents are to providing high-quality care on a day-in, day-out basis," said Kenneth E. Raske, president of the hospital association. "When you actually began to go to the drafting board and engineer it, that's when all the problems began to pop up. It became clear that they couldn't do it."

The hospitals that have dropped out -- mostly large private institutions like New York Hospital and Beth Israel Medical Center -- knew what the program entailed when they entered it. But they had been counting on two things that never materialized: declining patient populations, which would reduce the need for residents, and sharp cuts in the Medicare reimbursements paid to hospitals to train doctors.

The two dozen hospitals that have remained in the program have, in fact, experienced declines in their patient loads, making it easier for them to pare their resident positions.

The Westchester Medical Center in Valhalla, N.Y., eagerly joined the program but soon discovered that the "replacement costs were extraordinary," said Edward A. Stolzenberg, the center's director.

Center officials estimated that it would actually cost the institution $1.5 million a year to stay in the Federal program. So three months ago, they withdrew and are now planning to put back most of the 40 resident positions they had cut.

While costs were the main reason that Westchester Medical bowed out, the less tangible benefits of running a robust training program also affected the decision. "Residents keep you on the cutting edge," Mr. Stolzenberg said. "They push the faculty to a higher standard of care. When a student is watching you and you're teaching, it's harder to get away with short cuts."

For years, health care experts have decried the overabundance of doctors in the United States. A surplus of doctors, particularly specialists, pushes up health costs, economists say, and drains Medicare, the Federal insurance program for the elderly that provides $7.4 billion a year nationally to hospitals for medical training. In 1995, one group, the Pew Health Professions Commission, recommended shutting down a quarter of the nation's medical schools.

On the face of it, an excess of doctors could be expected to reduce costs, based on theories of supply and demand. But most health economists say the opposite is true. The oversupply of doctors in many specialties and in urban areas of the country, they say, results in unnecessary tests, procedures and referrals to other doctors.

"In the case of medicine, supply and demand are not dependent," said Mr. Salsberg of the Center for Health Workforce Studies. "If you have 100 doctors, they will keep themselves busy, and if you have 200 doctors, they will keep busy also. If a specialty gets crowded, you wind up with subspecialists, and the danger is they will have a narrower perspective and you can end up with more services being delivered."

New York State, which trains 15 percent of the country's physicians, is by far the nation's largest producer of new doctors. That is one reason the Health Care Financing Administration was interested in pursuing a pilot program in New York. The agency is now writing regulations that would expand the program nationwide, as required by the 1997 Balanced Budget Act.

Health care analysts and even some hospital officials say Medicare's reputation over the years as a generous provider of training dollars has led, in part, to the continuing expansion of hospital residency programs. Medicare pays hospitals up to $100,000 a year for each resident they train, and there was no ceiling in early 1997 on the number of residents that a hospital could have.

Some health care experts say hospitals have traditionally made money on the trainees, though officials at the Greater New York Hospital Association deny that, pointing out the costs of employment benefits, administration costs and the inefficiencies associated with rookie doctors.

The 49 hospitals that joined the Federal program in New York, officially known as the Medicare Graduate Medical Education Demonstration Project, were facing a radically altered health care landscape that offered unprecedented financial pressures.

First, there was managed care, newly established in New York and dictating price concessions from doctors and hospitals. Then, there was deregulation. At the start of 1997, New York lifted the state-mandated rates that hospitals could charge insurers, a move that ushered in a new era of competition among hospitals for managed-care contracts.

Finally, Medicare itself seemed poised to scale back the reimbursements to hospitals for training doctors as Congress hashed out the terms of the 1997 Balanced Budget Act. A separate proposal before the Medicare Commission was even more worrisome, removing the financing for graduate medical education from Medicare altogether and handing it over to a special appropriations budget so that New York would have to compete with other states for a limited pool of money.

"A lot of hospitals thought inpatient capacity would plummet like a stone," said Patricia J. Wang, a senior vice president of the Greater Hospital Association of New York, "and if it drops, you can't have all these residency programs."

Hospital officials in New York reasoned that the Federal subsidy program would help end their reliance on medical residents, who treat patients under attending physicians' supervision, and would help them withstand expected cuts in Medicare funds. Under the pilot program, Medicare continues to pay participating hospitals as if those young doctors were still there, slowly phasing out the payments over six years.

But for many hospitals, the sky never fell. The average length of time a patient stays in the hospital has dropped, but the number of admissions has stayed about the same or even risen. At the same time, the Balanced Budget Act lowered the reimbursement rate just slightly, although it did cap the number of residents that Medicare would pay to train at 1996 levels.

Perhaps most importantly, the Balanced Budget Act created its own incentive for hospitals to shrink residency programs. Though the subsidy was smaller than New York's pilot program, it did not entail the specific reduction targets or timetables. Hospital officials realized that they could derive some benefit from downsizing, but at their own pace.

The hospitals in the New York program were also struggling to cut their residency programs while adhering to state rules, adopted in 1989, that limit the workloads of medical residents to 80 hours a week.

"They were trying to meet two contradictory objectives," said Bruce C. Vladeck, former administrator of the Health Care Financing Administration, the Federal agency that runs the pilot program.

"One objective was to reduce the number of residents and the other was to reduce the number of hours the residents are working," said Mr. Vladeck, who is now the senior vice president for policy of the Mount Sinai N.Y.U. Medical Center and Health System. "They weren't able to square that circle."

To date, 26 hospitals have left the program, including three hospitals in the Mount Sinai consortium and five in the New York University consortium that defected early last month. Officials of the Health Care Financing Administration, which is part of the United States Department of Health and Human Services, are certainly not pleased that so many participants have pulled out but assert that the program has still succeeded in raising awareness.

"We're not surprised that some of the hospitals have chosen to withdraw because the residency reductions are demanding," said Dr. Robert Berenson, director of the administration's Center for Health Plans and Providers.

The retreat by so many hospitals from the New York program may come as a surprise to critics from other states who contended that the Federal Government was playing favorites in giving New York such a sweet deal. If the original participants had all stayed in the program, the Government would have paid the New York hospitals $400 million in incentives. But that was $300 million less than what the Government would have spent if the current system was continued.

"This ought to pretty conclusively demonstrate to people that this was not a giveaway of largess from the Federal treasury to New York hospitals," said James R. Tallon, president of the United Hospital Fund, a research and philanthropic group. "It was partial assistance for a very difficult shift."  http://www.nytimes.com

LOAD-DATE: April 1, 1999




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