POLITICS - The Gore Glitch?
By Brody Mullins, National Journal
© National Journal
Group Inc.
Saturday, June 05, 1999
Republican presidential hopefuls are exploring whether an
adept challenger could portray Al Gore as a threat to the growth
of the Internet--and turn one of the Vice President's strongest
issues against him. GOP advisers insist that more Americans would
enjoy high-speed Internet service and more companies would have
access to cyber customers if the Federal Communications
Commission--which the Republicans view as Gore's pet agency--had
not proposed regulations that discourage the powerful Baby Bell
phone companies from building high-speed lines for Internet
access.
The new, ultrafast lines, called ''broadband'' in
industry lingo, can carry information dozens of times faster than
those in place today. But they would also require expensive
upgrades to the traditional phone infrastructure.
Already, millionaire publisher Steve Forbes has tried to
link the government regulations to Gore. Campaign Manager Bill
Dal Col has promised that the Forbes campaign will ''clearly
point out all the roadblocks and impediments that the inventor of
the Internet has put in its very path.''
Meanwhile, advisers to Texas Gov. George W. Bush and Sen.
John McCain of Arizona are examining how much traction the
Internet issue may have in the presidential campaign. While
strategists acknowledge that the issue will not be a big concern
for most voters, they believe it could play well with certain
groups, including high-tech campaign contributors, residents of
rural areas, and suburban swing voters.
At the heart of the issue are regulations, generated by
the 1996 Telecommunications Act, forcing the Bell companies
either to create separate Internet subsidiaries or to share their
lines with competitors and lease out valuable parts of their
networks at rates the Bells consider too low. As a result, most
of the Bells have refused to build these billion-dollar networks,
arguing that to do so would be to give their competitors a free
ride. The Bells say that the regulations should apply only to
their monopoly voice networks and not to the nascent broadband
market. But the five FCC commissioners have proposed applying the
regulations to both networks--and refused to use their authority
to limit the restrictions.
''These regulations are designed to limit (the Bells')
power in the local voice market, but they are mistakenly being
applied to the entirely different advanced data market,'' said
McCain. The Arizona Republican blames the regulations for
preventing all but 2 percent of U.S. households from gaining
access to high-speed service. In rural states, such as early
presidential battlegrounds Iowa and New Hampshire, the percentage
is even lower.
Republicans are not the only ones who believe the
regulations inhibit the Internet's growth. Roy Neel, a longtime
Gore adviser and now the top lobbyist for the Bells at the U.S.
Telephone Association, said nationwide high-speed Internet
service ''is simply not going to happen in the short term unless
(the Bells) are allowed to build and operate networks in an
efficient way. (The Bells) already have facilities in just about
every home and business and are in the best position to upgrade
them for broadband services.''
Another potential problem for Gore is the charge that the
FCC has created an uneven playing field by imposing the rules on
the Bells' phone lines but not on cable lines. By allowing AT&T
Corp. to enter the broadband market through its purchase of cable
giants Tele-Communications Inc. and MediaOne Group, the
government is fostering a cable monopoly in the broadband
Internet market, some Republicans reason. Critics say AT&T will
ignore low-income households and high-cost rural areas for years
while it recoups its multibillion-dollar investment in cable from
lucrative businesses, urban customers, and residents of affluent
areas.
''A year from now, we may have one choice for (high-speed
Internet service) instead of 5,000 for (traditional Internet
service),'' said Gregory C. Simon, a former White House domestic
policy adviser to Gore and now a lobbyist for the OpenNet
Coalition, which wants to require cable companies to open their
networks to competitors as the Bells already do.
The broadband regulations have generated interest among
those in Congress who consider themselves plugged into Internet
issues. A number of bills have been introduced in both Houses
that would remove the regulations on the Bells, and one bill in
particular would require cable companies to share their networks
with Internet providers.
How can a Republican candidate justify blaming Gore for
the regulations? After all, they were implemented by the FCC, an
independent regulatory agency. Neel and Simon, for example, blame
the FCC for approving regulations that are ''out of line with the
Vice President's vision.''
Republicans counter that the Clinton-Gore Administration
nominated the five FCC commissioners. And Gore--as the
Administration's telecommunications guru--''has to be held
accountable for his appointments,'' said Rep. W.J. ''Billy''
Tauzin, R-La., the chairman of the House Commerce Committee's
telecommunications panel and an informal adviser to the Bush
campaign.
Furthermore, the telecommunications industry has seen
Gore's stamp on FCC regulations since early in his first term,
when the Vice President was instrumental in nominating his high
school friend and longtime adviser Reed Hundt in 1993 to head the
agency as it prepared to implement the landmark and long-awaited
Telecommunications Act of 1996--which would spawn the
controversial regulations. Though Hundt's replacement, William E.
Kennard, does not enjoy a chummy friendship with Gore, he has, so
far, followed Hundt's lead.
''Clearly the FCC is getting its marching orders from the
White House,'' said Tauzin. The GOP strategists think that by
linking Gore to the broadband regulations, they may find the
Achilles' heel in Gore's otherwise tech-savvy reputation. ''Gore
has some vulnerability there,'' said Tauzin, who plans to
introduce legislation to remove the regulations. And Thomas J.
Tauke, an informal Bush adviser and top lobbyist for Bell
Atlantic Corp., said that a number of Republican candidates are
''beginning to focus on the issue.''
Republicans hope to use that focus to siphon off some of
the high-tech money that might otherwise go into Gore campaign
accounts. Telecom equipment makers such as Lucent Technologies
Inc. and Nortel Networks (Northern Telecom Ltd.) are prime
targets, as are such major computer manufacturers and chipmakers
as Compaq Computer Corp. and Intel Corp. ''It doesn't take a
rocket scientist to see that computer makers and chipmakers want
to sell more computers and therefore need less regulation on
broadband networks,'' said an official at BellSouth
Telecommunications Inc.
Tauzin, who visited Silicon Valley in mid-May to explore
fund-raising opportunities for Bush, found that high-tech
executives are pleased that Gore ''can talk broadband issues
well.'' But talking the talk is not the same as walking the walk,
Tauzin pointed out, adding: ''They are not quite happy with the
way he walks.'' Tauzin said that companies dislike the FCC
regulations and Gore's stance on legislation that would limit Y2K
computer liability and raise export restrictions on encrypted
software.
Republican candidates are also examining whether
broadband politics could interest rural-state voters, who are
less likely to have access to high-speed Internet service. The
issue may be a double-barreled victory for Republicans: By
decrying a government regulation that may hamper the availability
of broadband services in rural areas, a candidate would
simultaneously be exhibiting the anti-regulatory credentials that
tend to appeal to voters in conservative primaries.
Suburban voters are a third target group. Demographic
studies show that suburban residents are most likely to have
Internet access and are also more likely to be aware of the
issue, said Tauke, a former Iowa congressman. ''Whether it is a
college student, yuppie, or soccer mom . . . they are the ones
who are the most active in the usage of the Internet and take the
greatest part in the world of e-commerce. If they become aware
that they can get a better service and aren't, interest in the
issue will spread from a relatively small one to a broader
group.''
Gore's Defense
But the Gore campaign maintains that the Internet Vice
President is immune to attacks on the FCC regulations because
voters credit him with the Internet's rapid growth. At least, so
say a half-dozen current and former Gore advisers. ''I don't
think they will actually have any significant effect on Gore,''
said Simon, the former White House aide.
Just in case, the campaign is prepared to fire back. ''Al
Gore's policies have created the greatest explosion in broadband
investment that any country has ever seen,'' said Hundt, the
longtime Gore aide and former FCC chairman.
According to Hundt, Gore will claim that his policies
have created the best information economy in the world--and the
lowest costs for Internet access--resulting in an information
economy ''that is the primary creator of the economic miracle of
low inflation and high employment, high growth, and high
productivity.''
Hundt also predicted that Gore will point to three
actions that have accelerated the construction of high-speed wire
line, wireless, and cable networks: Gore will take credit for
championing the Telecommunications Act of 1996, which unleashed
hundreds of upstarts into the local phone market; and for the
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, which created today's
competitive wireless industry by authorizing the FCC to auction
the wireless airwaves. Hundt thinks that Gore will highlight the
FCC's role in scuttling AT&T's acquisition of Baby Bell SBC
Communications Inc. in 1997--a veto that Hundt administered as
FCC chairman--led ''directly'' to the long-distance behemoth's
decision to invest $ 90 billion to enter the high-speed Internet
market via cable. According to Hundt, ''Those three actions are
almost precisely a vindication of the commitment to build an
information superhighway that Gore has undertaken.''
GOP and Gore strategists agree that the presence of
McCain in the presidential race will elevate Internet policy in
the national debate. ''McCain will make it an issue just by being
in the race,'' said Neel. As chairman of the Senate Commerce,
Science, and Transportation Committee and the only Republican in
the Senate to vote against the Telecommunications Act, McCain has
gained unique credibility on the issue by fighting the FCC
regulations at every turn.
McCain, who shies from making personal attacks, told
National Journal that he will highlight the regulations on the
campaign trail, but will not hold Gore accountable for them.
Instead, he blames Congress for enacting the 1996 law and the FCC
for improperly implementing it.
While other GOP candidates will tie Gore to the
regulations, McCain has promised to emphasize that the rules have
created a ''digital divide'' in American society between those
who are connected to the Information Age and those who have been
bypassed.
McCain practiced his populist message in a mid-May speech
as he introduced a bill to allow the Bells to skirt the broadband
regulations. ''Information Age telecommunications services can
serve as the great equalizer, eliminating the disadvantages of
geographic isolation and socioeconomic status that have carried
over from the Industrial Age. But unless these services are
available to all Americans on fair and affordable terms,
Industrial Age disadvantages will be perpetuated.''
Campaign strategists in both parties say the current
battle over Gore's support of a program to hook up schools and
libraries to the Internet by 2000 could foreshadow how voters
will react to broadband Internet issues in the presidential race.
The program, which is known as the e-rate, has been a lightning
rod for attacks on Gore's overall Internet policies. Last year,
McCain led the fight to abolish the program, saying it was funded
by an illegal $ 2 billion tax on phone bills--dubbed the ''Gore
tax.'' As a result, the FCC sliced nearly $ 1 billion from its
funding.
But now it's back. On May 27, the FCC restored the $ 1
billion--inciting Republicans who claimed that more than 95
percent of the money will pay for ''bureaucratic overhead and
ripping up walls, repairing carpets, and even putting in new
computers,'' according to a Republican National Committee press
release. But legislation to kill the program has stalled in both
chambers and McCain has quietly removed himself from the attack--
perhaps sensing an early Gore conquest.
If the e-rate battle is a harbinger of the broadband
battle to come, it shows that GOP efforts to paint Gore as the
Internet's regulator may succeed only in taking the gloss off
Gore's high-tech finish. On the other hand, given the rising
importance of the Internet to middle-class suburban voters, a
skillful Republican candidate could find this election's key
voting group--the ''cyber moms.''
Brody Mullins covers telecommunications for National
Journal Group's CongressDaily.