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Copyright 2000 The Washington Post  
The Washington Post

November 15, 2000, Wednesday, Final Edition

SECTION: A SECTION; Pg. A37; THE FEDERAL PAGE

LENGTH: 756 words

HEADLINE: Postal Service Expects Loss, Job Cuts; Lower Rate Boosts Proposed by Panel May Worsen USPS Finances, Official Says

BYLINE: Ben White , Washington Post Staff Writer

BODY:


The U.S. Postal Service expects to lose $ 480 million and to cut as many as 13,200 jobs in fiscal 2001, according to figures it released yesterday.

Postal officials suggested that the losses could be even greater because the $ 480 million figure does not reflect the rate increases recommended on Monday by the independent Postal Rate Commission that were significantly lower than the increases USPS requested.

The Postal Service had asked for a 6 percent across-the-board increase in rates while the commission approved only a 4.6 percent rise, including a penny boost in the cost of a first-class stamp, to 34 cents. The rate commission reduced the rate increases sought by the Postal Service for periodicals and other forms of mail.

Einar Dyhrkopp, chairman of the USPS Board of Governors, said the Postal Service's financial condition is expected to worsen in coming years despite cost-cutting and improvements in productivity.

Postal Rate Commission Chairman Edward Gleiman, however, disputed the Postal Service's gloomy financial forecast, saying the lower rate increases will actually help the agency's bottom line by increasing volume.

"Our guess is that they would do slightly better with the smaller increases that we recommended," he said. "They ought to be able to break even during the current fiscal year. And unless they incur more than $ 500 million in unforeseen expenses, they could even be sitting on a little bit of a cushion."

The financial report predicting the loss of $ 480 million and the need to cut 13,200 "workyears" was released by Richard Strasser, USPS chief financial officer, at a meeting of the Board of Governors yesterday. The board will meet again next month, when it is expected to approve the increases proposed by the rate commission.

The 13,200 "workyear" cuts, which would be in addition to 6,200 such cuts made in fiscal 2000, could come from eliminating full-time and part-time jobs as well as reducing overtime.

After several years of posting profits, the Postal Service is expected to report a loss for the recently ended fiscal year, possibly between $ 300 million and $ 400 million.

The Postal Service receives no taxpayer funds to cover its operations and is expected to break even every year.

Revenue has steadily declined, however, due to increased competition from private carriers as well as the growing popularity of e-mail, online banking and online bill payment--Internet-age services that cut directly into the agency's largest traditional revenue sources.

Postal officials, as well as many on Capitol Hill, argue that the laws governing postal operations are badly out of date, making it impossible for the agency to compete in a rapidly changing economy.

A Postal Service spokesman said yesterday that the mounting losses also stem from other factors, including increased fuel costs.

Without legislation giving the Postal Service more flexibility to change rates to reflect increased costs, the spokesman said, the agency will have a hard time stemming operating losses in the future.

Rep. John M. McHugh (R-N.Y.), chairman of the House subcommittee on the Postal Service and a major proponent of reform legislation, said he was surprised not by the expectation of a revenue shortfall but by the fact that it was not higher.

"It's simply a circumstance of what we have been watching for the last four years continuing: the inability of the Postal Service to compete more effectively because of 30-year-old rules and regulations," he said.

Reform legislation, endorsed once again by the Board of Governors yesterday, has languished in Congress for years, blocked largely by opposition from the United Parcel Service and others.

The ultimate future of the legislation is in doubt partly because McHugh is term-limited as chairman of the subcommittee and it is not clear who will succeed him.

There is also concern among observers of the Postal Service about Gleiman's plans to retire as chairman of the rate commission early next year. Even those who oppose his decisions respect his fiscal skills and knowledge of postal operations. Appointments to the commission are made by the president and confirmed by the Senate.

"I don't think you need to have a person that necessarily knows a great deal about the Postal Service," Gleiman said of selecting a new chairman. "You have to have someone who is smart, who is willing to work hard and who is analytically or quantitatively inclined and doesn't come in with a fixed agenda."

LOAD-DATE: November 15, 2000




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