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Copyright 2000 Journal Sentinel Inc.  
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

December 23, 2000 Saturday FINAL EDITION

SECTION: NEWS; Pg. 03B

LENGTH: 690 words

HEADLINE: Diesel rules may raise prices, industry says;
New EPA requirements for cleaner fuel will take effect in 2006

BYLINE: KENNETH R. LAMKE AND RICK ROMELL of the Journal Sentinel staff

BODY:
Remember last spring when stricter federal requirements for cleaner reformulated gas were followed by short supplies and a 40% increase in prices at the pump?

Well, the same possibility exists for the bus and trucking industry when new federal requirements for cleaner diesel fuel take effect in 2006, a spokesman for Wisconsin diesel fuel retailers said Friday.

The federal Environmental Protection Agency announced the new diesel rules Thursday.

"Any time you have a little wrinkle in the distribution system, you can have a big price impact," said Bob Bartlett, executive director of Petroleum Marketers Association of Wisconsin. The association represents gas station and truck stop operators. Both sell diesel fuel, with truck stop operators selling more.

"I remember when the EPA passed the RFG rules," Bartlett said.

"The industry said we can do phase one, but we're not sure we can do phase two. Well, sure enough, there was a huge price spike, and Milwaukee paid," Bartlett said, referring to the phase two requirement that took effect April 1.

Gas prices in the Chicago-Milwaukee market skyrocketed to the highest in the nation, although they dropped back two months later after partisan political finger-pointing and an increase in supplies.

The new EPA diesel regulations aim to cut overall emissions from buses and trucks by 90%, in part by tightening the sulfur emission standard from the current 500 parts per million to 15 parts per million, a 97% reduction.

Bartlett said that the industry argued for a reduction to 50 ppm of sulfur content -- still a 90% reduction -- but lost.

"It worries us," Wisconsin Motor Carriers Association president Thomas A. Howells Jr. said of the pollution rules. "We don't want to be painted as being opposed to clean air, because we all want clean air, but a 97% reduction -- that's pretty significant."

The added fuel cost to trucking companies could be relatively small compared with recent market-driven fluctuations in the price of diesel.

Nationwide, diesel currently averages $1.54 at the pump, up nearly 50 cents from the price 18 months ago, although down from $1.67 a gallon in October. The EPA, meanwhile, estimates its rules will raise the price of diesel by 4 to 5 cents a gallon -- the same price increase it predicted for the second phase of the rmulated gas requirements. But the rules will make trucks more expensive too, and Howells said even small bumps in fuel costs hurt in an intensively competitive industry in which even the strongest firms post single-digit profit margins.

Besides, he said, trucking companies this year have been hit not only by rising fuel prices, but also by higher insurance costs, higher interest rates and a slump in the market for used trucks.

"Right now, two cents (more) a gallon is too much for a lot of our members, because some of them are on the ropes," Howells said.

But George Gaspar, oil industry analyst for Robert W. Baird & Co., said that while there will be a cost to meet the new EPA diesel requirement, the regulation is absolutely necessary.

"The American Petroleum Institute says there will be a 15 cent to 50 cent a gallon increase because, they say, it will cause a shortfall in supply," Gaspar said.

"I don't buy that. The industry's got to move on this. It can be done, and it should be done."

Diesel is about one-third of the total motoring fuel sold in this country, Gaspar said, adding that it made no sense to clean up gasoline and not diesel fuel.

"I believe the cost will be less than 15 cents a gallon," Gaspar said.

What caused the huge gas price increase of 60 to 70 cents per gallon in spring was the fact that the phase two requirement took effect just as gas supplies and prices were tightening because of other market forces, Gaspar said.

"The EPA erred in putting the mandate in effect at that time. They could have waited until this year," he said.

The EPA should closely watch market supplies and prices in the year before the 2006 deadline, and, if prices are high and supplies are tight, defer the new diesel regulations until the situation improves, Gaspar said.

LOAD-DATE: December 23, 2000




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