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Copyright 2000 Gannett Company, Inc.  
USA TODAY

June 14, 2000, Wednesday, FINAL EDITION

SECTION: MONEY; Pg. 1B

LENGTH: 1671 words

HEADLINE: Explainable -- or gouging? Lots of factors add up to high prices, but you've got to wonder

BYLINE: Dina Temple-Raston

BODY:
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"I am going to the store less often and only going out when I
absolutely have to. My daughter and my son live in Chicago, where
gas is more than $ 2 a gallon. Only rich people can afford to drive
anymore." -- Charles Streveler, retired steelworker
<>


Gas prices have been keeping Charles Streveler, 74, a retired
steel mill worker in Fort Myers, Fla., housebound. With regular
gasoline topping more than $ 1.55 a gallon at his local filling
station, Streveler says he can't afford to go out.


"When you are on a fixed income, you have to watch everything
you are doing," Streveler says. "I am going to the store less
often and only going out when I absolutely have to. My daughter
and my son live in Chicago, where gas is more than $ 2 a gallon.
Only rich people can afford to drive anymore."


What a difference two summers can make. As 1998's vacation season
began, gasoline prices were hovering at or below $ 1 a gallon --
record lows after adjusting for inflation. Now, the Energy Department
says this summer's average price will be the highest in 15 years
once you factor in inflation.


The average family logs about 12,000 miles between April and September,
and they will spend $ 160 to $ 170 more for gasoline this season,
the department says.


There isn't any one thing that has caused gasoline prices to rocket,
and chances are they'll come back to earth before Halloween. Blame
an unfortunate confluence of events ranging from reduced crude
oil production, stricter environmental regulations requiring cleaner
gasoline in about a third of the country and particularly strong
demand for gasoline.


Start with crude oil prices. For the past year, the Organization
of Petroleum Exporting Countries has curbed oil production in
a bid to push crude prices up from $ 10 a barrel in 1998 to $ 21
to $ 28 a barrel. OPEC managed to wipe out a worldwide glut and
deplete much of the world's oil reserves.


On Tuesday, crude oil prices rose 3% to a three-month high because
of concern that OPEC won't reverse its policies and ease the shortfalls
when it meets June 21 in Vienna. OPEC producers have been blaming
rising U.S. gasoline prices -- not low oil inventories -- for
pulling up oil prices 33% in six weeks. As a result, some ministers
have said they may wait to boost production until the fourth quarter.


Crude oil for July delivery rose to $ 32.73 on the New York Mercantile
Exchange on Tuesday -- the highest price since March 8, when oil
reached a nine-year record of $ 34.37. Prices have risen 78% in
the past year.


With inventories already thin, the Environmental Protection Agency's
long-expected move on June 1 to require a higher level of reformulated
gas only worsened an already tough situation.


"Over the past 30 years every time the EPA would implement a
regulation the industry would always manage to meet it without
a tremendous increase in price," says Bill O'Grady, oil analyst
at A.G. Edwards in St. Louis.


"While a lot of things have played into the latest price increases,
I can't help but wonder if we have reached the magic moment in
which we can't clean this stuff up at a price people are willing
to pay," he says.


Patent trouble

The switch to reformulated gas happens every summer as required
by the Clean Air Act. Congress passed it in 1990 in a bid to reduce
vehicle emissions and, by extension, summer smog in some of the
country's most congested cities and their surrounding areas. In
the winter, they return to conventional fuel.


The list of target cities encompasses most of the East Coast from
Boston to Richmond, Va., as well as Milwaukee; Chicago; Covington
and Louisville, Ky.; St. Louis; Dallas; Houston; and Sacramento,
Los Angeles and San Diego.


The cities were singled out for their high emissions during the
summer months, according to Don Zinger, assistant director in
the EPA's clean air office. Other cities could be added to the
list if they begin to rise above the agency's acceptable pollution
levels, he said.


The switch to the latest grade of reformulated gas wasn't supposed
to be so hard. To ease compliance for the states, the program
was cut into two phases. The first ran from 1995 through 1999
and, according to the EPA, slashed smog-forming pollutants by
about 17% compared with conventional gasoline. The second phase
kicked off Jan. 1, when refiners had to begin producing the new
gasoline. It is supposed to reduce smog-forming pollutants by
27% from conventional gasoline.


While the switch to reformulated gas has historically caused a
blip in prices, this year's change is complicated by a patent
dispute.


In February 1994, California-based Unocal received the first of
five patents for the reformulated gasoline it developed. Unocal
has said its scientists came up with their formula independently.
Critics, and in particular six major refiners, say Unocal was
working with the state of California and had no right to patent
the recipe for the new gas.


So far, the courts have sided with Unocal. In 1997 a federal district
court in California awarded the company 5.75 cents a gallon in
damages for infringement of the company's patent. Since the decision,
other refiners have been reluctant to produce the reformulated
gas out of concern they will have to pay royalties to Unocal.


What's new about new gas?

Reformulated gas is a slightly modified recipe for what is already
going into your tank. It has the same basic components as conventional
gasoline.


An extended refining process creates a gas that evaporates less
quickly than conventional fuel -- sending less fumes into the
air -- and contains a chemical that improves combustion in a car's
engine but doesn't crimp its performance.


The new reformulated gas needed for the second stage of the Clean
Air Act was always expected to be slightly more expensive because
the refining process was more complicated. But the EPA had expected
it would cost refiners 3 to 5 cents more a gallon to make; it
never expected the price spikes of recent weeks.


Federal officials met with officials from eight major oil refineries
in Washington on Monday, trying to get to the bottom of the skyrocketing
price of reformulated gas. In particular, they focused on the
30-cent to 50-cent increases in Milwaukee and Chicago this month.


EPA and Energy Department officials declined to provide details
of the meeting on the record. Privately, they said administration
officials pressed refiners for some explanation.


Executives blamed supply. Energy officials said that by their
calculations inventories were below normal, but adequate, and
that didn't explain the heartland prices. The price of wholesale
gasoline dropped 4 cents in Chicago on Tuesday, according to the
American Petroleum Institute.


"We're suspicious of gouging," says EPA spokesman Dave Cohen.
"Why are Milwaukee and Chicago having problems that other reformulated
gas cities aren't seeing? It doesn't make any sense."


Cohen said the EPA has sent investigators to the Midwest to find
out for themselves.


The Federal Trade Commission has been reviewing the evidence and
is expected to decide by the end of the week whether to open a
formal investigation, according to people familiar with the inquiry.
The commission is working with the state attorneys general in
Illinois and Wisconsin and is reviewing information from EPA investigators.
If the FTC opens a formal investigation, companies will have to
turn over internal documents so investigators can look for evidence
of collusion.


No relief for a while

In the next few months, there won't be much relief, industry analysts
say. And, as other provisions of the Clean Air Act kick in, consumers
could be facing a roller coaster ride at the pump for some time
to come.


In 2004, for example, refiners will have to come up with a formula
for a gasoline with much less sulfur so the improved catalytic
converters planned for 2004 model cars will work.


That could produce the same kind of problems that are affecting
consumers now. It could be months, analysts say, before consumers
see prices come down.


"We're 10 weeks away from salvation," says A.G. Edwards' O'Grady.
"After Labor Day we go back to winter gas formulations, demand
will ease and we'll have an idea about what OPEC is going to do.
So this problem is going to go away, just not soon."


Contributing: Jayne O'Donnell




Why prices are rising

At $ 1.63 a gallon, the average U.S. price for a gallon of unleaded
gasoline is up 14 cents in the past month and 52 cents from a
year ago, the government says. The main reasons:


* OPEC

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries had been holding
back oil production for the past year, driving up prices.


* New regulations

Starting June 1, 17 cities across the country were required to
use a cleaner-burning reformulated gas, which costs refiners more
to make and costs more at the pump.


* Demand

Traditionally, gas prices rise in the summer as people take to
their cars for road trips and vacations. Historically, prices
fall after Labor Day.


Cleaner gas on sale here

The Clean Air Act requires metropolitan areas with the worst smog
problems to take part in the reformulated gas program. These areas
are required to sell the new blend of cleaner-burning gasoline:
 
CityAvg. price
Baltimore$1.56
Boston$1.63
Chicago$2.13
Covington, Ky.n/a
Dallas-Fort Worth$1.51
Hartford$1.77
Houston$1.51
Los Angeles[+3] $1.56
Louisville$1.79
Milwaukee$2.04
New York[+1] n/a
Philadelphia$1.57
Richmond[+2] n/a
Sacramento$1.61.
San Diego$1.63
St. Louis$1.61
Washington$1.60
National average$1.63

[+1] Long Island $ 1.67


[+2] Norfolk $ 1.52


[+3]Number is for Greater Los Angeles


Source: Lundberg Survey


TEXT WITHIN GRAPHIC BEGINS HERE

Retail price for unleaded gasoline
Feb. 199992 cents
June 2000$1.55


GRAPHIC: PHOTO, Color, Scott Olson, Reuters; GRAPHIC, B/W, Genevieve Lynn, USA TODAY, Source: www.ela.gov; Fill 'er ouch: Station in Chicago, one of the cities that must use more expensive reformulated gas, advertises gas for well over $2 a gallon. Federal officials are checking into the 30-cent to 50-cent increases there this month.

LOAD-DATE: June 14, 2000




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