LEXIS-NEXIS® Congressional Universe-Document
LEXIS-NEXIS® Congressional
Copyright 1999
Federal News Service, Inc.
Federal News Service
MARCH 17, 1999, WEDNESDAY
SECTION: IN THE NEWS
LENGTH: 5399 words
HEADLINE: PREPARED STATEMENT OF
PROFESSOR TODD J. ZYWICKI
GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF LAW
BEFORE THE
HOUSE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE
COMMERCIAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE LAW SUBCOMMITTEE
SUBJECT - THE
BANKRUPTCY REFORM ACT OF 1999
BODY:
It is a pleasure and an honor to testify before this Subcommittee today on the
topic of Perspectives on Consumer
Bankruptcy Reform. I have practiced, taught, and published articles on the subject of consumer
bankruptcy. Most recently I am a co-author with Judge Edith H. Jones of the forthcoming
article,
"It's Time for Means-Testing," which will be published in the B.Y.U. Law Review, a copy of which Judge Jones
and I have previously inserted into the record of the Hearings on the
Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1999. I am also the author of a working paper on
"Credit Cards in
Bankruptcy."
The current state of the consumer
bankruptcy system has been well- documented. Year after year, consumer
bankruptcy filing rates spiral upward at record rates to reach all time highs, even as
unemployment, interest
rates, inflation, and business
bankruptcies plunge downward to record lows. The need for consumer
bankruptcy reform is pressing. The
Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1999 (the
"Act") is a strong step in the right direction.
The central provision of the Act as it relates to consumer
bankruptcy is the creation of a
"means-test" for high-income debtors. As I noted in my prior testimony, see Statement of
Todd J. Zywicki, March 11, 1999, the debate over means-testing boils down to a
simple question: Should high-income debtors, who can repay a substantial
portion of their debts without significant financial or other hardship, be
required to do so?
Clearly, the answer to this question is
"yes," for the reasons I have previously stated. To summarize, means-testing would
have no impact whatsoever on poor individuals and families. It would have no
impact on those suffering chronic health problems that prevent them from
maintaining a steady job. In short, it would have no impact at all on those who
need
bankruptcy the most: the poor,
unemployed, and unfortunate debtors who comprise the bulk of the
bankruptcy system. Thus, claims that
"means-testing is mean-spirited," not only are unfounded, but appear to lack an understanding of the
means-testing provisions contained in the Act.
Although means-testing leaves low-income debtors unaffected, it identifies a
discrete and well-defined class of high-income debtors who have the ability to
repay a substantial portion of their debts without significant financial or
other hardship. Estimates vary, but it appears that only 10% or less of
bankruptcy filers would be subject to means-testing. But because means-testing targets
high-income debtors with a substantial ability to repay, those debtors could
repay 60%-70% of their debts, which amounts to a total of over $4 billion.
Thus, even if adopting means-testing would increase administrative costs (an
erroneous conclusion, as will be discussed in a moment), it would do so only by
$100-$200 million a figure that is dwarfed by the financial recoveries enabled
by means-testing. Establishing a statutory means-testing role also would bring
needed uniformity, predictability, fairness, and confidence to the consumer
bankruptcy system. Finally, means-testing would send the crucial moral signal that
bankruptcy is a serious matter, and should not be used simply to abandon promises that
one has the capacity to keep and debts that one has the ability to repay.
The current system of policing abuse under Paragraph 707(b)'s
"substantial abuse" provision has spawned a cottage industry in trying to articulate coherent,
consistent, and fair standards for enforcing this maddeningly vague command.
This has led to very high rates of litigation and unpredictability. The
confusion of trying to interpret current Paragraph
707(b) is summarized in the case of In re Attanasio, 218 B.R. 180 (Bankr. N.D.
Alabama 1998). In that case, Judge Cohen discusses literally hundreds of
different cases interpreting Paragraph 707(b), all of which apply different
legal rules and weigh the facts differently. Surveyed cases seem to run from
finding substantial abuse when a debtor has the ability to repay 17% of their
unsecured debts over a period of 36 months in one case, to 19% over 36 months
or 31.7% over 60 months, to cases requiring 54%, or 90%, or 100%. There is no
agreement as to how much the debtor has to have the ability to pay, nor is
there any guidance as to whether the relevant period of examination is 36, 48,
or 60 months. And all this confusion is just over drawing the line as to how
much the debtor must be able to repay to constitute
substantial abuse. Similar confusion reigns over what level of income the
debtor must have to have the ability to repay. On this point, Judge Cohen
surveys roughly 200 or 300 more cases that run from as much as $19,000 per
month in income down to $500 per month. From there, the case goes on page after
page, case after case, discussing the standards, factors, and weightings that
various courts have engaged in to determine whether there is substantial abuse
in any given case. And, of course, often these decisions are not final, as
appeals to the district court and beyond often will follow.
In contrast to the current system, the means-testing provisions supplied by the
Act will streamline the system and limit the issues in a given case to a narrow
and discrete inquiry. The bottom 80% of cases will not even be impacted by
means-testing, as they will not even meet the minimum income threshold.
Similarly, the very top income earners will almost certainly be impacted by
means-testing, so there will be little litigation in those cases. Indeed, many
of those who can repay all or almost all of their debts will simply choose to
forgo
bankruptcy altogether, thereby removing those cases from the system completely. Unlike
the wide-ranging legal and factual inquiry required by the current system, as
exemplified by the Attanasio case, means- testing will focus inquiry on a
relatively small group of cases who will be borderline candidates, as most
filers will be clearly affected or clearly unaffected. And for this borderline
group, the inquiry will be far more narrowly and specifically tailored than
under the current regime. Thus, litigation should go down under means-testing,
not up. Decisions will be more predictable and uniform. And not only will the
actual fairness of the consumer
bankruptcy system be enhanced, but so will the perception of fairness in the eyes of the
public, leading to increased confidence in the consumer
bankruptcy system.
Finally, the costs of
bankruptcy reform must be weighed against the costs associated with not reforming the
bankruptcy system. If current trends continue,
bankruptcy filing rates will continue to escalate. This will lead to a need for more
judges, more trustees, and more administrative costs for everyone. Thus, to the
extent that
bankruptcy reform slows filing rates, it will be an improvement over the trends predicted if
bankruptcy reform is abandoned.It is also misguided to point to evidence of the high failure
rate for Chapter 13 cases to undercut means-testing. Standing alone, Chapter
13 failure rates are inapposite to the debate over means-testing, as they
reflect numerous factors that have little relevance to the current debate.
First, a huge number of Chapter 13 cases are filed not because the debtor
expects or desires to maximize the payout to her creditors, but to stay a
mortgage foreclosure and to pay off any arrearages. Once that task is
completed, the case is often converted to Chapter 7, but it goes in the books
as a Chapter 13
"failure." See In re Kornfield, 211 B.R. at 475. Second, many debtors simply should not
be in Chapter 13 in the first place, in that they lack sufficiently regular
income- earning patterns to make it feasible for them to complete a Chapter 13
plan. These debtors file Chapter 13 for a variety of reasons, including
a desire to gain its superdischarge, overoptimism about the ability to complete
a plan, or mistake.
Of course, those impacted by means-testing will by definition be upper-income
individuals with regular earnings, hence they should have much higher success
rates than the typical Chapter 13 case. Thus, one should not be misled by the
general failure rate of Chapter 13 cases into thinking that this may be an
accurate prediction of the likely result of the group of Chapter 13 cases
created by means-testing.
Understanding the
Bankruptcy Boom
As a nation of entrepreneurs, risk-takers, and immigrants looking for a fresh
start on life, the United States has long had a history of generous and
forgiving
bankruptcy laws. To this day, our
bankruptcy laws are among the most forgiving in the world. But the availability of
generous and forgiving
bankruptcy laws was always counterbalanced by a
strong ethic of personal responsibility and respect for promises and contracts.
This traditional attitude was personified by Harry Truman, who was confronted
by large debts arising from the failure of his Kansas City haberdashery during
the 1921 recession that rocked the agricultural Midwest. Rather than file
bankruptcy, Truman vowed to pay off his debts. As David McCullough wrote in his biography
of Truman,
"Fifteen years after the store went under, Harry would still be paying off on
the haberdashery, and as a consequence would be strapped for money for twenty
years." But he did, even after his partner filed
bankruptcy himself.
Perhaps the modem view is best personified by Dr. Robert N. Kornfield. See In
re Kornfield, 164 F.3d 778 (2d Cir. 1999). Dr. Kornfield is a
gastroenterologist in New York who
earned $472,445 in 1994, and $404,593 in 1995, before his income
"plummeted" to a
"mere" $318,217 in 1996 (his original schedules indicated an income of $276,000, but
this apparently was revised upward during the
bankruptcy case). He also had an additional amount of $390,216 in various pension or
profit-sharing plans. Finding this pittance of $318,000 impossible to live on,
Dr. Kornfield filed
bankruptcy. And well he might: How else could he be expected to meet his lease payments on
his new Landrover Rangerover (one of three cars the family owned or leased),
his annualized living expenses of $157,380 per year (including $1,200 per month
for food), the $507,000 he owed on his mortgages on a foreclosure of his $2.5
million house, and his obligations of $53,640 per year to send his children to
the most prestigious and expensive private high school
in the area? In re Kornfield, 211 B.R. 468 (Bankr. W.D.N.Y. 1997). As
Bankruptcy Judge John C. Ninfo, II, concluded in his
Bankruptcy Court opinion,
"The Kornfields appear unwilling to make any effort to reduce their.., voluntary
and excessive living expenses to enable them to pay something to their
creditors." Id. at 482.
How did we get from Harry Truman to Robert Kornfield in just a few generations?
Available evidence suggests two overriding factors that explain the
bankruptcy boom of recent years. First, is an increase in the economic benefits of filing
bankruptcy and a contemporaneous drop in the economic costs associated with filing
bankruptcy. Second, is a general decline in the personal shame and social stigma
associated with filing
bankruptcy.
The economic benefits of filing
bankruptcy are potentially large, and they get larger as one's
income and wealth rise. The most notable advantage of filing Chapter 7
bankruptcy is the ability to retain property in
"exempt" property while walking away from obligations owed to creditors. Economist
Michelle White of the University of Michigan has found that
bankruptcy filing rates are, to some degree, positively related to the generosity of
exemptions. Overall, White has found that at least 15% of households would
benefit financially from filing
bankruptcy, and that number rises if they plan strategically for
bankruptcy, such as by convening nonexempt assets to exempts assets prior to filing. See
Michelle J. White,
"Why Don't More Households File for
Bankruptcy?" 14 Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 105 (1998); Michelle J. White,
"Why it Pays to File for
Bankruptcy: A Critical Look at the Incentives Under U.S. Personal
Bankruptcy Law and a Proposal for
Change," 65 University of Chicago Law Review 685 (1998). Thus, not only did filing
rates rise after the doubling in the value of federal exemptions in 1994, but
she further estimates that adopting the National
Bankruptcy Review Commission's recommendation for a uniform federal level of exemptions
would lead to an overall increase in
bankruptcy filings of 89,000 per year. Moreover, because exemptions tend to protect
certain types of property such as houses, cars, and the like, they are
disproportionately favorable to upper- income earners who have the ability to
funnel money into these particular types of exempt properties and maximize the
value of the exemptions.
There are also substantial other economic benefits associated with filing
bankruptcy, such as the automatic stay, the stopping of the running of interest on
unsecured debts, and, of course, the discharge of debts at the end of the
process. Finally, there are substantial noneconomic benefits of filing
bankruptcy, such as peace from
one's creditors as they cease collection efforts.
At the same time that the benefits of filing
bankruptcy have risen, the costs associated with filing
bankruptcy have fallen. Most notably, the passage of the
Bankruptcy Code in 1978 ushered in an era of more generous
bankruptcy relief. Thus, several studies have shown a significant increase in the
bankruptcy filing rate following the enactment of the 1978 Code.
Perhaps the greatest cost associated with filing
bankruptcy is merely finding out about it as a viable option, or what economists call
"search costs." The search costs of filing
bankruptcy have fallen substantially in recent years. The rise of attorney advertising in
the 1980s reduced the information costs to debtors of learning about
bankruptcy as an option.The sheer number of
bankruptcy filings and the publicity it has garnered has also raised public awareness of
the
bankruptcy system. An
increasing number of
bankruptcies are the result of the
"water cooler" effect: people learning about
bankruptcy from family members, friends, or co-workers, who report that it was cheap,
easy, and put an end to creditors' collection efforts. Finally, the repeated
vision of well-known entertainers, politicians, and others using the
bankruptcy system has provided substantial
"free advertising" for the system.
Not only have the search costs of learning about
bankruptcy fallen, but the direct costs of filing have fallen as well. The large number
of
bankruptcy filings has engendered certain economies of scale that have reduced the
out-of-pocket costs of filing
bankruptcies. Thus,
"do-it-yourself"
bankruptcy books have become a staple of bookstores and even grocery store check-out
lines. The creation of so-called
bankruptcy
"mills" has reduced the costs of obtaining an attorney for the typical high-volume,
low-difficulty Chapter 7 case. Using teams of paralegals and secretaries, these
attorneys represent thousands of debtors per year, mass-producing cheap Chapter
7 petitions at record speeds.
This increase in the benefits of filing
bankruptcy and decrease in the costs has been reinforced by a striking reduction in the
personal shame and social stigma traditionally attached to the decision to file
bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is a moral act, as well as a legal and economic act. It is a decision to
repudiate one's promises, a decision not to reciprocate a benefit bestowed upon
you by another. We teach our children from a very young age to keep one's
promises because it is the right thing to do. Thus, it is not surprising that
people traditionally have felt shame from breaking one's promises and' that
repudiating them in public through the
bankruptcy system generally has been
met with social disapproval. Harry Truman repaid his debts because he thought
it was the right thing to do and to protect his good name. In today's world, it
is hard to imagine either of these factors really constraining someone in
Truman's position. To paraphrase Senator Moynihan, we have
"defined
bankruptcy deviancy downward" to the point where it has become a routine financial planning device rather
than a option of last resort.
The conclusion that a decline in the shame and stigma associated with filing
bankruptcy is responsible for the recent explosion in filing rates has been borne out in
several recent studies. See F.H. Buckley
& Margaret F. Brining,
"The
Bankruptcy Puzzle," 27 Journal of Legal Studies 187 (1998); Scott Fay et al.,
"The
Bankruptcy Decision: Does Stigma Matter?" (working paper, University of Michigan Department of Economics 1998); David B.
Gross
& Nicholas S. Souleles,
"Explaining the Increase in
Bankruptcy and Delinquency: Stigma versus Risk- Composition" (working paper, Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania 1998);
Visa, U.S.A., Inc.,
"Consumer
Bankruptcy: Causes and Implications" (1996). The findings of these studies is consistent with those of casual
empiricism. For instance, credit unions report that nondelinquent borrowers are
filing
bankruptcy at an increasing rate, with no prior effort to work out any consensual
repayment plan. The increasing number of these
"surprise"
bankruptcies suggests that
bankruptcy more and more is looked at as an option of first, rather than last resort.The
decline in the traditional shame and stigma associated with filing
bankruptcy has had its largest impact on higher-income filers. As previously noted, the
financial benefits of filing Chapter 7 are potentially greatest for
higher-income filers, who
generally have a greater ability to shield assets in
bankruptcy and to manipulate the system for their benefit through savvy
bankruptcy planning.
As a result, the residual sense of shame and stigma attached to filing
bankruptcy have had their greatest impact on restraining opportunistic filers by these
individuals. As shame and stigma decline, therefore, the marginal impact will
be felt most heavily with respect to upper-income debtors. This suggests that,
absent
reform, we will continue to see an ever-increasing number of high-income
bankruptcy filers. Thus, not only is means-testing the right idea today, but it will
become increasingly necessary in the future, as a means to counteract these
underlying trends.
Beware Misleading Statistics
But in looking to past for lessons about
bankruptcy reform, one must be careful. In particular, one must be wary of academic and
other witch-doctors boiling-up a stew of misleading and irrelevant statistics
designed to derail sensible and needed
bankruptcy reform.
The most prominent of statistic that is trotted out to explain rising
bankruptcy filing rates is a purported
"correlation" between consumer debt and
bankruptcy filing rates. Even if true, the simple and obvious to this is, of course,
"so what?" Correlation does not equate to causation. I am aware of no studies that
actually demonstrate a causal link between overall consumer debt levels and
bankruptcy filing rates. Yet some scholars and commentators insist on drawing causal
links from the crudest evidence of correlation. See, e.g., Elizabeth Warren,
"The
Bankruptcy Crisis," 73 Indiana Law Journal 1079, 1081 (1998) ("The macrodata are unambiguous about the best predictor for consumer
bankruptcy. Consumer
bankruptcy filings rise and fall with the
levels of consumer debt." (emphasis added)); see also id. at 1083 ("(Various studies) all demonstrate the correlation between rising levels of
consumer debt and rising
bankruptcy rates. The simple explanation of the rise in filings -
bankruptcies rise as household debt rises - is undeniable.").
This argument is implausible on its face. Overall debt levels simply cannot
provide an explanation for the rapid ran-up in
bankruptcy filing rates in recent years. As one commentator has observed, even if
debt-to-income ratios have worsened, they have done so gradually:
"They did not get worse by 29% in 1996 over 1995, but
bankruptcies did. They did not worsen again by 20% in 1997 over 1996, but
bankruptcies did."
Moreover, the advocates of this thesis have failed to provide a persuasive
explanation as to how debt could
"cause"
bankruptcy for individuals. More relevant, would be the current debt burden, the amount
that debtors are obligated to pay each month on their various loans. The
ability to meet one's obligations as they come due would certainly seem to be
the more logical way of thinking about debt and individual
bankruptcy than some sort of balance sheet test. Because of the low interest rates of
recent years, current debt burdens have fallen even as overall debt levels have
risen and remain below their all-time high. As a result of these low interest
rates, borrowers should be able to carry the same or even greater debtlevels
with greater ease than before.
Pointing to
"debt" as the source of consumer
bankruptcy also ignores the fact that the amount of debt that consumers are willing to
incur will be a function of the ease with which they can file
bankruptcy and later discharge those debts. Hence, the debt level cannot be an exogenous
variable that could
"cause"
bankruptcies because the overall debt level itself is, at least in part, caused by the
bankruptcy law itself. If you reduce the
"cost" of debt by making it easier to discharge, then you will get more of it. Nor
does debt exist in a vacuum. It accumulates through conscious decisions to
purchase goods and services. Thus,
"too much debt" in many cases could be recharacterized as
"too much spending," as was the case with Dr. Kornfield. It is not debt that causes
bankruptcy for many people, it is a conscious choice to maintain an extravagant and
unrealistic lifestyle rather than tightening one's belt and spending
responsibly.
It also will not do to blame credit card issuers. Because of their visibility,
credit card issuers have become easy villains for those seeking to blame
creditors. As Judge Jones and I wrote,
"(C)redit card issuers have
become the modem equivalent to William Jennings Bryan's 'Cross of Gold,'
crucifying consumers in the pursuit of ever-greater profits." But blaming credit card issuers for the
bankruptcy boom is implausible. First, the total credit card debt burden of $529 billion
pales in comparison to overall housing debt of $4 trillion, and housing debt
has been increasing much faster than revolving debt in recent years. Second,
most Americans are
"convenience" users of credit cards who pay off their balances each month and therefore
accrue no interest fees or service charges. Focusing on those who revolve
balances from month-to-month ignores the reality that few Americans fit this
profile.
Those who would vilify credit card issuers also misunderstand the role that
credit cards play in the modem American economy. Entire segments of our
economy, such as internet and catalogue
shopping, would not exist without consumer access to credit cards. They have
aided in the growth of millions of new businesses by reducing their risk of
loss from nonpayment of accounts and by enabling them to compete with Sears and
other big retailers who used to dominate the retail credit market. Credit cards
enable individuals to deal with short-term emergencies like car and home
repairs, without having to hoard large amounts of cash in non-interest beating
checking accounts, not to mention all the fringe benefits of frequent flyer
miles, rental car insurance, purchase price protection, and even cash back
bonuses. Moreover, the credit card industry has revealed itself to be
ferociously competitive. In a market with 6,000 issuers and millions of
consumers it is hard to imagine it being otherwise. And, indeed, after an early
period of
high profitability following deregulation, profits on credit card issuers have
decreased substantially in recent years. Critics continue to sound warnings
about the
"credit card menace" without realizing that the credit card Cold War is over and it is the
consumers who have won.
Despite this, criticisms of the credit card industry persist. Much of the
criticism is grounded in factual errors. For instance, many critics rely on a
study by economist Lawrence Ausubel that purports to persistent supranormal
returns to credit card issuers, pointing to alleged
"stickiness" in credit card interest rates as evidence. Scholars have pointed outnumerous
flaws in Ausubel's methodology and conclusions, many of which are discussed in
Edith H. Jones and Todd J. Zywicki,
"It's Time for Means-Testing," 1999 BYU Law Review (Forthcoming
1999). Among the errors that have been identified are a failure to account for
the higher transaction costs and risk associated with credit cards, his huge
overestimation of the number of consumers who revolve balances from month to
month, arbitrariness in the financial institutions included in his data set,
and the fact that his data runs out just at the point where heightened
competition appeared on the scene. Given these problems, it is strange that
many people nonetheless continue to.place heavy reliance on Ausubel's research.
Access to credit cards is especially important for low-income borrowers, as
they lack the options of more wealthy borrowers. For instance, low-income
borrowers obviously will have less access to home equity loans than the rich.
Absent credit cards, low-income borrowers faced with a short-term need for
cash, such as the need for
a new transmission for a car, will face an array of unfavorable options:
selling personal assets, taking them to a pawn shop, or trying to get a short
term loan from a bank that will probably charge them fees and an interest rate
that substantially exceed that available on credit cards. Credit cards are a
great convenience for many and there are few substitutes for the low
transaction cost access to short-term credit offered by credit cards. See
Dagobert L. Brito
& Peter R. HartIcy,
"Consumer Rationality and Credit Cards," 103 Journal of Political Economy 400 (1995). Access to credit cards have
democratized credit, making its advantages available to all when it previously
was available only to the elite.
Opponents of
bankruptcy reform have trotted out a number of other
misleading and irrelevant statistics designed to confuse the debate over the
Act. For instance, critics of
reform point to data that suggests that a certain percentage of
bankruptcy debtors have been unemployed during the two years preceding
bankruptcy, or have had health problems, or have gotten divorced, or suffered some other
significant personal difficulty. This collection of data is somewhat
interesting, and might be of some help if someone was considering scrapping the
bankruptcy laws completely. But it is of questionable help in discussing
bankruptcy reform generally, as it only studies those who have already filed
bankruptcy and ignores those with similar problems who have not. See Michelle J. White,
"Economic Versus Sociological Approaches to Legal Research: The Case of
Bankruptcy," 25 Law and Society Review 685 (1991).
Even if this data were relevant in general, it is virtually useless in
examining the provisions of the Act. The
centerpiece of the Act is means-testing for high-income debtors who can repay a
substantial portion of their debts with minimal economic or other hardship. The
characteristics of the
"average" or
"typical" debtor is irrelevant; the Act targets the atypical, high-income filer.
Virtually by definition, those who have been unemployed for long periods of
time will also have low incomes and thus will be unaffected by this provision
of the Act; those who still have high incomes will find solace under the
hardship exception of the Act. Moreover, means- testing does not deny anybody
the right to file for
bankruptcy or to receive a
bankruptcy discharge, it just requires that if you file, and if you are a high income
earner who can pay back a substantial portion of your debts without significant
hardship, then you must pay what you can. So the sources of an individual's
debts would
seem to be largely irrelevant to the questions presented by the Act. Nothing in
the means testing provision of the Act will take away the right to file
bankruptcy, and most of those who are most vulnerable simply will be unaffected by its
central provisions.
Factors such as unemployment, health problems, or divorce certainly account for
some percentage of filers in the
bankruptcy system, and certainly explain some of the regional variations in filing rates.
But those problems simply cannot account for the nationwide 20% annual
increases in
bankruptcy filing rates we have seen in recent years. In an economy of low unemployment
and high growth, unemployment cannot explain even a fraction of the 20% growth
rates in
bankruptcy filings during recent years. There has been no real increase in health care
costs for several
years, thus health care costs have remained constant even as
bankruptcy filing rates have skyrocketed. Similarly, divorce rates have stabilized after
years of rising. Given the facial implausibility of asserting these factors as
explanations for surging
bankruptcy filing rates, it should not be surprising that scientifically-controlled
empirical studies have failed to find a correlation between these factors and
bankruptcy filing rates.
Perhaps more interesting than what such scholars include on such lists is what
is omitted. For instance, a 1997 Gallup Poll revealed that 10% of
bankruptcy filers filed partly because of tax burdens, a percentage that exceeded college
expenses and death in the family, and was five times higher than those
reporting that gambling pushed them into
bankruptcy. But this statistic reflects only the direct impact of taxes on
bankruptcy and probably understates the true impact of high taxes on
bankruptcy filing
rates. Taxes devour massive amounts of personal income that would otherwise be
available to finance consumption or savings without having to take on debt.
Moreover, tax burdens have increased substantially during the same period that
bankruptcies have risen, and now stand at 21.8% of GDP a record peacetime high. From 1990
to 1997 taxes increased 58%, by contrast, consumer spending increased only 43%
during this period. This increased tax burden has been reflected in a savings
rate in 1997 of 2.1%, the lowest level since the Great Depression. By eating
away at individual incomes, taxes reduce personal savings rates, which may make
households more vulnerable to income interruptions or large and unexpected
increases in financial liabilities. While the effect of high taxes on
bankruptcy has not been studied in detail, it is
at least as plausible a factor as other factors that have been advanced, and it
appears to be ideology rather than science that has led them to be artificially
excluded from the debate.
The Future of
Bankruptcy and Bankruptcy Reform
A world where financial promises are cast away at the first opportunity is not
a pretty one. Consider Memphis, Tennessee, the
"bankruptcy capital of America." In 1996, 4.3% of Memphis families filed
bankruptcy, almost 1 in 23. According to a Fortune magazine article, there is a
"culture of
bankruptcy" and bankruptcy is a way of life." See Kim Clark,
"Why So Many Americans are Going Bankrupt," Fortune 24 (Aug. 4, 1997). The implications of a world of such widespread
bankruptcy are alarming. As I wrote with Judge Edith H. Jones,
"In this post-bankruptcy apocalyptic world, trust has al but disappeared in routine arms'-length transactions that go unnoticed elsewhere." See Edith H. Jones and Todd J. Zywicki,
"It's Time for Means-testing," 1999 BYU Law Review (Forthcoming 1999). Consider Fortune's description of
everyday financial life in Memphis:
"It's almost impossible to cash checks in Memphis. Used-car dealers charge their
wholesale cost as a down payment. And lenders are either tightening or giving
up."
A belief in promise-keeping and personal financial responsibility are valuable
social values that can erode rapidly. In Memphis, everyone is considered a chea
tuntil proven otherwise. The result has been to paralyze the system of consumer
credit in Memphis. In the end, all consumers pay for
bankruptcy through higher prices and higher interest rates.
Reform the bankruptcy laws before all of
America goes the way of Memphis - or beyond.
END
LOAD-DATE: March 18, 1999