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Copyright 2000 Federal News Service, Inc.  
Federal News Service

June 23, 2000, Friday

SECTION: PREPARED TESTIMONY

LENGTH: 3018 words

HEADLINE: PREPARED TESTIMONY OF KEVIN D. CROWLEY, PH.D. DIRECTOR BOARD ON RADIOACTIVE WASTE MANAGEMENT NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
 
BEFORE THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND POWER
 
SUBJECT - YUCCA MOUNTAIN RADIATION PROTECTION STANDARDS

BODY:
 Chairman Barton and subcommittee members, thank you for the opportunity to appear before the Energy and Power Subcommittee to testify on the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) draft radiation protection standards for Yucca Mountain. I am the director of the National Research Council's Board on Radioactive Waste Management (BRWM), which was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1958 to provide scientific and technical advice to the federal government on the safe and responsible management of radioactive waste. My testimony to the subcommittee today will focus on recent reports from the BRWM and committees under its oversight that bear directly on the question of radiation protection standards for Yucca Mountain. In particular, I will discuss the findings and recommendations from two reports: Technical Bases for Yucca Mountain Standards, also known as the "TYMS report," which was published in 1995, and a 1999 BRWM report entitled Comments on Proposed Radiation Protection Standards for Yucca Mountain, Nevada by the Board on Radioactive Waste Management.

As you know Mr. Chairman, the Energy Policy Act of 1992 directed EPA to promulgate radiation protection standards specifically for a potential repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. The Act directed the EPA Administrator to obtain advice from the NAS on the technical bases for radiation protection standards, and the Act further mandated that EPA base its standards on the NAS recommendations. To respond to this request, the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and National Academy of Engineering, appointed a BRWM committee in early 1993 to provide advice to EPA on the standards. The committee held a series of information-gathering and deliberation meetings (many in Nevada) over a period of about two years and issued its recommendations in the 1995 TYMS report.

In developing its recommendations, the TYMS committee was very careful to distinguish between scientific and policy judgments. The committee recognized that some elements of the standards could be addressed using scientific data and understanding, whereas other elements required societal value judgements. For example, the committee recognized that there is no basis in science for establishing acceptable radiation exposure limits but, rather, "acceptability" was a societal value judgement that was best established through the rulemaking process. Similarly, the TYMS committee noted that the time period of applicability of the standards has both scientific and policy aspects.

EPA published its draft radiation protection standards in the Federal Register (64 FR 46976-47016) on August 27, 1999. The BRWM, acting under its own initiative and with approval of the National Research Council's governing board, decided to issue a report that compared the draft EPA standards with the recommendations in the TYMS report. The purpose of this comparison was to determine whether EPA followed the recommendations laid out in the TYMS report and, if not, to suggest how EPA could modify its draft standards to make them consistent. The BRWM's report was submitted to the public docket during the comment period for EPA's draft standards. This report reflected the consensus of the BRWM and was approved for release by the National Research Council after being subjected to the Research Council's review process.

The BRWM found that EPA's draft standards were consistent with the 1995 TYMS report in several important aspects, the most significant of which are the following: Who is Protected. The TYMS report recommended that the radiation protection standard be applied to representative individuals who have the highest risk from radiation releases from the repository. EPA proposed a standard to protect individuals living near the repository--using a reasonably maximally exposed individual (RMEI)--- that is broadly consistent with the TYMS report's recommendation. Level of Protection. The TYMS report concluded that the numerical value for the radiation protection standard was a policy decision to be established through the rulemaking process. EPA has used rulemaking to establish an "allpathways" standard. This standard sets an upper limit on the exposure the RMEI can receive from radiation releases through all potential release pathways, including groundwater and the atmosphere. The numerical value of this standard proposed by EPA falls within the range of values suggested in the TYMS report. Human Intrusion. EPA follows the TYMS report's recommendations that the standards should require active and passive institutional controls to prevent human intrusion into the repository in the near term; that the standard should be based on explicitly defined assumptions about how human intrusion could occur in the long term; and that the standard should set limits on radiation exposure to individuals as a result of a human intrusion that are no more stringent than the all- pathways standard. Exposure Scenarios. The TYMS report concluded that there is no scientific basis for predicting future scenarios by which humans could be exposed to radiation from a Yucca Mountain repository. Therefore, the report recommended that such scenarios be established through the rulemaking process. EPA has used rulemaking to define exposure scenarios based on the state of society, human biology, and knowledge that exists at the time of submission of the license application for the repository.

There are also several elements of EPA's proposed standards that are inconsistent with the recommendations in the TYMS report. My testimony will focus on the three most important elements: risk- versus dose-based standards; the inclusion of a separate groundwater standard; and the time period over which the standard should be applied.

Risk-Versus Dose-Based Standards

EPA proposes a standard that is based on the dose an individual may receive as a result of radioactive releases from the repository. The TYMS report specifically recommended against basing the standard on dose. Instead, the report recommended that the standard be based on the risk to individuals of an adverse health effect from radiation releases, and the report further recommended that rulemaking be used to establish an acceptable risk level.

The TYMS committee recommended a risk-based standard for several reasons. First, the committee recognized that a risk-based standard is more understandable to the public than a dose-based standard and its use would therefore promote more meaningful public involvement in what truly is a public policy decision. A risk-based standard can be expressed as a simple probability of developing a fatal cancer--for example, a standard that has a numerical annual risk value of 10-4 would mean that an individual living near the repository could have no greater than a 1 in 10,000 chance per year of developing a fatal cancer from radiation releases from the repository.

A dose-based standard, in contrast, provides no indication of hazard levels and is understandable only by experts. The proposed EPA all- pathways dose standard of 15 millirems per year, for example, provides no indication of the number of fatal cancers that could be expected in a given year from repository releases.

Second, a risk-based standard for Yucca Mountain can be compared directly to other risk-based standards, such as EPA's standards for toxic chemicals, because they use common units of measurement. Also, the magnitude of the risk value corresponds directly to the level of hazard. For example, a 10'5 (1 chance in 100,000) risk standard for Yucca Mountain would provide the same level of public protection as a 10'5 risk standard for regulating a particular toxic material, assuming of course that both standards were based on the same health effect such as fatal cancers. EPA currently regulates hazardous chemicals on the basis of risk, so the adoption of a risk-based radiation protection standard for Yucca Mountain would promote uniformity across EPA's family of regulations.

Third, a risk-based standard would not have to be revised by subsequent rulemaking as advances in scientific knowledge improve our understanding of radiation effects on human health. There have been significant improvements in our understanding of radiation effects on human health over the past few decades, and dose-based standards have had to be adjusted as our knowledge has improved. There is reason to believe that these improvements will continue and that adjustments to dose-based standards will be necessary in the future. For a risk-based standard, the level of acceptable risk would be established during initial rulemaking. This level would not have to be changed if new science indicated a change in the relationship between dose and health effects.

EPA's use of a dose-based standard not only makes it difficult for the public to provide meaningful input to the rulemaking process, but it may also lower public confidence in the output from that process. Take, for example, the disagreement between the EPA and U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (USNRC) over radiological criteria for unrestricted use of nuclear sites. The EPA standard (based on 40 CFR Part 191) is 15 millirems per year, whereas the USNRC regulation (10 CFR 20.1402) is 25 millirems per year with ALARA (as low as reasonably achievable). Both agencies claim that their release limits are protective of public health. What is the public to think when the two federal agencies charged with protecting public health cannot agree on what the protective limits should be? The reason the EPA's and USNRC's limits are different is that each agency has a different starting point for establishing the exposure limit values, and neither agency uses risk to establish such limits.

EPA points out in the preamble to its draft standards that it was directed by the Energy Policy Act to develop a "dose-based standard." The TYMS report's recommendation that the form of the individual- protection standard be based on risk does not preclude EPA from expressing the numeric value of the standard in units of risk and in derivative units of dose, so long as the risk value is clearly understood as the underlying basis for the proposed dose standard. In its 1999 report, the BRWM noted that such an approach "would achieve the aims of the TYMS report's recommendations and it would allow EPA to meet its Congressional mandate."

To summarize, the use of a risk-based standard in the Yucca Mountain rule would have several benefits: there would be clear traceability between the numerical value of the standard and the public policy decision on what is an acceptable risk;- the standard would be more readily understood by nonexperts, which could help promote more meaningful public input to rulemaking and greater public confidence in the resulting regulations; this approach would facilitate uniformity of the standard with regulations for other hazards such as toxic chemicals; and if a risk-based approach were implemented for all elements of the Yucca Mountain standard, it would eliminate the current problem with the groundwater element of the standard, which I will discuss next.

The 1999 BRWM report noted that a risk-based standard would be more difficult to implement than a dose-based standard, and that EPA might find it far more difficult to ask the public about acceptable risk levels than to follow established precedents. Nevertheless, a risk- based standard was recommended both in the TYMS report and the 1999 BRWM report because it requires public involvement in what is fundamentally a public-policy decision.

Inclusion of a Separate Groundwater Standard,

EPA has included a standard for the protection of groundwater in its proposed rule in addition to the all-pathways standard described previously. The proposed groundwater standard appears to be designed to protect both individuals living near the repository and the general public living at some distance from the repository. The groundwater standard is a holdover from EPA's 1985 disposal regulations (40 CFR Part 191) and is taken directly from the EPA's safe drinking water regulations (40 CFR Part 141).

In incorporating the groundwater standard into the Yucca Mountain standards, EPA has made several modifications from the safe drinking water regulations. First, the groundwater standard in EPA's safe drinking water regulations applies to public water systems. For the Yucca Mountain standards, EPA proposes to apply the groundwater standard to a groundwater aquifer some 2,000 feet below the Earth's surface at the Yucca Mountain site and at some as yet undetermined distance from the repository boundary--the point of compliance for alternatives being proposed by EPA range from 5 to 30 kilometers (3 to 19 miles) from the repository boundary. The Yucca Mountain standard also applies to a volume of groundwater in the aquifer rather than to water delivered by a public water system--EPA has proposed a value of 1,285 acre-feet (about 420 million gallons) but has also asked for comments on values that range from 10 to 4,000 acre feet (3 million to 1.3 billion gallons). The numerical value of the standard itself is based on 40-year-old dosimetry and does not conform with current international standards, and it represents a different level of risk than the all-pathways standard of 15 millirems per year.

The TYMS committee recognized that groundwater is likely to be the primary source of individual exposure to radioactive materials that escape from Yucca Mountain, and that committee found that the all- pathways standard would protect both local and distant populations. Therefore, the TYMS committee did not recommend a separate groundwater standard. The 1999 BRWM report concluded that the imposition of a separate groundwater standard "may greatly complicate the licensing process (for Yucca Mountain) and have but a negligible impact on protection of the public."

The 1999 BRWM report concluded that there was no basis in science for establishing a separate groundwater standard and recommended that EPA either "make more cogent scientific arguments to justify the need for this standard," or if it wishes to establish a separate standard as a matter of policy, that it "explicitly state the policy decisions embedded in the proposed standard and ask the public to comment on those decisions." The 1999 BRWM report did not suggest what scientific arguments EPA could use to justify a separate groundwater standard, but I would like to close this part of my testimony by suggesting one possible approach for resolving the BRWM's objections.

I believe that EPA could justify a separate groundwater standard by adopting the risk-based approach recommended in the TYMS report. If EPA based its Yucca Mountain standards on a SINGLE VALUE OF ACCEPTABLE RISK, it could express that risk in terms of two elements, one for radiation exposures through the groundwater pathway (a groundwater standard) and one for exposures through all pathways (an all-pathways standard). These two elements would be scientifically consistent so long as they are based on a single value of acceptable risk. To implement this approach, EPA would have to modify the dose values for the all-pathways and groundwater elements that currently exist in its proposed rule so that they represent the same value of acceptable risk.

Time Period Over Which the Standard Should be Applied

EPA proposes that the radiation protection standards at Yucca Mountain be applied over a time period of 10,000 years. The TYMS report concluded that (1) an arbitrary time limit such as 10,000 years has no scientific basis, and (2) peak risks from radiation releases from the repository are likely to occur beyond 10,000 years. The report recommended compliance be assessed for the site's period of geologic stability and noted that a technical assessment of the site should be feasible for on the order of one million years. After the TYMS report was published, EPA asked for public comment on the timescale issue, and the majority of those commenting stated that compliance should be assessed at the time of peak risk.

EPA has nevertheless retained its earlier recommendation for quantitative compliance assessment only up to 10,000 years and has given a series of policy and technical arguments for this choice. The TYMS report excluded policy considerations from its deliberations on this issue, but concluded, as noted previously, that "there is no scientific basis for limiting the time period to ... 10,000 years. Clearly, the 10,000-year limit is strictly a policy choice and should be acknowledged as such" by EPA. As the proposed standards currently read, the policy origin of the limit is not evident.

Though compliance is assessed for a period of 10,000 years, EPA requires that the repository performance be examined past this point "to see if dramatic changes ... could be anticipated" (64 FR, p. 46993). Here EPA provides no guidance as to what qualifies as a dramatic change or as to the purpose of the examination. The BRWM believes that this aspect of the standard will provide "no real benefits to protection of the public." The BRWM noted that EPA "may wish to be more specific in providing guidance on how the analyses beyond 10,000 years could be used in determining compliance" or explicitly pass this task to the USNRC.

In conclusion Mr. Chairman, a Yucca Mountain repository must isolate waste from the environment for many millennia. It is essential that the standard for this repository reflect the best thinking that science has to offer. The overall conclusion of the 1999 BRWM report is that the current EPA draft standards fall short of this goal in some important respects. The BRWM hopes that EPA will accept the suggestions it has made for improvements in the proposed standards.

This concludes my testimony to the committee. I would be happy to clarify my comments or answer committee members' questions. Again, thank you for the opportunity to testify.

END

LOAD-DATE: June 27, 2000




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