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Copyright 1999 The Seattle Times Company  
The Seattle Times

April 08, 1999, Thursday Final Edition

SECTION: NEWS; Pg. A1

LENGTH: 682 words

HEADLINE: GAS PRICES TO KEEP RISING

BYLINE: TAMRA FITZPATRICK; SEATTLE TIMES BUSINESS REPORTER

BODY:
If you're planning any road trips soon, you may want to wait until, oh, say . . . June.

That's when gasoline prices should start declining.

In the meantime, consumers can expect prices to rise, on a national average, by 6 cents a gallon in May to $ 1.18 - the year's peak price, the U.S. Department of Energy said today. That's 10 cents higher than predicted in January. Things are even worse on the West Coast, where prices have soared from an average of $ 1.07 a gallon in mid-February to $ 1.48 this week.

The average summer price for gasoline in the U.S. will be about $ 1.13 a gallon, a penny more than the average earlier this week, but about 10 cents more than last year's average.

Demand for gasoline is expected to be up 2 percent this summer and highway travel up 2.1 percent. The demand for gasoline this summer is expected to be a record.

Price increases will be nothing new for Washington residents.

Gas prices throughout the state have increased an average of more than 18 cents a gallon since mid-February, according to the American Automobile Association of Washington. And while prices are usually higher during the spring and summer when more people are traveling, the increases are usually not quite this dramatic, notes AAA spokeswoman Janet Ray.

Nationally, gasoline prices jumped from an all-time low, adjusted for inflation, of 91 cents a gallon for regular unleaded in mid-February to $ 1.12 a gallon this week. Locally, some stations have been charging as much as $ 1.50 a gallon.

The soaring prices are partly attributed to a recent announcement that 14 major oil-producing countries, including 10 from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), plan to cut production by 3 percent.

But much of the West Coast's jump is being attributed to a 15 percent production decline at California refineries due to a fire at Tosco's Avon refinery on Feb. 23 and one at Chevron's Richmond refinery March 25. In addition, other California refineries had scheduled maintenance and suffered distribution problems.

The California refineries are expected to be completely back online in June, spurring a decline in gas prices, said Neil Gamson, an economist for the Department of Energy. California refineries, he noted, produce 10 percent of the country's gasoline.

Nationally, gas prices for regular unleaded are expected to dip to $ 1.11, on average, by the end of the summer and to $ 1.09 by the end of the year.

Prices have risen faster recently than Jerry Blanton, owner of Tukwila Texaco, says he's seen in his 32 years in the business.

Blanton said that one day last month he increased his price for regular unleaded by 8 cents a gallon after his supplier raised prices. Another day, he raised his pump price by 7 cents. Overall, his prices have increased from $ 1.08 in February to $ 1.50 yesterday.

The manager of one local BP station said he increased prices eight times in March, including a 13-cent increase from March 29 to March 31. He was charging $ 1.46 a gallon for unleaded yesterday, up 36 cents from the beginning of March.

But things are looking up, says California Energy Commission spokesman Rob Schlichting.

Twelve of California's 13 refineries are back online - Tosco is the only one still having problems - and production is increasing. Still, Jim Windle, owner of Windle's BP Service on Mercer Island, says he doesn't think lower prices will show up at the pump until September because of the summer demand.

Even Costco has increased prices at its Seattle-area stations - 36 cents a gallon since February. But at $ 1.22 a gallon, it's still some of the cheapest gas in town. Lately, there have been as many as 20 cars lined up at Costco stations, says Dave Loge, Costco's executive vice president.

Costco, which started selling gasoline in 1995, buys directly from refineries and large distributors.

"We apply the same values whether it's salmon, televisions or gasoline - low mark-ups and high volume," Loge said.
 
Information from Newhouse News Service is included in this report.

GRAPHIC: CHART; THE SEATTLE TIMES: GAS PRICES (CHART NOT AVAILABLE ELECTRONICALLY)

LOAD-DATE: April 9, 1999




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