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Copyright 2000 Chicago Sun-Times, Inc.  
Chicago Sun-Times

June 26, 2000, MONDAY, Late Sports Final Edition

SECTION: FINANCIAL; Pg. 45

LENGTH: 618 words

HEADLINE: Airlines put on show to sell merger

BYLINE: Lynn Sweet

BODY:
If I had to bet on whether United Airlines ends up buying US Airways, I'd say no at this point in a close call.

But not because Congress so far is wary of the megadeal.

During seven days of hearings in Congress over the last two weeks on the $ 11.6 billion transaction announced last month, lawmakers' sentiments ranged from skeptical to hostile. The public flogging of the carriers was to be expected, since lousy airline service is a populist issue these days, and it cuts across party lines.

In an era of flight delays, members of Congress are frustrated fliers, just like everybody else.

"I think we are where we had hoped to be at the end of these hearings," James E. Goodwin, United's chairman and chief executive, said Friday.

Goodwin, US Airways Chairman Stephen M. Wolf and Robert Johnson, the chairman and CEO of D.C. Air, the spinoff carrier to be created to placate anti-trust concerns, testified together at four hearings in addition to meeting one-on-one with key members.

More massaging of Congress is planned as the sales job for the deal moves on to the next phase.

Billionaire Johnson, founder of the Black Entertainment Network, told me he wants to meet with 79 members by the summer recess and "focus on the opinion makers and the opinion shapers." He was in Florida this weekend whipping up support in cities D.C. Air will serve.

United's lobbying army -- an impressive display of clout and access -- is being supplemented by strategic local outreach, starting in North Carolina because Charlotte, a hub for US Airways, likely would expand if the sale is completed.

United probably would not mind if people thought a pro-merger organization that debuted a week ago in Charlotte called the Global Aviation Improvement Network -- GAIN -- was a grass-roots group organically grown. GAIN's credibility, however, is somewhat debatable, because United provided the seed money for the group, whose chairman is former Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad.

Most important in determining if United is allowed to acquire US Airways is the Justice Department, not Congress, reluctant unions or shareholder lawsuits. The Transportation Department plays a lesser but influential role.

DC Air has been the focus of much debate, and whether Johnson got a sweetheart deal from the merging carriers. If that's all the debate boils down to, it's a victory for United, because United need only find an acceptable substitute.

The crucial question for United is whether the Justice Department takes a narrow or expansive view of the blockbuster sale.

United wants the transaction considered in a vacuum, not in the context of whether the sale triggers defensive moves resulting in the nation's six big carriers becoming three jumbo airlines.

No less an expert than Alfred E. Kahn, the father of airline deregulation, told Congress that he was concerned about the "radical consolidation" if the sale was permitted. Kahn urged Justice to look at the bigger picture.

Microsoft trust-buster Joel Klein, chief of Justice's anti-trust division, signaled he may well do that because of "significant competitive concerns" within the aviation industry.

Justice is pressing a predatory-pricing case against American Airlines, and is challenging Northwest's purchase of a controlling stake in Continental.

Perhaps the strongest argument United has is one it hasn't yet stressed: the faltering fiscal health of US Airways, which Wolf told Congress has operating costs so high that it never can be competitive.

If US Airways is really in a fatal tailspin, United, the nation's biggest airline, can make the case it is doing everyone a favor by coming to the rescue.

E-mail: sweet@dgs.dgsys.com

LOAD-DATE: July 10, 2000




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