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Copyright 2000 The Atlanta Constitution  
The Atlanta Journal and Constitution

March 21, 2000, Tuesday, Home Edition

SECTION: Business; Pg. 1D

LENGTH: 456 words

HEADLINE: Markets mixed; rate increase expected

BYLINE: Tom Walker, Staff

SOURCE: CONSTITUTION

BODY:
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise short-term interest rates again today, but that may have less impact on the stock market than escalating bad news among key technology stocks.

Analysts believe the market has already discounted prospects that the Fed will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 6 percent. That would be the highest point for the overnight bank lending rate since May 1995.

The Fed has already raised rates a full percentage point in four moves since last June in a pre-emptive strike against inflation.

While most inflation news remains favorable, a number of recent reports on economic strength, combined with increased energy and wage costs, apparently have primed the Fed to raise rates again.

The Fed is expected to pay close attention to the recent sell-off in technology stocks that gave the tech-loaded Nasdaq composite index its third- worst one-day point loss on Monday and second-worst last Tuesday.

"(Monday's) tech sell-off will be clearly seen as a positive by Fed Chairman (Alan) Greenspan, who has clearly intimated his concerns over soaring share prices," said Standard & Poor's strategist David Kim.

Greenspan has expressed concern that rising stock prices are responsible for much of the consumer spending that keeps the economy running hot. He has suggested that maybe a decline in stock prices --- or a slower bull market --- would be a good thing.

The Nasdaq may be giving Greenspan what he wants.

The index, which rode investor demand to a five-month, 85 percent surge that ended March 10 at a new high, has since dropped almost 9 percent.

Analysts blame a combination of excessive valuation of share prices, concern the government will tax Internet sales and disappointing earnings news in certain sectors.

An example of the latter occurred Monday, when e-business software maker MicroStrategy surprised the market with news that it will restate earnings for the last two years to conform to Securities and Exchange Commission guidelines. The share price fell $ 140 to $ 86.75.

Anxiety that other technology companies would follow suit spread through the sector, analysts said, hurting other stocks. A pessimistic article in Barron's and another bad day for biotechnology stocks contributed to the Nasdaq's slide.

But investors continued to move into old-economy blue chips, giving the Dow Jones industrial average a boost of almost 1 percent.

The "flight to quality" in bonds also had the effect of lowing yields on 30- year Treasuries to their lowest point in six months, below 6 percent.

The Fed's policy meeting is the major economic event of the week, although the government is due to release trade figures today and factory orders Friday.

LOAD-DATE: March 21, 2000




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