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Copyright 1999 Federal Document Clearing House, Inc.  
Federal Document Clearing House Congressional Testimony

March 11, 1999, Thursday

SECTION: CAPITOL HILL HEARING TESTIMONY

LENGTH: 2759 words

HEADLINE: TESTIMONY March 11, 1999 JOHN MUTTI PROFESSOR GRINNELL COLLEGE SENATE FINANCE WORLD ECONOMY AND INTERNATIONAL TAXES

BODY:
STATEMENT OF JOHN MUTTI March 11, 1999 Chairman Roth and distinguished committee members. I am pleased to have the opportunity to testify today. I admire the ambitious agenda that you have set for these hearings. I particularly appreciate the fact that you do not plan to look at each item of concern to a particular firm or industry in isolation, but instead you intend to examine the overall rationale behind the U.S. taxation of international income. Globalization indeed does mean that more U.S. firms face competition from more firms internationally than was previously the case. That observation aptly characterizes sales in foreign markets, but it also applies to sales domestically, too. Electronic commerce makes it easier for foreigners to market directly to U.S. buyers, just as U.S. producers can access foreign markets more easily. Fewer sectors of our economy represent nontraded goods and services protected from foreign competition. Designing policy to take into account the new realities of international competition requires that we look both outward and inward. My comments today fall in the category of "big picture" issues that are relevant in assessing possible directions for international tax reform. I comment on three issues, each of which involves a question of policy and also a question of the appropriate analytical framework to apply. The three issues are: - (1) the taxation of worldwide income; - (2) the integration of U.S. individual and corporate income taxes; and - (3) the exemption of foreign-source income from U.S. taxation. With respect to the taxation of worldwide income, globalization has meant that producers are more aware than ever of the way U.S. taxation affects their competitive position. As important as U.S. exports or U.S.-controlled production abroad are, however, we should not ignore the way the competitive positions of other U.S. producers are affected by changes in the way business is done internationally or by proposed tax policy changes. Special provisions to promote one type of activity may well appear to encourage U.S. growth and efficiency, but we should keep in mind an additional question: would the same loss in tax revenue that arises from addressing one concern, such as the enhanced competitiveness of U.S.-controlled production abroad, be just as effective in promoting U.S. growth and efficiency if it were devoted to a measure that reduced the cost of capital for all domestic producers? Alternatively stated, if there is a government budget constraint that must be met, when a loss in revenue occurs as a result of tax measures adopted in one area, what is the effect of increased taxes paid elsewhere in the economy? (Joint Tax Committee, 1991). For example, some claim that to promote cutting-edge, R&D- intensive U.S. industries that produce worldwide it would be desirable to move away from the standard of taxing the worldwide income of a country's firms or individual residents. From a world perspective that traditional standard, together with the granting of credit for foreign taxes paid, has been favored because it results in capital export neutrality; investment is allocated to the location where its before-tax productivity is greatest. Admittedly, this standard does not automatically confer a benefit upon the United States as a whole if real returns are higher in other countries, who attract investment from the United States and gain the opportunity to tax first the income earned in their country. That asymmetric result of capital primarily flowing out of the United States appears less relevant now than was true previously. For example, in 1980 the stock of outward foreign direct investment as a share of U.S. GDP was 8.1 percent and the stock of inward foreign direct investment as a share of U.S. GDP was 2.7 percent; in 1995 these two figures had become 9.8 percent and 7.7 percent, respectively. Inflows of foreign direct investment have grown faster than outflows (United Nations, World Investment Report 1997). An alternative standard is capital import neutrality, which would result when the final tax on income would be levied in the country where it is earned. Proponents of this standard note that it would allow U.S. corporations that invest abroad to avoid a residual tax in the United States. U.S. multinational corporations could thereby compete more effectively with firms in that country or with firms whose home from countries exempt foreign-source income from taxation. Furthermore, if that improved profitability allowed U.S. firms to expand and carry out more research and development, then their domestic production also would become more competitive; domestic and foreign production would be complementary because of this common dependence on R&D (Hufbauer 1992, Frisch 1990). Such a line of reasoning is quite plausible. At the same time, however, we should examine whether providing more favorable tax treatment to production abroad is more effective than providing more favorable treatment to production at home (Grubert and Mutti 1995). If U.S. attempts to sell in foreign markets are characterized by more intense competition and greater availability of substitutes than when U.S. producers serve the home market, then a given tax advantage may result in a larger percentage expansion of foreign sales. Given the nature of international commerce today, though, the assumption of a protected home market and less competition the closer to home one is geographically seems less justified than might have been true in the past. Beyond this ambiguity, we further need to examine how the incentive to carry out additional R&D affects domestic versus foreign sales. Some economists report that greater profitability in foreign markets appears to be less of an inducement to additional U.S. R&D,because R&D has its greatest pay off in the domestic market (Bailey and Lawrence 1992). Only with a lag is it transferred to foreign markets. Thus, the type of tax treatment most likely to promote R&D activity at home is not at all obvious. Treating foreign income or royalties from abroad more favorably than domestic income does not necessarily have a greater effect. From the accepted position that there is under investment in R&D, because those who generate new ideas cannot appropriate enough of the benefits, the desired domestic policy would be an R&D tax credit. Its effect would be to improve the competitive position of those who compete with foreigners at home as well as abroad. This approach could be pursued quite independently from any change in the principle of worldwide taxation. The second issue I would like to address is the integration of the corporate and individual income tax systems. I was pleased to see that Chairman Roth raised this issue in his recent speech to the International Finance Association. Given that the United States is one of the few countries to retain a classical system that taxes capital income at both the corporate and the individual level, economists have long recognized that this creates a bias toward using debt rather than equity as a source of funds and a bias against operating as a corporation. Integration will result in a gain in efficiency for the economy as a whole. Nevertheless, how should we predict such a change will affect the competitiveness of U.S. producers or judge whether the policy is successful? In a global setting our intuition can be misleading if we do not apply the appropriate framework to project such consequences. In a closed economy setting, economists predict that integration will make equity more attractive to investors, reduce the cost of capital to U.S. producers in the corporate sector, and result in lower prices of their output. In an open economy, that would seem to result in greater exports and fewer imports. Yet, that projection is incomplete if we ignore the effect on investment income and the value of the dollar internationally, or if we fail to consider the different effects on flows of debt and equity. Also, we need to specify carefully how inward and outward investment are to be treated in any integration plan (see Grubert and Mutti 1994). Suppose the United States were to follow the pattern of European integration schemes and to deny the benefits of integration to foreign owners of U.S. stock. In that case, integration would likely result in foreigners buying less U.S. equity. U.S. stockholders would be willing to pay a higher price for U.S. stock because they could claim a credit against their individual income tax liability for the corporate income tax paid; foreign owners would not be able to use this credit and would not benefit from paying less tax at the individual level. Yet, if we just focus on equity holdings, we may too pessimistically predict a large outflow of capital from the United States. As U.S. investors shift from debt to equity, interest rates will rise and foreigners will have an incentive to buy U.S. debt. Thus, there is not likely to a big inflow or outflow of capital internationally. Nevertheless, U.S. investment income is likely to rise, because U.S. investors now have portfolios more heavily weighted to equity than debt. That greater investment incomes results in a stronger dollar, fewer exports and greater imports. The U.S. economy benefits from greater output, income and saving, but the effects are distributed differently across industries than we might have first expected; output in sectors that compete most directly with imports in the U.S. market or with exports in foreign markets are adversely affected by the dollar appreciation and instead nontraded industries expand. We should not conclude the policy has failed, however, because the competitiveness of export industries has not risen. Even with a worsening of the trade balance, which is offset by greater net foreign investment earnings, the economy is operating more efficiently. The choice to deny integration benefits to foreigners often has been motivated by the belief that foreign investors will receive little of this benefit if they owe a residual tax to their home government. Under those circumstances, granting benefits to foreign investors simply benefits foreign treasuries without making investment in the host country more attractive. More recently, there has been less concern over that situation and more attention paid to the role of portfolio investment as an increasingly important source of finance internationally. If portfolio investment has risen substantially from countries where no residual tax is levied, then granting benefits of integration to foreigners may be an important step in ensuring that the cost of capital to domestic producers falls. In the extreme case of a small country that is dependent on portfolio capital as a marginal source of investment funds, denying benefits to foreigners simply means that no change in the cost of capital occurs, as foreigners drastically reduce their holdings of equity and domestic stockholders receive a windfall gain from integration (Boadway and Bruce 1992). Because the United States is not a small country, and foreign investors are not the sole marginal source of funds for new investment, the effect of denying benefits to foreigners would not be so drastic. European countries have reached a variety of different answers in determining how much of a benefit to pass on to foreigners in bilateral tax treaty negotiations; from a unilateral perspective a country implicitly balances the gains from shifting part of its tax burden to foreigners against the benefits from a larger capital inflow when it reduces that tax. The preceding two issues arise within a residence-based income tax system that taxes the worldwide income of the country's firms and residents. In contrast, the third issue I would like to address, potential exemption of active foreign-source income from U.S. tax, points in a different direction. As suggested above, a tax system could be source based, where only income earned in the source country or territory is taxed. In fact, most countries have elements of both principles included in their tax systems. The competitive disadvantage faced by U.S. MNCs when they are subject to residual U.S. taxation is partially offset by their ability to claim a foreign tax credit,limited by the amount of U.S. tax that would be due on that income, and by their ability to defer U.S. taxation until the income is repatriated. How large, then, is this residual U.S. tax effect? In terms of a residual tax collected by the U.S. government on active non- financial income earned abroad (the general basket), the numbers are not large. In 1990, for example, the U.S. Treasury collected $2.0 billion from repatriated active foreign income of $73.4 billion. The ratio of these two figures suggests that the United States is close to an exemption system already with respect to active income. In fact, most European countries that have exemption systems do not exempt all foreign source income. Rather, they exempt active operating income. They tax interest income, in part because a bank deposit abroad is a very close substitute for a bank deposit at home, and a country could lose its tax base very quickly if one were exempt and the other not. Also, if an income tax system is designed to tax all income once, then interest, headquarters' charges, and royalties that are deductible expenses abroad are to be taxed by the home country. If the United States were to exempt active foreign source income, what implications would that have for other measures of the tax code? Currently, U.S. parent corporations that have excess foreign tax credits can receive royalties from abroad or a portion of export earnings free of any residual U.S. tax. Is there a strong rationale to extend that same treatment to all firms, regardless of their foreign tax credit status, or should the usual treatment of royalties and interest under an exemption system be applied? What expenses should be allocated against exempt income? Would tax simplification result? Grubert and I are currently examining those questions. To summarize my comments today, which admittedly touch on just some of the relevant reform issues before the committee, I reiterate that the analytical questions they raise apply beyond the specific policies discussed. First, heightened international competition occurs both in foreign markets and the domestic market, and therefore tax policy changes need to address both situations. Often, maintaining a broad tax base with a low tax rate is the most effective policy to ensure that the competitiveness of producers in both situations is encouraged. Second, effects of tax changes on capital flows and investment income, and not just on the cost of capital, are important parts of predicting how tax policy changes affect competitiveness. Policies that have the desirable effect of increasing U.S. efficiency and growth do not necessarily improve the U.S. trade balance. Third, even if the U.S. system of taxing foreign-source income approximates an exemption system, would there be major consequences from establishing that as a matter of policy? Fundamental questions of what income is to be taxed, or whether different regimes are appropriate for different types of income, must be answered. I regard these perspectives as important in considering reforms of the international tax system. Work Cited Bailey, Martin and Robert Lawrence, "Appropriate Allocation Rules for the 861-8 Regulation," Council on Research and Technology, (1992) Boadway, Robin and Neil Bruce, "Problems with Integrating Corporate and Personal Income taxes in an Open Economy, Journal of Public Economics, (June 1992): 39-66. Frisch, Daniel, "The Economics of International Tax Policy: Some Old and New Approaches," Tax Notes (April 30, 1990): 581-591. Grubert, Harry and John Mutti, "Taxing Multinational Corporations in a World with Portfolio Flows and R&D: Is Capital Export Neutrality Obsolete?" International Tax and Public Finance, (1995): 439-457. Grubert, Harry and John Mutti, "International Aspects of Corporate Tax Integration: the Contrasting Role of Debt and Equity," National Tax Journal (1994): 111-133. Hufbauer, Gary, U.S. Taxation of International Income, Blueprints for Reform, Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics (1992). Joint Committee on Taxation, Committee on Ways and Means, Factors Affecting the Competitiveness of the United States (May 30, 1991).

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