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Copyright 2000 / Los Angeles Times  
Los Angeles Times

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July 9, 2000, Sunday, Home Edition

SECTION: Opinion; Part M; Page 2; Opinion Desk

LENGTH: 1150 words

HEADLINE: THE NATION / THE SUPREME COURT; 
IT'S ALL ABOUT O'CONNOR

BYLINE: Edward P. Lazarus, Edward P. Lazarus is the legal correspondent for Talk magazine and, the author of "Closed Chambers: The Rise, Fall, and Future of the Modern, Supreme Court." 


BODY:
According to conventional wisdom, the current U.S. Supreme Court is highly unpredictable. It lurches without consistency from politically liberal decisions, like the ruling that Nebraska's ban on partial-birth abortions violated a woman's right to choose, to politically conservative ones, like the ruling striking down the Violence Against Women Act as an intrusion on state's rights.

This is half-right. The court does lurch across the political spectrum. But in at least one important sense, the court is predictable: As Justice Sandra Day O'Connor votes, so goes the court. During the just-completed term, the court issued full-blown opinions in 74 cases. O'Connor voted in dissent only four times, tying the modern record for fewest votes in the minority. (By contrast, Justice John Paul Stevens dissented in 27.) O'Connor's feat is all the more remarkable when one considers the justices split 5-4 in 21 of the 74 decided cases, the highest percentage of 5-4 splits in a decade. Simply put, though the justices are closely divided on many issues, O'Connor holds the balance of power and wields it to uncommon effect.

Yet, these impressive statistics do not fully capture the enormity of O'Connor's swing-voting influence. In many of the most fiercely contested and vital areas of law, she is not merely one undifferentiated member of a narrow five-justice majority. Instead, O'Connor seems to purposefully write separately from the majority, knowing that, because her vote is essential to that side, she can bend the court--and the law--to her will.

Take the issue of abortion. Through separate writings in 5-4 cases, O'Connor has forced on the court her test for determining the legality of restrictions: They are legal unless a restriction imposes an "undue burden" on a woman's right to choose. O'Connor, moreover, is adamant about having her personal view of what constitutes an "undue burden" prevail at the court. In the recent partial-birth abortion case, for example, she wrote separately from the other four members of the majority to signal that in her almost surely controlling view that a more carefully crafted ban would be constitutional.

O'Connor is similarly in charge in the many cases defining the constitutionally mandated separation of church and state. Through separate concurrences, O'Connor created her own idiosyncratic test for deciding whether a challenged state action constitutes an impermissible establishment of religion. In her view, the Constitution precludes government-sponsored activity that appears to "endorse" religion.

Because of the deep split at the court in cases involving religion--whether the issue is school prayer, a holiday display or government subsidies for sectarian schools--O'Connor's test holds sway. Indeed, O'Connor worked hard this term to preserve her pivotal role in the religion case and already seems to have positioned herself between the court's rival factions on the issue of school vouchers, the next likely landmark challenge in this field.

Ditto in the area of affirmative action. The court is split 4-4 between those justices (William H. Rehnquist, Antonin Scalia, Anthony M. Kennedy and Clarence Thomas) who would end affirmative action entirely and those (Stevens, David A. Souter, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and Stephen Breyer) who would permit it fairly liberally. At the center again, O'Connor dominated every affirmation-action case in the last decade with her not-never-but-almost-never approach. That influence shows no signs of waning.

All told, it does not seem too much to say that O'Connor is probably the most powerful woman in the world. The Supreme Court is unsurpassed among Western judicial institutions in the reach of its authority. On the current court, which shows an eagerness to flex its muscles, O'Connor not only dictates on matters of race, religion and the right to privacy, she is the leading force behind the court's dramatic revival of the doctrine of state's rights as a curb on the federal government.

This concentration of authority is regrettable. Part of the problem is institutional. When a court consistently decides its most important cases by a 5-4 division, it is deeply unsettling, especially when, as with this Supreme Court, its rulings frequently strike down major legislation or overturn long-standing precedents. So much the worse when the huge legal issues of the day are controlled not by five justices, but one.

Of course, this predicament is not entirely O'Connor's fault. Her position as the swing vote is dictated significantly by the court's deep and unbridgeable division and O'Connor's efforts to moderate the persistent radicalism of her supposedly more "conservative" brethren.

But identifying the reasons for O'Connor's influence does not change the damage done when the Supreme Court is effectively reduced from a body of nine to a body of one. That damage is heightened by the highly personalized nature of O'Connor's jurisprudence.

What is an "undue burden" on the right to abortion except what O'Connor says it is? What is an "endorsement" of religion? Such standards are either inherently circular or of a purely I-know-it-when-I-see-it variety. Personalized judgment has a place in the law and may, at times, be inescapable, as with such matters as pornography, which many view as being in the eye of the beholder. But O'Connor's constant resort to self-referential formulas when deciding fundamental issues of civil liberty fuels the idea corrosive to the rule of law that our rights are creatures of an individual justice's personal preferences.

Certainly, the way O'Connor applies her own standards encourages this view. In her 20 years on the court, O'Connor has consistently struck down race-based affirmative-action plans. Yet, in a landmark case, she cast the decisive vote approving such a plan for women. Similarly, this term, O'Connor provided the crucial fifth vote for permitting the Boy Scouts of America to exclude gays. In the majority view that O'Connor joined, the Boy Scouts' right to freedom of association trumped the right of gays not to be discriminated against. How is it, then, that a few years before, in a case raising a nearly identical clash of rights, O'Connor wrote the majority opinion forcing the Jaycees to admit women.

Liberals have come to celebrate the role O'Connor plays, despite her basic conservatism. As they see it, O'Connor saved Roe vs. Wade (sort of) and, as far as the left is concerned, is all that stands between this court and a legal abyss of Rehnquist's and Scalia's design.

But the cost to the law is great. For lower-court judges, prospective litigants and the lay public as a whole, O'Connor's wholesale dominance of the law is a formula for uncertainty, confusion and a sickly dependence. Unfortunately, that is the real legacy of the court's recently completed term. *

GRAPHIC: GRAPHIC-DRAWING: (no caption), HENRIK DRESCHER / For The Times

LOAD-DATE: July 9, 2000




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