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03-03-2001

POLITICS: The Insiders

Ever hear of a guy named Gary Claxton? No? Then perhaps you'd recognize
him by his most recent job title: deputy assistant secretary of Health and
Human Services for health policy in the office of the assistant secretary
for planning and evaluation.

Still doesn't ring any bells?

Okay, let's try a different tack. Ever worry about just who can have access to your medical records? Then it may interest you to know that it was largely up to this 44-year-old former political science major and law school escapee, holed up in an office in the behemoth Hubert Humphrey Building, to devise medical-privacy standards intended to be the law of the land. So sensitive are the rules that the Bush Administration-lobbied by business interests-has just decided to delay and review them.

And that was only one of dozens of deeply sensitive policy matters he was charged with handling in the Clinton Administration. "It was the best health job in the government," says Claxton, now ensconced at the Institute for Health Care Research and Policy at Georgetown University.

Now that Bush has made his top White House and Cabinet picks, most Americans, no doubt, believe that his team is in place. After all, from here on out, whenever the Administration makes headlines around the country, it will likely be over the mugs of Bush or his Secretaries.

Political insiders, of course, know that it takes a lot more than a few towers to make a power grid. Indeed, at this moment, from Austin to Akron, and from Anchorage to Atlanta, Bush Administration wanna-bes-be they lofty academics or lowly former campaign grunts, friends or fund-raisers for the man in the Oval Office-are running grubby index fingers down the 334 pages of the "Plum Book," the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee's indispensable listing of the 6,722 government jobs that the new Administration gets to fill, and are mentally decorating their new offices.

But even the Plum Book can't tell you just how power emanates outward from the West Wing. In fact, says Paul Light, of the Brookings Institution, government has acquired so many new layers of political appointees over the decades that "power has been diffused, and so has accountability." Back in 1960, for example, there were only 78 jobs carrying the title of deputy assistant secretary, said Light. By 1998, there were 484 such slots.

The people who actually convert philosophy into policy and practices often have comically long titles and aren't at the top of the pay or prestige scales. Many of them will never brief the President directly, and only a few of them will experience the pomp and glitter of a state dinner. But "why would you want that?" asks Claxton, scorn saturating his voice. "I don't give a damn about that." Most, like Claxton, will spend four years turning pale under out-of-the-way fluorescent fixtures. A few will suddenly find themselves blinking into television klieg lights because of, say, a run on the Turkish lira, or maybe an airline strike.

But visibility can be a mixed bag. Elizabeth Moler, who ran the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission during the Clinton Administration, remembers being surprised to learn, on meeting her counterpart from England, that the woman was dogged by the tabloids, her garbage sifted through, her children taunted at school. "FERC has been a very obscure place," she says. That obscurity, however, may have vanished when the lights flickered out in Silicon Valley earlier this year.

And there are important reasons for the President to hope that his lesser-ranking appointees keep a low profile: He may accomplish more by issuing byzantine rule changes and advisory letters-or by having his appointees simply sit on the bureaucracy's initiatives-than he ever could by clapping the shoulders of Democrats and liberal Republicans on Capitol Hill. What follows is a look at a dozen or so of the sub-Cabinet-level transformers who will be critical to the wiring of the Bush Administration.

At the Pentagon's Heart

Comptroller, Department of Defense

Among the Washington power elite, the Pentagon comptroller rarely makes headlines, and his comings and goings are little noted on the society pages. Few could pick him out at a Georgetown cocktail party. Yet, as the chief financial officer for the Defense Department, comptroller-designee Dov S. Zakheim will have direct influence over programs and policies that are worth hundreds of billions of dollars and affect tens of thousands of lives. Congressional aides, senior representatives of the armed services, defense-industry executives, and numerous Washington insiders will all bring their problems to his office for the same reason that Willie Sutton robbed banks: because that's where the money is.

"The job of comptroller is so central to Defense Department operations, because the lifeblood of the Pentagon is money, and people know that you are the person responsible for pumping oxygenated blood throughout the system on a daily basis," said John Hamre, who rose from comptroller to the Pentagon's No. 2 job-deputy secretary of Defense-during the Clinton Administration. "The comptroller's office is also a key linchpin connecting the Pentagon and Congress, because increasingly over the last 20 years, Congress gives direction to the Defense Department by controlling how it spends money." And because the comptroller is the Pentagon's money juggler, his is a uniquely important job: It's the comptroller who has a key role in presenting choices to a new President striving to fulfill a campaign promise to strengthen, reform, and transform the military-all while not spending much more money.

By most accounts, Zakheim is a good fit for the post, in terms of both personal temperament and experience. He was deputy defense undersecretary for planning and resources during the Reagan Administration, where he earned a reputation as an able troubleshooter. One of the toughest challenges for Zakheim-an American Orthodox Jew-was leading the Pentagon's campaign to kill Israel's Lavi fighter jet program, which was being funded largely with U.S. military aid. In the process, Zakheim displayed a talent for personal persuasion, knowledge of Pentagon inner workings and the defense industry, and skill in international diplomacy. Since leaving the Pentagon, Zakheim has served on a couple of Pentagon task forces, and was chief executive officer of SPC International, a defense technology firm.

"I think Dov Zakheim is extremely well suited for the comptroller job," said Loren Thompson, a longtime defense consultant and the chief operating officer of the Lexington Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington, Va. "He has a combination of intellect and a congenial character that makes him both respected and likable, which is important in the Pentagon bureaucracy. And, perhaps from all the time he has spent in Israel, Zakheim seems to have a genuine conviction that behind all the bureaucratic processes, this business is really about America's survival."

One of Zakheim's greatest initial challenges in the Pentagon will be getting his arms around a convoluted financial management system that still cannot accurately account for billions of dollars in defense disbursements and inventory on any given day. That explains why the comptroller's job also has a downside, said Gordon Adams, director of Security Policy Studies at George Washington University, who served at the Office of Management and Budget during the Clinton Administration. "Because the comptroller is responsible for all the fiscal sinews of the Pentagon," Adams said, "he is the first person they will call when a `waste, fraud, and abuse' story makes the news."

The Medicare Maven

Administrator, Health Care Financing Administration

President Bush's plans to revamp Medicare could take years to run the legislative gauntlet. But he could sidestep Congress by implementing some of his ideas through the regulatory process-in particular, through the Health Care Financing Administration.

HCFA, which is a branch of the Health and Human Services Department, runs the Medicare program for the elderly and oversees the federal-state Medicaid program for the poor. By promulgating-or dismantling-regulations, the head of HCFA may be able to spur more participation by private managed care health plans in both programs. Providing additional managed care options for Medicare and Medicaid recipients is a key part of Bush's health care platform; currently, more than 80 percent of seniors still use Medicare's traditional fee-for-service program.

"Democrats had their foot on the brake on Medicare+Choice," the HMO part of Medicare, a health care lobbyist said. "They clearly didn't like private health plans." A Republican-led HCFA, to the contrary, could promote Medicare HMOs by cutting back on regulations, better publicizing managed care options, and asking Congress for more money for Medicare HMOs.

Managed care executives cite burdensome administrative regulations as a main reason why HMOs have fled Medicare and are beginning to leave Medicaid. And the executives are hopeful that the new HCFA chief, who has yet to be chosen, will lighten the load. "We're hearing an attention to the administrative issues here, which is very encouraging," said Karen Ignagni, president of the American Association of Health Plans, which represents managed care health plans.

HCFA could test Medicare reform concepts through demonstration projects, said Gail Wilensky, a former HCFA administrator who chairs the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, which advises Congress on Medicare policy. HCFA could also create demonstrations to test prescription drug coverage proposals and competitive bidding arrangements, she said.

Medicaid, too, has the potential to undergo huge change under a new HCFA chief. In particular, HCFA could give states more latitude to structure Medicaid rules to their liking. Ron Pollack, executive director of Families USA, a consumer advocacy group, says he fears the result could be a Medicaid with fewer benefits and higher costs for participants. At worst, it could mean an end to Medicaid's entitlement status, he said. "HCFA will play a crucial role in granting or not granting waivers," Pollack said. "For states that don't want to follow the law that exists, there are waivers."

For example, he said, North Carolina placed a cap on enrollment in its Children's Health Insurance Program. States can't do that for Medicaid, because it's an entitlement program. Not without a waiver, that is. "There are potentially huge consequences," according to Pollack.

Pollack says that no one should underestimate HCFA's power. "They can achieve through the back door what they couldn't get through the front door."

One possible candidate for the HCFA post is Tom Scully, president of the Federation of American Hospitals, the trade association that represents for-profit hospitals. Scully, who was the lead health care adviser at OMB under former President Bush, is politically savvy and well connected to key members of Congress-both Republicans and Democrats. Another possible candidate is Bobby Jindal, who was the staff director for the Bipartisan Commission on the Future of Medicare in 1998.

Workplace Watchdog

Assistant Secretary of Labor, OSHA

When the person selected to become assistant secretary of Labor for the Occupational Safety and Health Administration reports to work for the first time, he or she will find the OSHA office in a special spot-"the basement of hell," jokes Pat Cleary, vice president of human resources policy at the National Association of Manufacturers. "I can't imagine a harder job. You've got people like me, on both sides of the aisle, sniping at you, no matter what you do."

Directing the agency that regulates and enforces workplace safety is difficult because it requires striking a balance between the highly competitive interests of business and of organized labor. Pat Tyson, who served as OSHA's acting assistant secretary during the Reagan years, agrees that the post is not for the fainthearted. "If I had everyone a little mad at me, then I'd think I probably made the right decision," he said. "It's just that kind of job."

During a Republican Administration, expect a lot more of the criticism to come from the labor camp. Peg Seminario, the AFL-CIO's director of health and safety, fears that the Bush Administration's new assistant secretary will have a more pro-business slant than the Clinton Administration's Charles Jeffress did. "We're worried, based on past history," she said. "Reagan was so bad across the board on workplace safety and regulations."

One hot button will be ergonomics, which is the study of equipment design intended to reduce worker fatigue and discomfort. In November, during the final weeks of the Clinton Administration, OSHA issued standards compelling most employers to install equipment to reduce injuries caused by repetitive motions. The standards went into effect in January. OSHA maintains that its ergonomics rules will prevent on-the-job injuries, but businesses complain that compliance will cost them billions of dollars. Tyson points out that Congress, the courts, and the Bush White House could all strike down OSHA's new rules. Still, he says, the issue-in one way or another-will likely end up in the new assistant secretary's lap.

Cleary, whose group represents manufacturers, believes that the new assistant secretary can help shift OSHA's focus from enforcement of workplace safety rules to compliance on these issues. "They spend three times as much on `Gotcha' than `Here, let me help you with this,' " he said. "OSHA still has a cop on every street corner."

Global Coordinator

Deputy National Security Advisor

Integrating America's global economic policies with more-traditional foreign policy (especially national security concerns) has become an increasingly weighty challenge for Washington policy-makers. More and more of the international messes that land on the White House doorstep-such as the 1997 Asian financial crisis-involve both economic and strategic considerations.

Many Wall Street analysts and trade luminaries fret that the Bush Administration isn't up to the challenge. Enter the many-titled Gary R. Edson. As the new deputy assistant to the President for international economic affairs and a deputy national security adviser, he has the considerable challenge of trying to make sure that important, although sometimes subtle, offshore economic problems get the attention they deserve.

Toward the same end, the Clinton Administration created the National Economic Council to help coordinate domestic and international economic policy-making. The Bushies have decided that Edson, as their international economic policy maven, will sit on the National Security Council, where he will serve as a deputy both to Larry Lindsey, the assistant to the President for economic policy, and to Condoleezza Rice, the national security adviser. Edson will also be the lead U.S. coordinator for the annual summits of the Group of Eight industrialized nations.

Bush Administration officials contend that, regardless of where Edson sits, economic issues will not play second fiddle to foreign policy concerns. "We have no obligation to adopt the Clinton template for organizing the White House around these issues," said Joshua Bolten, White House deputy chief of staff for policy. In any event, Edson couldn't have better credentials. He was chief of staff and general counsel to U.S. Trade Representative Carla A. Hills in the elder Bush's Administration, and was a senior aide to Deputy Secretary of State Kenneth W. Dam during President Reagan's first term.

Along the way, he has established close ties with people who are now key players in George W.'s Administration. "You can't overestimate personal relationships, because you need to integrate personalities to integrate policies," said Daniel Tarullo, a professor at Georgetown University Law Center who had many of Edson's responsibilities in the Clinton White House.

And, in the end, Tarullo adds, "the real question will be: What is the attitude of the people at the top? Do they genuinely understand that economics has its own integrity?" It will take a significant international financial red alert-possibly the meltdown under way in Turkey, or an internal White House debate over economic sanctions against Iraq or China-to answer that question and to measure Edson's influence.

Focusing on Bias

Chairman, Equal Employment Opportunity Commission

Civil rights activists and affirmative action opponents may be riveted on who will lead the high-profile Civil Rights Division at the Justice Department, but there is another pivotal anti-discrimination slot ready for President Bush to fill-the chairmanship of the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission.

Currently, the five-member commission has two vacancies, which leaves Bush free to appoint two people and install them as chairman and vice chairman. The EEOC is "a very potent agency," says Clint Bolick, vice president and director of litigation at the libertarian Institute for Justice.

Unlike the Justice Department, which monitors government malfeasance, the commission focuses on private employers, ranging from automakers to retailers. Its mandate is to enforce federal statutes prohibiting employment discrimination on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, national origin, age, or disability.

The commission can set policy through its interpretations of these job discrimination laws, as well as through litigation. "The EEOC sets the tenor for discrimination law, even to an extent greater than the Justice Department," Bolick says. And most of EEOC's policy initiatives on employment discrimination originate with its chairman, notes Donald R. Livingston, former general counsel of the EEOC and a partner at Akin, Gump, Strauss, Hauer & Feld in Washington.

Will Bush's chairman try to advance policies revered in conservative legal circles-those that, for example, seek to limit the reach of affirmative action and sex discrimination laws?

"A lot of those cases are going to be handled the same way, no matter who the President is," says Roger Clegg, general counsel for the Center for Equal Opportunity. "But there are areas where there are differences of opinion of how to interpret the law, and one of those is affirmative action.... [ Another is] how to interpret the Americans With Disabilities Act." He adds that he hopes the Bush Administration's approach to hiring preferences based on race, ethnicity, and sex will be very different from its predecessor's. "The Clinton Administration has been very aggressive and unforgiving to private employers in the way that it has been interpreting [these statutes]," he said.

Deep in the Bowels of OMB

Administrator, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs

If business leaders have their way, the next head of a certain obscure department within the Office of Management and Budget will once again put the bite on regulatory proposals that put the bite on business.

President Bush has not announced who will direct OMB's Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. The person mentioned most often is John Graham, who runs Harvard's Center for Risk Analysis-a center popular with business interests.

"We'd like to see OIRA re-established as a gatekeeper," said R. Bruce Josten, executive vice president for government affairs at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Chamber officials and many other business leaders believe that OIRA should function as it did during the Reagan Administration and the earlier Bush one-as the office that sternly questions or even stops rules that agencies have proposed. They contend that President Clinton allowed agencies to run wild with their rule proposals.

But supporters of Clinton's approach say that OIRA worked with federal agencies to craft proposals, rather than simply waiting for the agencies to forward them to OMB. "OIRA was fully engaged in the process," insists Jacob Lew, Clinton's last OMB director. "We were partners rather than antagonists.... [We weren't] the traffic cop who said no."

In contrast, the Bush Administration is not hesitating to give the red light to regulatory proposals left over from the Clinton era. On Jan. 26, OMB Director Mitchell Daniels asked agency heads to withdraw from OIRA virtually all pending rules that were products of the Clinton Administration.

Under Bush, OIRA's role will almost certainly change to business's liking. Yet Josten insists that the chamber's goal is not to make the office unduly obstructionist. "The objective is to improve rule-making, not to stop rule-making," he said.

But some longtime OMB-watchers are suspicious. Under the Reagan and George H.W. Bush Administrations, OMB essentially blackmailed agencies, one critic charged. In order to get more leverage over controversial rules, OIRA would hold up noncontroversial ones, said Gary Bass, executive director of OMB Watch, an independent public-interest group. "Things went in and may have never come out," he added. "At times, the Reagan and Bush OMBs ran roughshod over agencies."

That did not happen during the Clinton Administration, Lew said. He added that opponents of Clinton-issued rules may discover exactly how well OIRA operated if they try to challenge those regulations that have come under fire, including last-minute ones.

"It may be frustrating, for those who would like to reverse things, that OIRA did its job well," Lew said. "The record behind the rule-making, in every case I'm familiar with, is strong."

The Overseer of Financial Markets

Undersecretary of Treasury for Domestic Finance

Famed for the dazzling gold blossoms they can sometimes produce, financial markets are nevertheless fragile plants. They can wilt on a whiff of public pessimism, or suddenly succumb to a hidden tangle in their roots.

Treasury Secretaries are supposed to help keep these hothouse creatures thriving. For that, they need credibility on Wall Street and a thorough understanding of the markets' complex subterranean structure-or at least a good gardener on the staff who can provide both.

The one who wields the trowels, checks for fungi, and stakes droopy stems is actually three tiers down the organizational ladder: the undersecretary of the Treasury for domestic finance. An already-powerful post, it's likely to take on added importance in a department where neither the Treasury Secretary-industrialist Paul O'Neill-nor his rumored choice for the No. 2 slot-law professor Kenneth Dam-is from the world of high finance.

Persistent leaks have this undersecretary job going to Peter Fisher, who, as executive vice president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, has intimate links to the financial powers-that-are: Alan Greenspan and the bond markets.

The job lacks the power of fiat given to the heads of all those alphabet-soup banking and securities regulators, but its breadth gives its holder increasing clout. As technology blurs the lines among banking, securities, insurance, and even commerce, "what's really needed is to bring together the banking and other financial agencies," said Robert R. Glauber, who had the job in the first Bush Administration. The undersecretary's post "is a natural place for it all to come together."

Past undersecretaries have effectively run the President's Working Group on Financial Markets, which looks at threats to the financial system and is composed of top banking and securities regulators.

The undersecretary typically takes the lead in drafting major financial reform bills and shepherding them through Congress. Previous undersecretaries oversaw the passage of the 1999 law that tore down the barriers separating banking, insurance, and securities firms. The next undersecretary will be key in deciding how that actually works, because Treasury and the Federal Reserve now share power to decide what new lines of business banks can enter. Other hot upcoming issues he or she will face include whether to tighten the reins on government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and whether to allow insurance companies to be chartered and regulated at the federal, rather than the state, level.

The undersecretary also handles management of the federal debt, a task, ironically, that gets tougher and more sensitive as the debt dwindles.

No one doubts that Fisher-who is now in charge of carrying out the Fed's monetary policy through the buying and selling of federal debt-is hugely qualified for the job. But he could face some congressional hazing over his role in the Fed's 1998 salvage operation on that Titanic of hedge funds, Long-Term Capital Management.

The Procurer

Administrator, Office of Federal Procurement Policy

Unless you are a government contractor, you can go through life without giving a moment's thought to the Office of Federal Procurement Policy. This small part of the Office of Management and Budget oversees the government's procurement of more than $200 billion worth of products and services each year. President Bush has yet to name an administrator to head the office, but whoever gets the job may be thrust into several high-stakes controversies, including oversight of faith-based-initiative and affirmative action contracts.

Under President Clinton, the office was used to streamline government procurement practices, and it successfully reduced red tape and cut costs, say industry officials. Now, groups such as the Information Technology Association of America want Bush's OFPP to continue to improve along those lines, said Harris Miller, the association's president. To that end, the association has given its support to one of several applicants for the office, Miller said. He declined to name any of the applicants but said they have experience in both government and industry. "We care a lot" about the OFPP, he said. "It has a lot of impact."

But the Bush Administration may have its own focus. John DiIulio, who directs Bush's Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives, says the government needs to develop new yardsticks to measure the performance of faith-based service providers, who will bid for contracts overseen by OFPP. The new yardsticks should measure outcomes, he said, such as how long a faith-based organization's clients stay off drugs. Any proposed yardsticks are bound to spur criticism from opponents of the faith-based-initiatives program.

Bush's OFPP will also have to deal with some Clinton Administration legacies, specifically its "blacklisting" policy. Under this regulation, issued on Dec. 20, government contract officers were encouraged to examine bidders' compliance with a wide range of federal laws, including civil rights, antitrust, and tax laws. Industry officials fear the new regulation gives government agencies more power to penalize them for real or alleged violations, even if their contract bids are judged to offer the most value to government buyers. On Feb. 2, the General Services Administration issued a memo saying the rule should be voluntarily lifted for six months, and sparked protests from three Democratic Senators.

Also, if the Bush White House decides to reform affirmative action programs-or even if it merely decides to leave Clinton-era policies intact-the OFPP will find itself at the center of subsequent disputes because it is responsible for the details of contract policies that steer more than $5 billion per year to minority-owned firms through the Small Business Administration's 8(a) and Small Disadvantaged Business Certification programs.

The Numbers' Cruncher

Deputy Assistant Secretary of Treasury for Tax Analysis

There's no argument about who is at the top of the marquee for tax matters in the executive branch. The assistant secretary of the Treasury for tax policy is the public face of the Administration when it comes to taxes. Not only must the assistant secretary testify before Congress and face the press on tax issues, but the appointee is also ultimately responsible for drafting legislation, reviewing tax regulations, and negotiating tax treaties. Perhaps most important, he or she is the person who must explain tax policy to the President.

One of the assistant secretary's deputies, however, plays a less visible role that is nearly as important, and could be crucial for President Bush's top priority this year-his $1.6 trillion tax cut. By tradition, the deputy assistant secretary for tax analysis is the top-ranking tax economist at Treasury. When it comes to the numbers-crunching-and Treasury's tax people do a lot of it-the deputy for tax analysis is in charge.

Few outsiders know it, but it is Treasury, and not the Office of Management and Budget, that is responsible for the entire revenue side of the federal budget. The deputy for tax analysis supervises this huge accounting and analytical effort. Ordinarily, the fact that no one has yet been named to fill this job would be a problem, but President Bush didn't issue a detailed budget on Feb. 28-only an outline. Treasury officials say they expect to have a deputy for tax analysis in place to help prepare the full budget before its release sometime in April.

The tax deputy represents credibility. "The person in that job is responsible for all the [economic] assumptions," said a key congressional tax staffer. "He's got to have the confidence of the staff on the Hill, and ultimately the members." Perhaps the deputy assistant's most important constituent is the Congressional Budget Office. "When it comes to gauging the economic impact of a proposal, it is really important to have an economist with credibility," said former CBO Director Robert Reischauer. That person's reputation "determines whether the numbers will be laughed at by the top professionals." Among the alumni of this post is R. Glenn Hubbard, a top Bush campaign adviser who was just appointed to be the chairman of Bush's Council of Economic Advisers.

The Brookings Institution's Bob Litan, who was an OMB official under President Clinton, said that the tax deputy may play a lesser role under Bush because of the abundance of tax experts close to the President, including economic czar Larry Lindsey. But one former deputy says that one part of the job never changes. "There's always a conflict with the White House, where the goal is getting out the message, and [Treasury], where the goal is getting it right," said Len Berman, who held the job from 1998 to 2000. "I always felt awkward as a political appointee because you're not supposed to be immune to the political needs of the President, but you also have this obligation to be totally honest."

Safety First

Administrator, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Judith Lee Stone, president of Advocates for Highway and Auto Safety, doesn't understand why the job of National Highway Traffic Safety Administrator is often one of the last major Transportation Department slots to be filled. "It somehow never gets the attention at DOT," she said, and yet "it is always the one dumping the big problems onto the Secretary's desk."

And that remains true. As the Bush Administration looks for someone to oversee the agency that's responsible for setting safety standards in the auto industry, it is well aware that the new administrator will face several troublesome issues. At the top of the list will be Firestone tires and whether the agency should expand the recall of those tires; in fact, the Firestone mess beleaguered the Clinton Administration's outgoing NHTSA administrator, Sue Bailey. Other issues that the new administrator will have to confront include regulatory decisions on air bags, automobile rollover standards, and child-safety seats.

On the regulatory issues, Stone believes that President Bush's NHTSA will side with automakers far more often than the Clinton Administration did-even though Norman Mineta, the new Administration's sole Democratic Cabinet member, sits atop the Transportation Department. "Let's face it-this is a Republican Administration, and they're not as interested in regulatory issues," she said.

Diane Steed, who was Ronald Reagan's NHTSA administrator from 1983-89 and who currently serves on the Bush transportation advisory team, doesn't believe that the new administrator could get away with being the auto industry's lackey. "Any administrator who does that will get killed," she said, because the job description puts so much emphasis on ensuring safety. Instead, she says, the new NHTSA will work to strike a better balance between regulating the industry and promoting safety (by, for example, working to increase seat belt use). Previous Democratic Administrations, Steed contends, spent too much of their time beating up the auto industry with regulations. "It has to be a balanced approach," she said.

Gloria Bergquist, a spokeswoman for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, says that Big Business doesn't always get what it wants from Republican Administrations; she points to the examples of Richard Nixon creating the Environmental Protection Agency and George H.W. Bush signing the 1990 Clean Air Act. "I think, as Michael Jordan is finding out, there is no slam dunk in Washington anymore," she said.

FERC: Back in Fashion

Chairman, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

In a nondescript brick building a few blocks behind Washington's Union Station, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission quietly oversees the nation's energy industries, which account for an impressive 5 percent of the gross domestic product. Ever since the energy crisis of the 1970s, the five-member commission has toiled in near obscurity. Until now.

These days, Curt L. Hebert Jr., whom President Bush named as commission chairman in January, pops up on television news shows and on the front pages of the nation's largest newspapers. Hebert's newfound fame comes in part from California's festering electricity supply problems. FERC does, after all, have authority over electricity transmission and wholesale prices. The commission also governs hydroelectric dam operations, and shipments of oil and natural gas throughout the nation.

But it's also clear that Hebert enjoys the limelight. "He's more obviously political than I was," noted Elizabeth Moler, who was FERC chairman during President Clinton's first term and is now a lawyer at Exelon Corp., a Chicago-based electricity firm.

Hebert is an outspoken supporter of supply-side economics, and he has opposed California's pleas for federal help in resolving its energy problems, which stem from the state's efforts to restructure its electricity industry. "He follows the line that what can be competitive should be competitive," said Branko Terzic, a former FERC commissioner who is now director of energy and utilities services for the business-services firm Deloitte & Touche. "He believes in the discipline of market forces-the negative discipline if you make mistakes and the positive incentives if you do well." Electricity is likely to remain Hebert's main challenge. "The industry is going through major changes because of the electricity restructuring experiments taking place throughout the country," Moler said. "Change attracts attention."

But Hebert's profile will also rise as the White House and Congress develop proposals to increase the nation's domestic energy production and to ease the cross-country transit of electricity, natural gas, and oil. "The role of FERC could be stronger and greater than ever as they go toward a comprehensive energy strategy," said Walker Nolan, an energy lawyer at Oldaker and Harris and a former lobbyist for Edison Electric Institute. "The commission has gone from being a routine regulatory institute to tackling some of the most difficult issues the nation is facing."

As chairman, Hebert's success could depend on his ability to work with other members of the commission. Bush has yet to fill the agency's two open commissioner slots. Insiders say that Hebert also needs to harness the commission's 1,217 employees and $175 million annual budget. So far, he has gotten high marks for naming Kevin Madden, who has served in a variety of posts at FERC, to be general counsel. "Madden is an insider who is well respected at the agency," Moler said.

In Search of a Super-Scientist

Chief Scientist, Environmental Protection Agency (Proposed)

If there's one thing that Republicans, Democrats, industry groups, and environmentalists agree on, it's the premise that environmental protection strategies and rules should be based on sound scientific research.

On this point, EPA Administrator Christine Todd Whitman sought to reassure members of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee during her confirmation hearing on Jan. 17: "Without a level of confidence on the part of the Congress and the people of this country that the department makes decisions based on the very best science available, I don't believe we will have the moral authority, much less the legal authority, to really make a difference."

Behind those comforting words lurks an unsettling reality: The EPA does not have a distinguished scientist directing the research behind rules that protect public health and can cost industries billions of dollars. There is, as a result, strong bipartisan support for the creation of a powerful position at EPA that would take the lead on scientific matters in ways that could dramatically change how key environmental decisions are made in Washington.

Rep. Vernon J. Ehlers, R-Mich., the chairman of the House Science subcommittee overseeing the EPA, has introduced a bill setting up a super-scientist job to oversee the agency's research and to ensure a strong objective voice in policy debates. "I've been bothered for several years that EPA decisions were not always based on good science," said Ehlers, who is a research scientist with a Ph.D. "I think this bill will help remedy that." Ehlers' bill is based on recommendations from a National Academy of Sciences report that was heralded by environmentalists and by such business groups as the Business Roundtable. Sen. George Voinovich, R-Ohio, is working on a companion bill in the Senate. Whitman, however, has yet to weigh in on the idea.

The legislation, which sponsors hope to advance quickly, would create the position of deputy EPA administrator for science. The plan is to install a distinguished scientist to direct the work of the agency's 12 laboratories and some 2,000 scientists, ensuring that sound scientific research underpins all agency decisions.

The EPA's current top science job-assistant administrator for the Office of Research and Development-is one of the agency's weakest and most transient administrative positions, according to the June report by the National Academy of Sciences' National Research Council. The administrator has no authority over scientific work done by EPA program officials or by the agency's regional offices; to be heard, he often must joust with lawyers who run the agency, the report found.

The idea behind creating a deputy administrator slot is to attract someone with an unassailable reputation as a researcher. This person would not only lead science in the agency but would also be a strong, recognizable voice for EPA's science in the public eye. "The agency's senior administrators now are paid to manage, not to do good science," says Robert Huggett, a former EPA assistant administrator for research. "You need to have someone who puts science first."

Julie Kosterlitz, James Kitfield, Marilyn Werber Serafini, Mark Murray, Bruce Stokes, Elisabeth Frater, David Baumann, Neil Munro, John Maggs, Margaret Kriz, Cyril T. Zaneski National Journal
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