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10-05-2002

CONGRESS: The Lawless Congress

If the past is any precedent, Congress should be doing something dramatic
to fix the current budget mess. In 1974, confronting a president who
refused to spend money already appropriated, Congress created its first
formal budget process. In 1985, 1990, 1993, and 1997, amid a growing sea
of red ink, Congress imposed strict deficit controls. But in 2002, as the
budget process has failed, appropriations bills have remained deadlocked,
and budget-enforcement rules have expired, Congress has looked on, doing
next to nothing.

The bicameral, bipartisan gridlock that has stalled a variety of legislation, including bills to create a Homeland Security Department and to provide Medicare prescription drug benefits, is threatening to kill budget rules that have been cobbled together since 1974. Congress has been unable to re-enact a rule, which expired September 30, that requires discretionary spending caps, as well as the pay-as-you-go rule-"paygo" in congressional shorthand

-which requires that spending for new entitlement benefits or revenue losses from new tax cuts be offset elsewhere in the budget.

In the past, a series of crises motivated Congress to create and change budget law. But this year, despite warnings of dire consequences, budgeteers have been unable to reach a consensus on anything. "Without clear direction and constructive goals, the inbuilt political bias in favor of budget deficits likely will again become entrenched," Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told the House Budget Committee last month. "In any case, the bottom line is that if we do not preserve the budget rules and reaffirm our commitment to fiscal responsibility, years of hard effort could be squandered."

Congress's failure to follow a coherent budget process has had the unintended consequence-at least temporarily-of shifting power to the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, where the only binding fiscal restraint may be President Bush's wielding of his veto pen. Although Bush has been reluctant to exercise that power during his 20 months in office (as of October 2 he had yet to issue his first veto), earlier this summer he did refuse to spend some $5.1 billion that Congress appropriated in the fiscal 2002 defense and homeland security supplemental spending bill. But even that action-a clear demonstration of presidential power over congressional desires-failed to energize the factions on Capitol Hill to put aside their differences and restore order before major sections of budget law expired.

Reform in the Wake of Crisis

Few people except the most grizzled budgeteers may remember, but before 1974, Congress had absolutely no order in its budget process. In 1870, Congress passed the Anti-Deficiency Act, which prohibited federal agencies from making obligations to spend more money than Congress had appropriated. In 1921, Congress created the Bureau of the Budget, which later became the Office of Management and Budget, and required the president to submit an annual budget.

In the mid-to-late 1940s, Congress attempted to require passage of a concurrent resolution establishing a budget plan, but the effort fizzled out after the House and Senate were unable to agree on a plan in 1947 and when a minority report attached to the budget in 1948 blasted the process. Until 1974, Congress generally figured out how much money had been spent over the course of a year by adding up legislation it had passed that year.

In 1972, President Nixon began impounding money-refusing to spend domestic funds Congress had appropriated. He lost virtually all legal challenges to the impoundment efforts, but that did not stop him. The Senate Budget Committee estimated that by 1973, Nixon had impounded as much as $15 billion-much of it for federal highways and pollution control projects-the bread and butter of the federal funds that members of Congress deliver to their districts.

Nixon argued that Congress had little rationale for objecting to his actions because it lacked a coherent way to set spending and tax priorities. And so Congress passed the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974. Until the impoundment issue arose, congressional leaders had no particular interest in creating a budget process, said Robert Reischauer, president of the Urban Institute and one of the first two employees of the Congressional Budget Office, which was created by the 1974 law. Congress's desire to reassert its spending authority drove the budget law, Reischauer said, adding that the process reform was "tacked onto" the must-pass impoundment reforms. "The vast majority of members of Congress had no idea what they had voted for," he said. "Even six month later, members were asking what CBO was, what

the Budget committees were."

As envisioned in the initial budget law, CBO was supposed to provide Congress with economic estimates, analyze the president's budget, and provide cost estimates for legislation the House and Senate passed. It was designed to provide Congress with the type of budget expertise the president receives from the OMB.

But the House and Senate had different concepts of what CBO's duties should be, said Alice Rivlin, who became the first CBO director. The House wanted CBO to concentrate on numbers-crunching, while the Senate wanted a policy analysis office. "I was the candidate of the Senate," she said. "The House was quite suspicious." That suspicion helped lead to the decision to locate the CBO's office on the House side of Capitol Hill.

The law also created the congressional Budget committees, which initially were charged with passing two budget resolutions-the first to establish Capitol Hill's spending priorities for the year and the second to tally up how much Congress had actually spent and figure out how to reconcile the differences.

"The first budget resolution was designed to appeal to conservatives, who wanted to control spending," Rivlin said. The second resolution was supposed to force Congress to deal with the problem of having spent more than it specified in the first resolution. "They had created a very complex system," Rivlin said. "Not everybody understood what they were supposed to do."

Establishing a congressional budget process helped level the playing field between Congress and the White House. Nixon had been able to argue in favor of impoundment because various committees on Capitol Hill had no idea what decisions other committees were making, said G. William Hoagland, Republican staff director of the Senate Budget Committee, who was an aide at the Agriculture Department when the law was passed and who later joined the CBO staff. "The right hand didn't know what the left hand was doing," he said. "Congress was driven to putting this process together as an embarrassment because the president was right."

The process survived its initial years because "it was not biased either in favor of big spending or opposed," Reischauer said. "It was neutral. That's hard to believe. Many of the initial debates were about spending more, not spending less."

A Bomb to Drop

As deficits soared, the budget process's neutrality about spending seemed less and less useful. So in 1985, Congress passed a mouthful of a bill called the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act. Few people ever referred to the law that way, instead calling it Gramm-Rudman-Hollings, after the three senators who wrote the bill. The law set year-by-year maximum acceptable budget deficits; if the deficit exceeded that figure in any one year, the president was required to issue an order instituting an across-the-board cut in much of the government's spending.

The 1985 law greatly increased the power of the Senate Budget Committee, said a senior Senate Democratic aide. It instituted several points of order that required 60 votes in the Senate in order to waive the requirements of the act. "It changed the dynamic," the aide said, adding that changing a budget resolution "became an extraordinary thing." In the House, the Budget Committee had to rely on the Rules Committee to ensure that the Budget Act's requirements were not waived.

While many critics have called Gramm-Rudman a failure because it did not control the deficit and did not take critical factors into account in requiring cuts, one of its sponsors still believes it helped slow spending. "There's a bend there," said Sen. Phil Gramm, R-Texas. "Gramm-Rudman had an effect. It didn't take long for the White House and Congress to find ways to cheat. And they did cheat. But it made a big difference."

Congress had "designed a political system that put a gun to their heads," Reischauer said. Gramm-Rudman was extreme and unfair, he said, adding that the "bomb could be dropped for causes that Congress had no control over," such as economic conditions. In addition, cuts were imposed on an appropriations bill even if the bill met its spending target, while others did not. "Sometimes the innocent could be punished because of the actions of the guilty," he contended.

Hoagland said he recalled the day Gramm went into the office of then-Senate Budget Committee Chairman Pete V. Domenici, R-N.M., to pitch his idea. "It sounded crazy at the time," Hoagland said. "It was a formulistic policy."

It was not until 1990 that Congress accepted that controlling spending had only a partial effect on the deficit and that Gramm-Rudman might have been cutting spending in unfair ways. In the spring of that year, Congress learned that the deficit was going to exceed the allowable limit by some $100 billion. OMB later estimated that $85 billion in spending would have to be cut to meet deficit targets. And Congress was going to have to pay a hefty price for having exempted certain programs from a sequester order. The budget office projected a 32 percent cut in defense programs and a 35 percent cut in nondefense spending-clearly unacceptable reductions.

The result was the convening of the much-lamented budget summit, which lasted for months and eventually, with some setbacks, resulted in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990. The new law replaced the impractical sequesters of Gramm-Rudman with two sets of limits. First, it established a requirement for discretionary spending caps for programs under the jurisdiction of the Appropriations committees. And second, it implemented a requirement that any increases in the cost of entitlement programs and tax cuts be paid for by offsetting cuts in other entitlements or by tax increases.

Supporters of the law said the process worked because it held Congress responsible for actions it had taken. "This was a process that succeeded because it was not prospective," Reischauer said. "It was designed to force decisions that already had been made." The law protected Congress from being required to impose arbitrary cuts because of changing economic conditions. "It didn't target a deficit number, so the ups and downs of the economy would not trigger the need for further action," he said.

Although Congress has tinkered with the process and extended the budget-enforcement rules a few times since 1990, the House and Senate have tried to live with this process until now. But over the past several years, the budget process has been weakened significantly, until this year, when it was rendered meaningless. "The Budget Act is like all reforms," said the senior Senate Democratic aide. "It's meant to impose discipline on an unruly system. Then people find ways around it and there's a need for new reforms. You can see it in tax reform. You can see it in campaign finance reform."

Advantage Through Confusion

Several factors helped weaken the budget process. As partisan margins in both houses became tighter, appropriators had more difficulty producing bills that could gain the necessary votes and be signed by the president. To stay under statutory budget caps, everyone looked the other way and agreed to an array of gimmicks that made it appear that caps were being followed, when in reality they were not. The number of programs receiving advance appropriations grew. Federal pay dates were changed. And Congress started designating more and more spending as "emergency" and therefore outside statutory spending caps. House appropriators even designated the 2000 census-required under the Constitution-as an emergency.

Some years, the budget resolution has simply been ignored as the appropriations process dragged on. During those years, Congress has passed budget resolutions setting what are supposed to be discretionary spending caps. But those caps have been routinely ignored, and in the House, Republican appropriators occasionally branded them as unrealistic, even as they were voting for them. "There are those in Congress who seek advantage through confusion," said House Budget Committee Chairman Jim Nussle, R-Iowa. "When the budget is murky, they have an advantage. And they are the ones who stand in the way of reform."

And of course the 1997 balanced budget agreement resulted in the federal budget's actually becoming balanced. "We went into surplus and people's guards went down," said the Senate Democratic aide. Former CBO Director Rudolph Penner, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, agreed. "The combination of a disappearing deficit and politically unrealistic caps proved lethal, and the caps have been ignored de facto ever since," he said in a recent report.

"We had a budget process that was really designed to deal with deficits," said Reischauer. "Surpluses replaced deficits and we were faced with a very difficult challenge." Congress had to decide how much of the surplus could be spent and how much should be set aside for reducing the federal debt. "A consensus was developing that the non-Social Security surplus was up for grabs," he said. Last year, congressional Republicans pushed through a tax cut that tapped the surplus, without paying for it through the paygo rules, arguing that the rules did not apply. "In 1990, the possibility that surpluses might emerge within the decade seemed remote indeed," Greenspan told the House Budget Committee. "When they unexpectedly arrived, the budget-control measures appeared to be addressing a problem that had been solved. Fiscal discipline seemed a less-pressing priority and was increasingly abandoned."

After the September 11 attacks, it again became politically acceptable to run deficits. That acceptance created havoc in the budget process. The House this spring passed a fiscal 2003 budget resolution setting spending at $748.1 billion, roughly the same amount the Bush administration had requested. But House Republican appropriations subcommittee chairmen have said the cap established by the budget resolution does not provide them with sufficient funds to pass the larger domestic appropriations bills. That has resulted in gridlock in the House, as leaders struggle with how to pass the funding measures.

The situation in the Senate is even worse. The Senate Budget Committee was able to produce a budget resolution, but never brought it to the floor because Democrats lacked the votes to pass it. Instead, Senate appropriators set a spending cap at $757.95 billion, some $9 billion more than the House. The breakdown of the budget process has left the funding bills in chaos, even as the fiscal year expired. Without a conference agreement on a budget resolution that established an overall cap on spending, the House and Senate are working with vastly different targets. So even if each house was able to pass its funding bills, it is highly unlikely any conference agreements on the bills could be reached.

"We're at an impasse until we figure out the allocations," Senate Appropriations Committee ranking member Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, said last month. "We have no way to work out the allocations. We really need a budget resolution, which we don't have."

Budgeteers have vowed that they will not repeat the mistakes of this year. But to avoid those mistakes, Congress must reinvigorate the budget process and renew the budget rules. The Senate may soon debate a resolution renewing the paygo rules for this year. While it would apply only to the Senate, the move would be significant. It would mean that any change in entitlement or tax legislation this year will have to be paid for through offsets or the paygo rule will have to be waived by 60 votes. Some supporters of extending prescription drug benefits to Medicare recipients have been looking forward to the October 1 expiration of the paygo rule, saying they would then be able to pass legislation without having to pay for the benefits through offsets. The Senate resolution would make that effort more difficult.

But the Senate rule applies only to fiscal 2003, and after the current budget cycle ends, Congress has no requirements to set budget caps or use paygo rules. A variety of budget reform proposals have surfaced in recent years-including converting the budget process into a two-year cycle and making the budget a resolution that would require the president's signature.

But any reform effort will be complex, warned Stanley Collender, managing director of the federal budget consulting group at Fleishman-Hillard. "There's no consensus on what the problem is, so it would be very difficult to come up with a solution," he said. Rivlin said the process adopted in 1990 and extended since then has worked. "Those of us who work with the budget process think they got it just about right in 1990," she said, adding that the expiring provisions should be extended.

A failure to re-establish an orderly procedure will strengthen the president's hand in dealing with Congress, Hoagland warned. The president's decision not to spend $5.1 billion in the fiscal 2002 supplemental spending bill could be compared with Nixon's impoundment, he said. And Bush will be able to justify vetoing spending bills, citing the lack of a consensus on Capitol Hill. "If you worry about the power shifting, you're going to see an imbalance between the Congress and the White House," Hoagland said.

But any budget reform effort comes at a price. "If you're in Congress, it complicates your life tremendously," Rivlin said. "Discipline always does." Given that price, Congress is unlikely to adopt anything drastic to reform the process, Collender predicted. "Right now, there's not a whole lot of demand that someone does something about the budget," he said. So what about next year? "You just muddle through," he lamented. "It makes for an extremely painful process."

David Baumann National Journal
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