ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AFFIRMS THAT SENATE
FARM BILL WILL BOOST FARM INCOME, ECONOMIC RECOVERY FOR
RURAL COMMUNITIES
Senate Bill Delivers Better
Farm Income and WTO Compliance Than House
Bill
MONDAY, MARCH
4, 2002
WASHINGTON - A new economic analysis
predicts that the Senate's five-year farm bill will
result in stronger farm income than the House bill over
the same period, and should help to speed the process of
settling differences in the House-Senate conference on
the measure, U.S. Senator Tom Harkin (D-IA), chairman of
the Senate Agriculture Committee. The analysis, prepared
by the non-partisan, authoritative Food and Agricultural
Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) of the University of
Missouri and Iowa State University, was released
following briefings of Senate and House Agriculture
Committee staffs today.
"I am encouraged by the fact that FAPRI confirmed
today that the Senate's five-year bill will provide
stronger and more stable farm income for farm families,
as well as be less likely to raise problems in the World
Trade Organization with our trade commitments," Harkin
said. "While pointing out the strength of the Senate
bill compared to the House bill, the FAPRI analysis also
shows that we can bridge our differences in conference
and produce a critically-needed new bill for farm
families and small town communities."
Under the Senate farm bill for the period of 2002-06,
the FAPRI analysis predicts an average annual net farm
income of $46.99 billion. Under the House bill, FAPRI
predicts the annual average for the period would be
$46.42 billion. In 2002, the House bill would improve
farm income by less than $1 billion as compared to a
continuation of existing legislation. In contrast, the
Senate bill would boost 2002 farm income by more than $7
billion.
The comparisons take into account USDA commodity
program and conservation payments expected under the two
bills. Congress is expected to enact a farm bill
covering a five year period.
The analysis also shows that under the Senate's farm
bill there would be significantly less risk of exceeding
the U.S. commitments for agricultural support under the
WTO agreement, than under the House bill. For example,
FAPRI's analysis shows that for 2006, the House bill
would be more than twice as likely to violate the WTO as
the Senate bill (20.6 percent probability for the House
bill versus 9.7 percent for the Senate bill).
"As I have pointed out repeatedly, the Senate bill
will substantially improve farm income, support
conservation, and boost economic development and jobs in
rural communities - and it will stay within our federal
budget limits and comply with our WTO commitments,"
Harkin said. "I look forward to completing the
House-Senate conference on the bill very soon so the new
legislation can start working to help rural America."