The Evolving Federal Milk Marketing
Orders: From 1996 to 2002, and Beyond
By IDFA Chief
Economist and Director of Policy Analysis Bob Yonkers, PhD
As IDFA reported earlier this month, the U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA) recently published a final rule on Class III and
IV price formulas for all Federal Milk Marketing Orders (FMMO).
While this is the latest event in a process that began in 1996, it
may not be the last. When implemented, this final rule will
significantly increase the minimum regulated milk prices paid by
cheese manufacturers regulated by federal orders, while marginally
lowering the minimum milk price paid by manufacturers of some other
dairy products, such as butter, nonfat dry milk, ice cream and
yogurt. The exact impact on fluid milk processors depends on the
complex federal order price formula used, but it is expected that
the average minimum prices for milk used in these products will be
higher.
As we now prepare for the next steps in the process, it is
important to review the extended journey that USDA has taken in
order to "reform" the federal order system.
A Short History of Federal Order Reform
This process
began when Congress required in the 1996 farm bill that USDA
consolidate the existing 33 federal milk marketing areas to between
10 and 14. Congress also indicated, but did not mandate, that USDA
could consider the adoption of component pricing in all marketing
areas. To that end, Congress allowed the use of informal rulemaking
(no hearing was required), rather than the formal rulemaking
procedures that are normally required, to change the federal orders.
USDA then launched an extensive three-year process in which any
interested party had ample opportunity to provide suggestions and
comments to USDA regarding changes in milk price regulation needed
to comply with the farm bill. In April 1999, USDA published the
federal order reform rule. While USDA did not take into account all
of the suggestions submitted by IDFA, the provisions reflected a
serious effort to significantly reform the federal order system, and
IDFA generally supported the rule. However, this reform rule was
never implemented, because several dairy producer groups filed suit
to block its adoption — even though dairy farmers and their
cooperatives voted overwhelmingly to adopt the provisions in USDA
referendums in each of the 11 new federal milk marketing areas.
These same farmer groups also successfully lobbied Congress to
change one key provision of the reform rule, despite the fact that
USDA considered the reform rule as a complete package. Congress
mandated that there be a significant increase in the Class I
differential applied to milk used in fluid dairy products. In
addition, Congress directed USDA to conduct a formal rulemaking
process in order to reconsider the Class III and IV price formulas
contained in the reform rule, with a deadline to implement any
changes by the end of 2000. The plaintiffs in the court cases
withdrew their case, and the modified reform rule was implemented in
January 2000.
The required formal rulemaking began with a five-day hearing in
May 2000 to consider proposed changes to the Class III and Class IV
milk price formulas. With a pressing deadline to implement changes
by the end of 2000, USDA was not able to publish a recommended
decision and accept comments prior to implementing any proposed
changes. Therefore, USDA published a tentative decision in late
November 2000 that was to be implemented in January 2001, with USDA
planning to accept public comments on this tentative decision after
it was implemented. However, IDFA and many others in the dairy
industry believed that at least one provision contained in the
tentative decision (the separate Class III butterfat price) was
improperly included by USDA. IDFA, along with many dairy producer
groups, successfully argued this view in a federal district court;
USDA was forced to implement the tentative decision as modified by
the judge. IDFA also considered several other provisions of the
tentative decision to be incorrectly applied by USDA, so IDFA argued
those points in its comments to USDA. Implemented in January 2001
following the court action, this tentative decision significantly
increased the minimum prices for milk used in all classes under the
federal order system. This can be shown by comparing the milk price
regulations from the reform rule (in effect during the entire 2000
calendar year) with those in the tentative decision (in effect
beginning January 2001 through the present) using the actual
wholesale dairy product prices during the 33-month period from
January 2000 through September 2002:
- USDA's tentative decision implemented as of January 2001
increased the FMMO nonfat solids component price. This in turn
increased the Class IV price for milk with 3.5% butterfat by an
average of 11 cents per cwt for the period from January 2000
through September 2002. The same formula is used for the Class II
milk price, which means this price also increased by 11 cents per
cwt.
- In USDA's tentative decision, there was a separate Class III
butterfat price calculation. However, the U.S. District Court
enacted a stay that prevented USDA from implementing that one
aspect of the overall tentative decision. The result was that the
Class III price, as implemented following the court stay, was an
average of 16 cents per cwt higher, for the period from January
2000 through September 2002.
Based on comments received on
the tentative decision, USDA published a recommended decision in
late October 2001 that contained significant changes to its
tentative decision. This recommended decision would have increased
minimum milk prices even more than the tentative decision did.
Again, IDFA and others submitted detailed comments to USDA to point
out that USDA had mistakenly applied information from the May 2000
hearing in determining the new price formulas.
Nearly 30 months after the May 2000 hearing, USDA published a
final rule in November 2002. USDA adopted only a few of the IDFA's
suggestions in comments submitted on the recommended decision and
continued to ignore information clearly presented in testimony at
the hearing. Again, as has been the case throughout this process,
the milk price formulas in the final rule result in a substantial
change in minimum milk prices — compared to either the tentative
decision price formula now in effect or the reform price formulas
implemented in January 2000:
- Overall, the Class IV price at 3.5% butterfat will be lower
(for any assumed wholesale dairy product prices) than the current
(tentative decision) price formulas. Since the Class II price is
based on the Class IV price formulas — plus 70 cents in both the
final rule and the current price system — Class II prices will
also be lower. For the period beginning January 2000 and ending
September 2002, this difference averages 15 cents lower per cwt of
milk for both Class II and Class IV compared to the tentative
decision price formulas. Compared to what the Class IV price
would have been under the price formulas contained in the reform
rule as implemented in January 2000, the combined net effect of
the tentative decision (as implemented with the court stay) and
the final rule is a FMMO Class IV price which would have been 4
cents lower on average for the period beginning January 2000 and
ending September 2002.
- Overall, the Class III price for milk with 3.5% butterfat will
be higher under the final rule than under the current (tentative
decision) pricing system. For the period January 2000 through
September 2002, this difference averages 19 cents higher per cwt
of milk. Compared to what the Class III price would have been
under the price formulas contained in the reform rule as
implemented in January 2000, the combined net effect of the
tentative decision (as implemented with the court stay) and the
final rule is a FMMO Class III price which would have been 34
cents higher on average for the period beginning January 2000 and
ending September 2002.
The next step will be to
conduct referendums in each of the existing 11 federal order
marketing areas on the entire package of amendments to the milk
price regulations contained in this final rule. In each marketing
area, either two-thirds of all producers supplying milk, or
producers supplying two-thirds of the milk in that marketing area,
must vote to approve the amended federal order. If less than
two-thirds approve in one or more marketing areas, then USDA will
initiate action to terminate federal order milk price regulation in
those areas only.
In addition, several parties are considering legal action
challenging the decision and seeking a stay on implementation of the
rule.
IDFA will continue to press USDA for sound reforms in the ongoing
battle to seek a more market-oriented milk pricing system, and
encourages its members to continue working through IDFA to help USDA
correct its serious missteps in this process.