|
NCC Chairman's
Report to the American Cotton Producers
James E. Echols, National Cotton Council
Chairman
August 10, 2001
Thank you Hollis and members of the American Cotton Producers for
this opportunity to review some of the Council’s activities that
have occurred since your meeting in Birmingham.
The goals we
established at the Council's annual meeting and later during the
spring Board meeting are still at the forefront of our efforts.
Later on, Mark Lange will be leading you through some of the options
and possible trade-off decisions our industry will face soon as we
continue to pursue our goals. And, John Maguire will discuss the
political climate we face in terms of our action timeline and
priorities.
Council leaders have held formal and informal
discussions with Congress on many occasions since our annual meeting
in late January. We have presented testimony to both the House and
Senate Agriculture Committees regarding short and long-term farm
policy and the industry's trade policy priorities. We have also met
with representatives of the White House and with other commodity
organizations-- trying to establish a consensus on how best to deal
with the crippling financial crisis enveloping the cotton industry
and agriculture as a whole.
At the top of our list have been
efforts to obtain Congressional authorization for supplemental
income assistance for 2001. In this regard, I must say I am very
pleased with the progress that has been made. Despite some last
minute concerns, Congress managed to pass the emergency assistance
package for this year just before it recessed. That assistance was
absolutely necessary, and fortunately, will be
timely.
Regarding another of the Council's top priorities, I
am also very encouraged with the progress the House has made toward
enacting a new farm bill. Chairman Combest and Mr. Stenholm have
followed a bipartisan, determined path and they have reported a bill
that meets many of the goals we established at the Council’s annual
meeting and during the spring board meeting. It is a very positive
bill for the cotton industry.
The difficulties in the Senate
concerning the 2001 emergency assistance package centered on money,
of course. And the question was the same one faced by the House –
should they increase 2001 assistance by borrowing from 2002 funds,
or was it more important to preserve 2002 funds for writing a new
farm bill. In the end, the Senate had to follow the lead of the
House and keep the emergency package at $5.5 billion. It was a
difficult choice for many legislators. But ultimately, the Senate
realized it had to act quickly to meet the budget deadline.
While we didn’t get everything we sought in the emergency
package, I think it is important to note that cotton fared better
than other program crops, since we got our normal share of
supplemental payments plus funding for additional cottonseed
assistance.
Looking to the new farm bill, the House proposal,
in many respects, is tailor-made for our industry. It has:
- A marketing loan keyed to world price;
- Retention of cotton’s 3-step competitiveness plan;
- Retention of fixed, decoupled payments;
- A new counter cyclical payment program;
- An option for growers to update their payment bases;
- Retention of full planting flexibility with no mandatory
supply controls; and
- Maintenance of the ELS loan rate and inclusion of the
competitiveness program (Step 2) as an entitlement.
Although we would have preferred to see payment limits
eliminated, the bill does provide for separate and reasonable limits
established for each type of payment and continues the availability
of marketing certificates. So while we didn’t get elimination, we
did get our backup plan.
As positive as this bill is, we
still have work to do. Among our other priorities are the
elimination of the 1.25 cent threshold under step 2, permanent
cottonseed assistance, and freezing the ELS loan rate. In addition,
we continue to seek additional ways to help offset the negative
impact on cotton of the strong U.S. dollar.
Throughout the
past two months, we have communicated these objectives to
Congressional leaders and Administration officials, pointing out the
destructive impact the strong dollar has had on our industry, the
continuing weak prices of cottonseed and the need to ensure that ELS
cotton remains a viable choice for western producers.
The
exchange rate situation is proving to be particularly devastating to
our textile industry. Since 1995, an agricultural trade-weighted
exchange rate index shows the dollar having risen by more than 30%.
As a result, the United States has become a magnet for cotton
textile imports, especially from Asia, and cotton farmers abroad
have experienced a much better cost/price situation than American
farmers.
Last month, U.S. mills consumed cotton at an annual
rate of just under 8 million bales. That compares with 11.4 million
a couple of years ago. Since the first of this year, 45 US textile
plants have been closed with a corresponding loss of 15,000 jobs and
some of the biggest names in textiles. Every week we hear of yet
another mill closing, and many producer and ginner leaders are
asking us, "What can we do to salvage our domestic textile
industry?"
Eliminating the 1.25 cent step 2 threshold won’t
be enough, but it would be a start. Beyond that, we need to find a
way to help the mills offset the devastating impact of the strong
dollar.
The Council’s Economic staff estimate that if the
value of the dollar had not risen from its 1995 relationship to
other currencies, today’s rate of US mill consumption would be 12.3
million bales-- about 4.5 million bales higher than the actual rate.
Think how far that would go toward solving our price and offtake
dilemma.
There are a number of ways exchange rate provisions
could work. But they all cost money and the House bill already
spends all of the $73.5 billion that was authorized for the farm
bill. Among the options we will need to consider is the possibility
that funding for exchange rate adjustments for cotton might have to
come from cotton’s share of the $73.5 billion.
So,
eliminating the 1.25 cent threshold or including exchange rate
provisions in new farm law will almost certainly add one more tough
decision to the list our industry leaders will have to make in the
weeks ahead.
I know every segment will have its own "wish
list" as we continue to work for the best possible farm bill.
Everything I hear suggests that we may have trouble holding what we
have in the House bill. Chairman Harkin has some farm policy ideas
that are considerably different than ours. On the positive side, we
will be able to work closely with Senators Cochran, Helms, Lincoln,
Hutchinson and Miller. As we think about our priorities, I would
suggest to you that elimination of the 1.25 cent threshold needs to
be among our highest priorities as we seek to improve on cotton
provisions. It's an understatement to say that our domestic textile
industry is under very serious economic stress. We all have a stake
in trying to salvage that industry. If we don’t find a way to
deliver some significant assistance, we will almost certainly see
many more bankruptcies and a corresponding sharp reduction in demand
for U.S. cotton.
As always, it boils down primarily to
decisions about money and how to allocate it. And as always, the
seven segments of the cotton industry will have to consider options
with a view as to what’s best for the entire industry.
Our
industry will have to be both united and persistent. And we will
need to muster the kind of diplomacy that has always characterized
cotton leaders when push came to shove and the tough, unity-building
decisions had to be made. It is that kind of willingness to make
reasonable concessions that has set the Council apart from most
other organizations, and I predict it will happen
again. | |