Thank you for that introduction. I appreciate the
invitation to participate in this morning's Southern Ginners' Ag
Update.
I
don't think I have to tell this group that the cotton industry has
dealt with its fair share of difficulties this past year and still
faces a number of important challenges in the coming
months.
In 2001, an already poor cotton business climate got even
worse. Cotton prices at the farmgate were negatively impacted by the
combination of a sluggish U.S. and world economy, a strong dollar,
China's cotton policies, an overabundance of cheap manmade fibers,
unused textile capacity, and weak prices for alternative
crops.
During the previous twelve months, we saw cotton textile
imports rise to record levels, witnessed U.S. textile mill closings
at an unprecedented rate, and saw domestic mill consumption drop to
the lowest level and carryover stocks rise to the highest level
since the mid-1980s.
Our difficult situation in 2001 was made even worse by the
events of September 11. As our nation dealt with this tragedy, we
also faced new security challenges and a shift in national
priorities that diverted attention away from the completion of new
farm legislation. September 11 also introduced new variables into
trade deliberations, as U.S. policymakers considered appropriate
ways to reward certain nations for their help in our war on
terrorism.
Throughout 2001, at the top of the Council's priority list
was getting new farm legislation that retained the best provisions
of the FAIR Act and put into place an improved income safety net. We
needed to achieve these objectives while complying with an overall
spending cap established by a Congressional budget resolution. At
the same time, we had to be mindful of our WTO commitment that puts
a limit on so-called "trade distorting" subsidies.
With analytical assistance from Council staff, industry
leaders reviewed a number of program options. That review led us to
recommend a program that would continue the marketing loan and
3-step competitiveness provisions but would add a benefit delivery
system that relies on a combination of fixed and counter-cyclical
payments. We felt this approach would enable us to achieve the
highest level of total benefits without exceeding the budget limits
while maintaining our WTO commitments.
Our recommendations were unveiled by the Council as the
lead-off witness before the House Agriculture Committee last
February.
To address short-term needs, Congress responded to the
Council's push for agricultural assistance by authorizing $5.5
billion in emergency economic assistance for the 2001 crop. Of this,
$4.7 billion was dedicated to program commodities, including $85
million in supplemental cottonseed assistance.
As Congress struggled to craft new farm legislation, the
industry was determined to get lawmakers to recognize that its
foreign counterparts heavily subsidize agriculture and contribute to
a supply/demand imbalance. The industry's strong response to the
Council's Action Requests helped defeat two amendments that would
have weakened a House bill that included most of the Council’s farm
policy recommendations. (Of course, this is especially important now
- otherwise Farm Bill conferees would be dealing with amendments
from both Houses that place severe funding and payment limit
restrictions on program commodities.) The House proceeded with its
bill despite the events of September 11 and strong opposition from
the Administration. The industry is very grateful to Agriculture
Committee Chairman Larry Combest, committee members and their staff
for the determined and successful effort to craft and pass this
important legislation.
Unfortunately, the Senate got a much later start on farm bill
deliberations and there was considerable doubt about whether that
body would return to farm bill consideration after September 11.
However, the Council and a number of other farm groups urged the
Senate to move ahead.
Thankfully, the Senate did resume deliberations but their
early farm bill proposals were unacceptable to the cotton industry.
Through the persistence of Cotton Belt Senators, especially Senators
Lincoln and Miller, most of the cotton industry's priorities were
eventually included in the bill passed by the Senate Agriculture
Committee in November.
Trade issues shared center stage with farm bill activity in
2001. The cotton industry faced surging imports of cotton textiles,
sagging textile demand worldwide, challenges to important export
assistance programs, new trade agreements with textile producing
countries, a new round of multilateral trade negotiations and the
long-anticipated entry of China into the WTO.
An effective trading relationship with the Caribbean region
has been a primary component of the Council’s strategy to improve
the competitiveness of U.S. textiles and we worked for clarification
of rules implementing CBI legislation.
We also sought to re-direct the broad move in Washington to
expand access to the U.S. textile market.
Despite these initiatives, the House moved aggressively on
several trade expansion fronts and before year’s end, they passed
Trade Promotion Authority - a key part of President Bush’s trade
policy initiatives for 2001.
The Council worked with textile leaders to improve the impact
of these bills on the U.S. textile industry. Our combined efforts
culminated in a number of concessions offered by the Bush
Administration during full House consideration of TPA.
To summarize several other important Council activities from
2001:
-
We sought federal assistance to combat the effects of the
strong dollar and its impact on the U.S. textile sector, in the
form of special loss carryback, loan guarantees, elimination of
the alternative minimum tax and elimination of the 1.25 cent Step
2 threshold.
-
The Council's overseas arm, Cotton Council International,
had a successful year in their aggressive pursuit of finding ways
to get more U.S. raw cotton and manufactured cotton goods
exported. This goal has never been more important, as U.S. mill
use is expected to remain under pressure for the foreseeable
future, creating a greater reliance on export sales.
Turning to this year, the challenge to stay on course and
restore U.S. cotton’s economic health is formidable. We must
reinforce our resolve to educate elected officials on the importance
of a commercially viable production agriculture sector and a healthy
domestic textile industry because the U.S. cotton industry is facing
some of the stiffest international and domestic competition in
history.
Most of cotton's farm policy priorities are included in both
the House and Senate farm bills. Although we were optimistic about
the Senate farm bill in December, the Grassley/Dorgan amendment
radically changed our perspective. As it stands now, the Senate bill
is worse for the cotton farmer than a continuation of current law.
Of course, with the farm bill conference getting underway
this week, there are going to be a number of thorny issues to
resolve along with payment limits.
The White House, who recently voiced support for the budget
agreement of $73.5 billion in new farm spending, said it prefers the
House bill to the Senate bill. The Administration wants to avoid the
Senate bill's "front-end loading." They also support plans for
creating farm savings accounts.
In addition to addressing the Administration's priorities,
the House and Senate conferees will likely be at odds over other
Senate amendments, including those for the packer livestock
ownership ban, Western water rights, 2001 crop and livestock
disaster aid, and lower payment limits for EQIP assistance. In
addition, another Grassley amendment that cleared the Senate
--requiring Congress to rewrite sections of farm law if they
threaten WTO compliance-- will have to be addressed by
conferees.
Farm bill conferees were just announced yesterday afternoon.
As expected, there will be 21 members: seven from the Senate and 14
from the House, with the Republicans having a slight edge in
numbers, at 11 to 10.
Pre-conference discussions have been underway between House
and Senate staff members. I cannot tell you how long it will take to
complete the process. Chairman Combest has said that his priority is
a good farm bill and he does not want to sacrifice that objective to
a quick process. The Council shares that view yet certainly
understands the urgency of getting a bill so crop financing can be
arranged.
As ginners, we need to be very concerned about the potential
outcome of the farm bill conference. The Grassley/Dorgan amendment
continues to benefit from significant support-- despite the fact
that some of the data used by the Environmental Working Group to
lobby this effort is misleading. Our industry must continue to
educate our policy makers of the folly of this approach to farm
policy and the severe ramifications it will have across rural
America.
Fundamentally, the Council's central goal for the remainder
of 2002 is the same as last year - to do whatever is necessary to
restore industry profitability. Obviously, new farm legislation
is an extremely high priority in that quest. However, profitability
cannot be restored through passage of good farm legislation alone.
The economic health of the U.S. cotton industry is inseparably
linked to the health of U.S. agriculture as a whole and to the
health of the U.S. textile industry. Success with our fundamental
mission will depend on our ability to lead a determined and united
industry to:
A
year ago, there may have been some members of the cotton industry
who did not fully understand the implications of trade policy for
our industry. I dare say there are none today that don't see that
connection, just in viewing almost daily headlines showing another
textile mill closing and observing our U.S. mill consumption fall
from more than 11 million bales a few years ago to a current rate of
around 7.5 million.
The industry’s current economic situation is perhaps as dire
as it has been since the Council’s inception during the Great
Depression years. The Council must continue to have the kind of
broad-based industry support and leadership that have enabled us to
deliver against unusual odds for more than 60 years.
Thanks again for the invitation to participate in your
meeting.