Energy:
The New Security Crisis
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Since September
11, adopting a comprehensive energy plan that addresses both supply
and demand is more important than ever before. The unstable Middle
East and the rolling blackouts of California's past two summers make
it clear that America must have abundant, affordable, and reliable
sources of energy. The president and Congress must pass an energy
plan that lessens the nation's dependence on foreign oil and
implements reasonable environmental safeguards that don't bust the
federal budget.
There is no
magic bullet, but there are several ingredients essential to the
recipe for success. First, energy independence requires dependable,
affordable, and environmentally sound resources. Second, funding for
programs that will not provide near-term results should be set
aside. Third, taxes and regulations that impede the development and
distribution of energy must be modified or eliminated. Finally,
Congress must recognize that the war against terrorism includes the
battle to wean America from its dependence on foreign nations that,
but for their oil reserves, might not be allies in this effort.
President Bush's challenge to the world that you are either with us
or with the terrorists could also apply to recalcitrant legislators
and special interests that cling to the same tired old arguments
against sound energy policy even after September 11.
Before any
headway can be made with an energy plan, several myths about the
current energy crisis and future solutions need to be addressed.
Real problems with the quality of the air and water were brought to
light in the early 1970s. Thirty years later, they have largely been
remedied and, today, the environment is vastly improved and getting
cleaner. Although environmental concerns are taken into
consideration when determining public policy, some groups continue
to bellyache and delay or prevent real reform.
From safe
drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to smart electricity
deregulation, there are solutions that can resolve the energy
crisis. All that is needed is the will of the president and Congress
to pass a plan that ensures safe and affordable forms of energy,
thus enhancing national security and economic
growth.
Over the Top Against Oil in ANWR
America must
find additional resources here at home to help wean the economy from
dependence on foreign oil. According to the Pittsburgh Post
Gazette, since 1973 when the first oil embargo was imposed on
the United States and OPEC tripled prices, oil imports have jumped
from 33 percent to 57 percent. U.S. oil production today provides
benefits to communities in need, makes maximum use of the
environmental technology that true environmentalists fought for, and
helps satisfy our nation's energy requirements. Our best source for
additional oil is a little swath of land in the upper left hand
corner of Alaska called the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
(ANWR).
ANWR is a 19.5
million-acre expanse of land, roughly the size of Maine, in a far
corner of Alaska. ANWR is a forbidding, desolate place above the
Arctic Circle, where winter temperatures average –4 degrees
Fahrenheit and summer temperatures average only 41 degrees. It is
not a place environmentalists or tourists visit, yet a small group
of people -- mostly Inupiat Eskimo -- eke out a living there, helped
by revenue from the oil fields.
In the tiny ANWR
village of Kaktovik, on Barter Island in the Beaufort Sea, a full 78
percent of residents favor drilling. Their county government, the
North Slope Borough, receives revenue from oil fields and uses it to
provide services for the villages such as sanitation, water, fuel,
housing, police, fire and search and rescue, education, and
transportation.
Despite the
strong support of these local Alaskans, the Alaska Wilderness League
(AWL) has tried to block drilling of ANWR. Unhappy with the
strong-arm tactics of AWL, the Kaktovik Inupiat Corporation, in
conjunction with the village of Kaktovik, wrote a letter to Internal
Revenue Service Commissioner Charles Rossotti challenging AWL's tax
status. The Corporation is concerned that as a 501(c)3 nonprofit,
AWL's "activities violate the clear intent of Congress...governing
political and lobbying activities." For example, AWL has lobbied
members of Congress to reject ANWR drilling, published congressional
ratings, and funded congressional "junkets" to ANWR.
Only a small
portion of ANWR, called the North Slope, would be drilled. This 1.5
million-acre strip, roughly the size of Delaware, could have
anywhere from 5.7 billion to 16 billion barrels of oil, according to
a report issued by the United States Geological Survey in 1998. That
report assumed the use of drilling technology now nearly a decade
old. Drilling technology has progressed dramatically since then,
both in terms of productivity and environmental
protection.
The amount of
oil in ANWR represents more than 300 times the amount of oil
President Clinton released from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in
an attempt to boost the Gore campaign in the fall of 2000. Based on
December 2000 figures, ANWR's oil would free the United States from
approximately 54 years of future oil imports from Saddam Hussein and
Iraq. Drilling in ANWR could produce as much as 10 percent of U.S.
oil needs for 20 to 25 years, reducing our dependence on foreign oil
and helping every American enjoy a more comfortable and prosperous
life.
Consumption of
crude oil (mostly gasoline) and natural gas is expected to grow over
the next few years. According to the Department of Energy's Energy
Information Administration, total U.S. petroleum consumption is
forecast to increase from 19.5 million barrels per day to 24 –28
million barrels per day by 2020. Most new electricity-generation
capacity planned for the next five years is expected to be natural
gas–fired. New sources of oil and gas will be required to meet U.S.
energy needs over the next century.
To explore the
natural wealth in ANWR and deliver it to American consumers while
supporting local peoples, oil companies are proposing to install
cutting-edge exploration and drilling technology that will cover
about 2,000 acres of surface land -- about the size of an airport --
in ANWR. For example, they will install horizontal production wells,
which are long sections of tubing that pass horizontally through
thin layers of oil. Horizontal drilling technology has developed
rapidly since the first such well was drilled in 1990. Today, 90
percent of the wells drilled in Prudhoe Bay, near ANWR, are
horizontal.
To reduce the
effects of oil exploration on the surface, oil explorers will build
roads made only of ice. These roads will melt in the spring, leaving
no trace after the oil producers go home. And, they will dispose of
drilling mud and cuttings by injecting them back under the earth in
disposal wells.
Environmentalists are also concerned that the drilling would
upset the mating habits of the caribou. In fact, in the Prudhoe Bay
area, where drilling is currently underway, the caribou herd grew
more than nine-fold over the past 20 years to an estimated 28,000
last year. Caribou mating and oil exploration can and do coexist
peacefully.
Yet certain
groups say that ANWR is "our greatest wildlife sanctuary, and
drilling there would be like drilling in Yellowstone National Park
or the Grand Canyon." That would be true, of course, if Yellowstone
and the Grand Canyon were desolate places too cold and forbidding
for tourism. The latest "impediment" raised by opponents of ANWR
drilling is potential violation of the obscure 1995 International
Agreement for the Conservation of Polar Bears. With between 22,000
and 27,000 polar bears on the North Slope, the impact on their dens,
protected under the 1995 treaty, is likely to be
negligible.
The private
sector is ready to make a commitment to preserving the natural
beauty and the animals of ANWR when drilling. The energy bill passed
by the House of Representatives in August 2001 includes the most
stringent environmental protections ever required for domestic gas
and oil production. If entrepreneurs can take a computer the size of
a warehouse and fit it into the palm of a hand, it is possible to
drill in ANWR and protect the environment. It is now up to the
federal government to make a commitment to open up ANWR for
drilling; in particular, for the Senate to follow the lead of the
House.
If Congress
wants to help win the war on terrorism, there are few proposals more
worthy than opening ANWR. It is completely within our control,
unlike the many uncertainties the nation faces in what promises to
be a lengthy war.
Cuckoo to Stop Coal Power
Coal provides
more than 50 percent of the nation's electricity. The National
Mining Association estimates that coal use nationally in 2001 will
reach 1.1 billion tons and exports will add another 65.3 million
tons to the overall demand for U.S. coal.
Despite the
abundance of natural resource, the Clinton Administration shut off
huge swaths of federal land to coal mining and other
energy-productive uses. The administration's magnum opus of
shutdowns was the designation of a huge chunk of land in Utah as the
Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in 1996.
This new
monument contains the Kaiparowits coal field, which is the largest
undeveloped coal deposit in the lower 48 United States, with more
than 62 billion tons of low sulfur, high Btu coal. Its recoverable
coal is estimated to exceed 11 billion tons and the potential for
coal-bed methane has been estimated at 2.6 – 105 trillion cubic
feet. The amount of recoverable coal in Grand Staircase-Escalante is
equivalent to about 10 times the coal production in the entire
United States in 2000. Making these resources available would lower
the cost of energy for Americans and reduce our dependence on
foreign energy sources.
The Grand
Staircase Esacalante shutdown took nearly 2 million acres out of
productive use. It was the best known of the Clinton
Administration's anti-energy moves. In early 2000, Clinton also
established the Parashant National Monument in Northwestern Arizona
on 1,014,000 acres of federal land.
As they took
these lands out of productive use, the Clinton Administration spun
all kinds of claims about their scientific and historical value.
President Clinton's Grand Staircase Escalante designation should go
down in the history of political doublespeak: "An abundance of
packrat middens provides insight into the vegetation and climate of
the past 25,000 years and furnishes context for studies of evolution
and climate change." In other words, the former president thought
that maybe rat holes could help prove that there is global warming.
But the clear message was that he would forgo sensible long-term
energy policy in favor of scoring political points with certain
voters.
Though he did
not reverse President Clinton's national monument designations,
President George W. Bush took a sensible step by reassessing his
campaign promise to regulate emissions of carbon dioxide. Large
quantities of carbon dioxide result from energy production, and
coal-fired power plants are the nation's largest emitters of carbon
dioxide. President Bush had suggested on the campaign trail that he
would seek to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, but he tempered this
view upon seeing the severity of the energy crisis bearing down on
us. Naturally, the opponents of energy production in the
environmental movement howled like partisan hyenas when President
Bush made this change.
Carbon dioxide
is what humans breathe out all day, every day, and it is the basic
raw material that plants use in photosynthesis to convert solar
energy into food, fiber, and other forms of biomass. And, as the
National Academy of Sciences made clear with its 2001 report on
global warming, not enough is known to determine whether the earth
is warming, whether human activity is causing any warming, and
whether the effects of warmer weather would be particularly
adverse.
Even though coal
use has increased by 80 percent since 1970, emissions have declined
by 30 percent. This is because coal energy generators are using
cleaner-burning coal and installing clean technologies like
pollution scrubbers to reduce emissions of nitrogen oxides, sulfur
oxides, and particulate matter.
The abundance of
and demand for coal is another reason why our eyes should be pointed
homeward when we consider energy solutions. America has many natural
resources waiting to be tapped cleanly and safely – and coal is such
an energy source.
No, Never, Not In My Back Yard to
Nuclear
Of all energy
sources, nuclear energy has perhaps the lowest impact on the
environment, including water, land, habitat, species, and air
resources. Nuclear power plants do not produce significant
pollutants, dust or smoke, or "greenhouse" gases. True
environmentalists, who want clean air and water and progress of all
kinds, embrace nuclear power generation. But many other activist
groups oppose both nuclear power and a plan to store used nuclear
fuel at Yucca Mountain, Nevada.
It has been at
least a generation since Jane Fonda trumped up the imagined dangers
of nuclear power in The China Syndrome. Today, despite the
scare tactics used by anti-nuclear activists, the benefits of
nuclear power are becoming more and more apparent to sensible
Americans.
Nuclear power
supplies about 20 percent of the nation's electricity. In 1999,
nuclear-generated power accounted for more than 25 percent of the
power generated in New York State. Nuclear generation brings nearly
half of the power used in Connecticut and more than half of the
power in New Jersey, New Hampshire, and Illinois. In Pennsylvania,
more than 35 percent of the electricity is generated by nuclear
technology, and in Vermont – where environmental issues are
paramount – it is a whopping 85 percent. The question nuclear power
opponents should be asking is how this much energy can be replaced
in a manner that will be environmentally sound and at a reasonable
level of expense to the U.S. economy and national
security.
Nuclear
technology has benefits far beyond the light bulb. Low-level nuclear
irradiation preserves food by killing parasites, insects, and
bacteria, including listeria, salmonella and E. coli. It also
retards non-microbial spoilage of certain foods, increasing their
shelf life. Irradiation is also being used by the United States
Postal Service to neutralize any potential anthrax spores in the
mail.
Medicine also
benefits from nuclear technology. More than 28,000 American doctors
practice medical specialties that use radiation. Indeed, the use of
radiation for medical diagnosis and treatment is so widespread that
nearly 4,000 hospital-based nuclear medicine departments across the
country perform more than 10 million procedures each
year.
There are nearly
100 different nuclear medicine procedures available to virtually
every medical specialty, from pediatrics to cardiology to
psychiatry. Every major organ system can be imaged using nuclear
medicine. This vital technology can identify abnormalities very
early in the progression of a disease -- long before problems are
apparent with other diagnostic tests. Nuclear medicine also has
valuable therapeutic applications such as treatment of
hyperthyroidism, thyroid cancer, blood imbalances, and pain relief
from certain types of bone cancer.
Probably the
most misunderstood aspect of nuclear power is the storage of used
nuclear fuel. New nuclear fuel is formed into hard ceramic pellets.
These pellets are kept in fuel rods, metal tubes into which the
pellets are inserted when they are manufactured. The rods are
grouped into bundles called fuel assemblies, which are loaded into
nuclear reactors.
Used nuclear
fuel retains its hard pellet form. It does not glow green in the
real world, even if it does in popular culture. It cannot explode
and it is not even flammable. A used nuclear fuel pellet contains a
lot of energy, however, which is released inside the reactor through
fission -- the splitting of uranium atoms in a chain reaction.
Inside the nuclear plant, the heat energy produced boils water into
steam, which drives a turbine generator to produce
electricity.
All this energy
contained in such a small amount of matter means that a lot of
energy production creates a very small amount of waste. All of the
nuclear power plants in the entire United States about 2,000 metric
tons of used fuel annually. All the used fuel produced by the
nuclear energy industry across the entire American continent in more
than 40 years of operation would cover an area the size of a
football field to a depth of only about five yards.
The location
designated for storage of this used fuel is a barren stretch of
desert hillside at Yucca Mountain in Nevada. Since 1982, consumers
of nuclear-generated electricity have paid one tenth of one cent for
every kilowatt-hour they have consumed. This fund now totals more
than $16 billion including interest.
In a December
1998 assessment, the Department of Energy (DOE) described how the
natural features of Yucca Mountain would work in concert with the
repository's engineered design to protect public health and safety
for thousands of years into the future. Yucca Mountain is volcanic
rock, or tuff, that was deposited around 13 million years ago. The
area where used fuel would be stored is both deep within the
mountain and high above the water table. DOE analyzed the likelihood
of earthquakes in the area and found the risks from seismic activity
to be low.
DOE's obligation
to take the fuel is not in doubt. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the
Federal Circuit ruled in 1997 that three utilities could maintain an
action for breach of contract against the DOE for failing to dispose
of the nuclear waste that had been produced at the utilities'
nuclear power plants. The court made it clear that this was not a
contract dispute that could be resolved under the terms of the
agreement between DOE and the utilities; it was a complete breach of
the contract itself and therefore could be pursued in
court.
The court
specifically rejected the government's contention that the failure
to complete the nuclear waste repository by January 31, 1998, was
covered under the avoidable delay clause of the contract between DOE
and the utilities. For that clause to be effective, however, a
specific type of delay had to occur, namely in the delivery,
acceptance or transport of nuclear waste. That did not cover the
failure to build the repository, only delays that involved
individual contractors and which arose during the performance of the
contract; that is, after DOE began to dispose of the nuclear
waste.
The Court of
Appeals was very clear that Yankee Atomic's claim against DOE was
broader than the improper delays in performing DOE's contractual
obligations. The court agreed with Yankee Atomic that the government
had breached its contract. The Court also said that the breach
involved all the utilities that had signed the contract.
This was not the
first time the courts have ruled against DOE in this matter. In
1996, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia ruled
that DOE must proceed with nuclear waste removal and storage. The
federal courts also found that the federal government is now liable
for paying for the on-site storage at nuclear facilities across the
country. These decisions open DOE up to claims for breach of
contract with every U.S. nuclear power company, leaving the
government open to massive liability that will eventually fall upon
the taxpayers. Those projected costs range from $34 to $56 billion,
even as high as $80 billion.
Yet, contrary to
all common sense, anti-nuclear activists have fought against the
Yucca Mountain project every step of the way. Opposition rhetoric
has included misinformation such as claims that the site is certain
to leak radionuclides into the environment. In truth, ongoing
studies by DOE and huge technological investments to guarantee safe
storage will make sure that the Yucca Mountain site is perfectly
safe for used fuel.
Another scare
tactic to stop the Yucca Mountain depository has been the claim that
used nuclear fuel will be transported unsafely from power plants to
the site. Public Citizen's "Radioactive Roads and Rails" program
sends activists across the country to terrorize local residents with
stories of how the specially constructed storage containers will
leap from trucks and trains, breaking open and spilling their
contents like so many eggs or glass beakers. Of course, the
transportation program, like the repository in Nevada, is being
tested, re-tested, and tested again for safety and efficacy.
Transportation of used nuclear fuel happens all the time and there
has never been an accident that has released radiation harmful to
anyone.
Nuclear energy
is not the bogeyman that fringe groups claim. It is safe, clean,
abundant, and cheap. The only threat of nuclear power is a future
without it.
Wind, Solar, Synfuels and a Pile of
Manure
Despite
environmental activists' enthusiastic endorsements, alternative
energy produces less than 2.5 percent of America's electricity
needs. These sources cannot possibly meet our energy requirements
for the foreseeable future. Take wind, for example. Even if there
were enough wind to go around, wind energy would come at great cost.
In addition, contrary to popular myth, wind energy is not
environmentally friendly.
California leads
the nation in the production of wind energy. Four major wind farms,
employing more than 13,000 windmills, cover several thousand acres
in the state and they produce 2.9 billion kilowatts per year. By
contrast, a single coal-fired plant near Knoxville, Tennessee -- on
a fraction of the land -- produces 10 billion kilowatts per year.
Windmill blades are 58 feet long, produce a roar that can be heard
for miles, and kill unsuspecting birds. People who drive through the
Altamont Pass east of San Francisco see an unparalleled eyesore and
absorb some of the most obnoxious noise pollution.
In mid-1979,
President Jimmy Carter gave a speech summarizing his outsized
predictions for solar power. Carter's six-point energy plan included
"the most massive peacetime commitment of funds and resources in our
Nation's history to develop America's own alternative sources of
fuel." He set a goal of having 20 percent of the nation's
energy come from solar power by the year 2000 and asked Congress to
pass his "windfall profits tax" to fund this adventure. President
Carter got his tax-supported energy wish when Congress passed the
Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980. Today, that law raises
taxes on legitimate energy producers to subsidize production of
uneconomic "synfuels." The cost to taxpayers -- and viable energy
solutions -- is as much as $1 billion per year.
President
Carter's solar goal is nowhere in sight today, because the
technology is not there. All "renewable" energy sources account for
less than 2.5 percent of our energy production. With plentiful
untapped natural energy sources elsewhere, the need to replace them
is not apparent.
But the
uneconomic nature of solar power is just the tip of the iceberg.
Late last year, the Internal Revenue Service, which runs the
synfuels tax credit program, began looking into whether some of the
companies collecting taxpayer dollars were doing much of anything to
contribute to the nation's domestic fuel capacity. As reported by
the Charleston Sunday Gazette-Mail, one company sprays diesel
emulsions and gummy pine-tar mixtures over already marketable coal
in order to collect federal subsidies. Another synfuels producer
collecting taxpayer money refused to allow reporters to visit its
factory.
This creates a
new twist on the alchemy of olden times. Rather than magically
turning lead into gold, companies that benefit from government
synfuels subsidies may be magically turning coal into coal and
pocketing the gold -- millions of dollars in taxpayer funds -- for
their troubles. And, of course, this program kicks the legs out from
under legitimate small energy producers who do not have a federally
subsidized edge in the marketplace.
There are some
uses for solar power, and the technology may soon create more, but
we must not put the cart before the horse by shuttering existing
energy sources. When solar energy is viable, consumers will flock to
it in a way no government bureaucracy or environmental activist
could ever mandate.
Another
alternative fuel is biomass. The idea behind biomass is that useful
amounts of energy can be produced by burning all kinds of things,
from wood and wood waste, to peat wood, wood sludge, liquors,
railroad ties, pitch, straw, tires, landfill gases, fish oils, and,
yes, municipal solid waste.
Biomass is
neither economically feasible nor environmentally sound. It only
survives because of government subsidies, and it is much more costly
than gas-fired electric production. Biomass-based energy production
releases carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxide, and particulates into the
air. Such an energy source is not even "sustainable," like some
environmentalists believe. Wood is one of the most common fuels used
in biomass energy generation, and it is one of the items
environmental activists see as sacred.
The reality is
that alternative energy cannot possibly begin to replace fossil
fuels using current technology or any technology in the foreseeable
future. It is foolish to abandon the use of fossil fuels in favor of
whimsical, unproven energy experiments. When new and improved
technology delivers more efficient and even cleaner sources of
energy, Americans will not need to be convinced to use them because
their benefits will be obvious. The government should save the
billion dollars spent on alternative fuels for something truly
meaningful, like the war on terrorism.
Taxing, Regulating, and Spending Our Way to Energy
Failure
The free market
has been the most efficient mechanism for finding more and more
clean energy solutions -- and it will continue to do so if national
energy policies allow it.
Unfortunately,
policies at the federal, state, and local levels stand in the way of
energy progress. They add to the price we pay for energy by
siphoning off taxes, regulating in ways that prevent energy markets
from successfully meeting consumer demand, and doling out government
pork that props up waste and inefficiency in the energy
industry.
As an example,
consider the gasoline market. Gasoline prices spiked in the spring
of 2001. There were many contributors to that price hike.
First, federal
and state taxes comprise the second largest component of the price
of gas, smaller only than the cost of the crude oil from which the
gasoline is made. Taxes made up about 28 percent of the price of
gasoline in 2000: Federal excise taxes are 18.4 cents per gallon and
state excise taxes average about 20 cents per gallon. Some states
levy additional sales taxes, which are applied to the federal and
state excise taxes, meaning that consumers at the pump are paying
taxes on their taxes.
Second, in 1993,
as part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (OBRA), Congress
approved a 4.3-cent-per-gallon tax on gasoline as part of the effort
to eliminate the federal budget deficit. This was on top of the
2.5-cent-per-gallon tax instituted as part of OBRA 1990, bringing
the total to 6.8 cents per gallon. In response to the skyrocketing
price of gasoline in the spring of 2001, along with the elimination
of the reason for the tax in the first place (the budget now being
in balance), the House voted to repeal the 4.3-cent tax but the
Senate rejected a similar amendment.
Third, adding to
the tax burden are various regulations on how gas is formulated.
Different states and regions of the country have adopted different
requirements for how gas can be formulated. Some require gas to be
oxygenated. Some require gas to be reformulated with ethanol or
MTBE. And some require gas to be low-volatility, meaning it is
slower to evaporate. The United States is not a single energy
market, but a patchwork of small, boutique energy markets that have
been Balkanized by regulation. The laws of supply and demand cannot
work in the U.S. gasoline market because a gas shortage in one part
of the country cannot be satisfied by gas refined in a different
part of the country.
Gasoline is not
alone. Each type of energy has a confusing welter of taxes and
regulations that drive up costs and lower availability. Part of the
problem -- often portrayed as part of the solution -- are government
subsidies and support for various segments of the energy business.
This brand of corporate welfare is particularly pernicious because
it props up parts of the energy industry that should go out of
business and prevents the best energy solutions from rising to the
top.
Federal energy
subsidies take three principal forms: direct payments of taxpayer
dollars to producers and consumers; "tax expenditures," tax breaks
doled out by politicians to their pet projects; and research and
development expenditures, taxpayer money that is taken and awarded
to favored corporations.
A 1999 report by
the DOE determined that federal subsidies for different kinds of
energy were $4 billion annually. Direct expenditures like the
Renewable Energy Production Incentive were $4 million in fiscal
1999, far lower than the $82 million spent in fiscal 1992. The
exemption for ethanol from federal excise taxes exceeds $1 billion
yearly thanks to the ethanol industry and its savvy lobby. The two
largest subsidies were the alternative fuels production tax credit
and the percentage depletion allowance for the oil, gas, and coal
industries, followed by tax deferrals on enhanced oil recovery.
The best energy
solutions will not come from governments meddling with our energy
markets and pushing one fuel over another, or pulling private
business along with subsidies. The incentives are in place -- namely
the opportunity to earn profits -- for the private sector to fund
its own research and development, its own exploration and discovery,
and its own advances in technology.
California: How to Ruin Deregulation
While other
states have successfully deregulated their energy industries,
California slapped the name "deregulation" on a very different
policy of highly interventionist market "restructuring." This
foolish policy has nearly destroyed California's energy industry and
has adversely affected its economy.
Like Emperor
Nero fiddling while Rome burned, California for years refused to
develop new energy supplies while consistently increasing its energy
demands. As Bowden Russell wrote in the Palisades Times,
"California's response to its burgeoning population and
proliferation of energy hungry computers, faxes and cell phones?
Nothing, zip, zero, nada on the supply side." For 10 years, while
its population and the energy-hungry Internet grew, California did
not add a single significant, new major electrical-power generating
facility. From 1996 to 1999, electricity demand grew by 12 percent
while supply grew by less than 2 percent, according to the
California Utilities Commission.
This policy
failure by the state occurred because California's stringent
environmental regulations create an approval process under which it
takes three to five years to bring new plants from conception to
operation. The time to bring plants online in other Western states
can be as short as one year.
California's
regulators do not care if power plants get built. Their only
objective is to make sure that complex siting and environmental
rules are followed. Their mission is not to move the state forward
by managing the trade off between environmental goals and
cost-effective power for Californians; it is to stop
progress.
An elite few in
California decided years ago that they could have it both ways: they
could use all the energy they wanted, but they could have draconian
environmental laws that prevent energy production in the state. This
has put them on the precipice where they still sit.
On top of
California's decade-long foolishness with energy production came its
now-famous so-called "deregulation" scheme. This "deregulation" was
never deregulation at all. It was top-down, government-mandated
"restructuring," which might better be called
"destructioning."
Deregulation,
California-style, had nothing to do with reducing the role of the
politicians and bureaucrats in the energy business. It actually
increased the role politicians, businesses, and consumer and
environmental groups by allowing them to get together and re-jiggle
California's energy market. It was a cacophony of
incompetence.
In 1996,
Assemblyman Steve Peace (D) organized all the relevant players --
big industrial customers, utilities, environmental groups, and
consumer groups -- to get behind his electricity restructuring bill,
which passed the legislature unanimously. California's politicians
claimed the plan would provide consumers with more choice and lower
prices. Big business figured its purchasing power would allow it to
secure lower prices. Consumer and environmental groups got lots of
restrictions on how the utilities could operate, including price
controls -- the exact opposite of what happens in a deregulated
marketplace.
A little money
greased the deal all around. The consumer energy producer groups got
a guaranteed 10 percent rate cut -- something California power
consumers are more than paying for in higher rates today. Utilities,
meanwhile, made that money up by getting to charge customers a
"competitive transition charge." This was to help them recoup their
"stranded costs" -- or money lost to bad investments.
All this looks
like an electricity-dollar shell game and, sure enough, there was a
loser in the deal. Part of the "competitive transition charge"
arrangement was that new competitors had to charge this fee to
customers as well, handing the money over to the state. The upshot,
of course, was that no new competitors could afford to enter the
market, pay this extra fee, and provide energy at competitive rates.
The restructuring scheme protected existing players from competition
and prevented supply from meeting increasing demand. The losers were
California's consumers and taxpayers.
There is more to
this dramatic and failed experiment with political control over the
market for electricity. The next step was the creation of a
centralized marketplace called the California Power Exchange. The
restructuring law mandated that all electricity must be bought and
sold at the Power Exchange, and it prohibited buyers and sellers
from agreeing to individual contracts. Everyone had to pay the same
price offered on any given day, and it had to be the highest price
available that day. The Reason Public Policy Institute showed by
analogy how bad this idea is:
Imagine if you
were forbidden from buying groceries directly from a store, but had
to tell a "grocery exchange" what you planned to purchase next week.
In return, they came back to you with the prices you would pay. But
the exchange also required that if you had unexpected guests or a
change of appetite, and needed to increase your order on the day you
picked up your groceries, you would have to pay the price of the
most expensive brand on the shelf for any additional items you
required. Who would ever choose to participate in such a
market?
Nobody
would.
On top of this
heavy and backward regulation of power markets in California, the
restructuring law gave bureaucrats and politicians the power to
decide how energy companies could run their businesses. They would
judge whether power companies could own generation facilities,
whether they could upgrade transmission lines, whether they could
perform maintenance, and so on. Worst of all, regulators would set
the price the utilities could charge consumers.
With a natural
political instinct to keep consumer groups happy, regulators were
sure to set price caps low. In an unregulated market, when power
prices rise, consumers save energy and new production comes on line,
pushing prices down permanently. When price controls are
implemented, demand increases unnaturally, and no one has an
incentive to increase supply because there is no return on
investment. This is exactly what set the stage for California's
problems.
Meanwhile,
across the country, states are deregulating their energy markets
with enormous success. Both taxpayers and consumers are reaping the
rewards. The Center for the Advancement of Energy Markets has issued
a scorecard on how well states are doing in energy competition
policies. The Center's index measures the states' progress in
adopting policies that give consumers the ability to choose their
electricity suppliers. This freedom leads to competition and low
prices.
Pennsylvania,
for example, ranks highest in the Center's survey. Unlike
California, Pennsylvania has 39,000 megawatts of new generation
capacity planned in the next five years and expects to remain a
power exporter. The state is giving consumers choice in where they
buy their electricity. It is educating consumers about their options
and giving them incentives to shop around. Twenty-four percent of
Pennsylvania's electricity is bought from competitive suppliers and,
this year, the 300,000 Pennsylvania households who have not selected
an electricity provider will be assigned a "default" electricity
provider other than the local utility.
Before
deregulation in Pennsylvania, electric rates were 15 percent above
the national average. Now, they are more than 4 percent below the
national average, translating to savings of $3 billion to consumers.
The state government is also saving on energy costs.
Among the
500,000 consumers who have switched electricity providers, 20
percent have chosen some form of clean or renewable energy. Without
the heavy hand of government, and without the pressure from special
interests, consumers who value the environment are stepping up and
doing something about it -- paying a little bit more for energy that
they believe is cleaner.
New York earns
top scores from the Center's survey, as well. Generation of
electricity is completely deregulated in the state. Unlike
California, where utilities have to buy through the bureaucratic
Power Exchange, most utilities rely on long-term contracts for much
of their electricity. This insulates them from fluctuations in spot
markets. In the wake of California's troubles, there is a push on
for more generation and, notably, New York is encouraging
small-scale generation near customers, such as fuel cells that power
individual office buildings.
In Maine, all
customers became eligible to choose among electricity providers in
2000. Thirty percent of Maine's electricity is bought from
competitive suppliers, the highest in the nation. Except in very hot
weather, Maine has twice the generating capacity it needs, which
means it is a net power exporter.
Maryland is
another positive example. It gives 92 percent of its electricity
users the option to choose among electricity suppliers. At the end
of 2001, cooperatives will also be able to choose. Maryland even
allows meter reading to be a competitive service provided by a third
party. This is another way to squeeze out inefficiency and save
consumers money. Recognizing California's failure to get the right
energy-environment mix, Maryland plans to build an additional 41,000
megawatts of generating capacity.
Deregulation in
each for these four states has moved their electricity markets in
the same direction. They have increasingly allowed entrepreneurs to
build energy plants based on the entrepreneurs' best estimates of
what consumer demand will be. They require businesspeople to risk
their own money, allowing them to keep the rewards if their risks
pay off. Plus, they reduce the government-sponsored monopoly status
that has dominated energy production and delivery in the past.
Private-sector competition drives prices down for the benefit of
consumers.
If California
had truly deregulated its electricity markets, adjustments would
have been made seamlessly over the last few years to head off the
economic problems that still loom in that state. One of the obvious
adjustments would have been to add new energy supplies. Instead,
special interests and shortsighted politicians thwarted that
logic.
Conclusion
After September
11, every issue takes on new meaning. While energy policy was a
significant national security matter prior to that date, it now
becomes a matter of paramount importance. Although the current
situation in Afghanistan and the Middle East has not affected oil
supplies, the nations that ship oil to the West could become
unstable in the future. Should that occur, the shock to the U.S.
economy on the brink of recession would be dramatic.
Other than the
opposition of certain organizations and legislators, there is no
sound reason not to pursue the goals set forward in this
publication. Continued reluctance on the part of legislators and
special interests to recognize the national security implications of
failing to proceed with increased domestic energy production could
be portrayed as unpatriotic.
There are myriad
successful paths to pursue a sound energy policy that helps the
United States become less dependent on foreign sources of energy and
improve efficiency. Promoting domestic exploration and production;
eliminating funds for programs that are not viable; and reducing
taxes and regulation that impede development and distribution are
essential to success. Until Congress fully addresses fundamental
energy policy reform, the future of our nation will hang in the
balance. |