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08-11-2001

POLITICS: Will That Be Six Cylinders or Eight for Your Grocery Cart, Ma'am?

Can you imagine one transportation initiative that would put real money in
the pockets of working families, increase fuel efficiency without the
slightest compromise of passenger safety, and benefit the environment-all
without a penny of cost to, or a syllable of regulation from, the federal
government?

You don't have to imagine it. It's been here, although unremarked, all through the recent energy bill debate over what the suburbanization of light trucks should mean for the fuel regulation of light trucks. Issued in the mid-1970s, when the invasion of the SUV was barely a gleam in Detroit's eye, the Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards mandated gas-mileage minimums for all models in a specific class of vehicles, but went easy on the class into which SUVs now fall. An amendment, co-sponsored by Reps. Edward J. Markey, D-Mass., and Sherwood L. Boehlert, R-N.Y., would have brought the CAFE standard for SUVs to parity with that of other passenger vehicles as of 2007. On August 1, the amendment was defeated, 160-269. (A slight increase in the overall CAFE standards did pass the House.)

Environmentalists hope that the Senate will act differently, but even if it doesn't, there is a surefire strategy that they can employ. The strategy is so simple that it can be explained in three words: two-wheel drive. It can be supplemented with two more words that carry less weight, both in terms of market share and environmental impact, but some weight nonetheless: six cylinders.

Automotives for dummies: Four-wheel drive means more vehicle weight, which means more fuel use, even if the vehicle is never put into four-wheel-drive mode. More horsepower means a bigger engine, which also means more fuel use. It follows that two-wheel drive and fewer cylinders-features both readily available in gleaming, spacious SUVs being sold at a dealership near you-mean greater fuel efficiency. It also follows that, without touching a hair on the head of the auto industry, consumers can, to a meaningful degree, succeed whether or not the effort to close the "SUV loophole" ultimately fails.

It was surprising to me (actually, it was surprising to the congressional staffer who pointed this out to me, at which point it became surprising to me) that such specific, practical considerations got virtually no attention in the course of such a heated debate over such a specific, practical policy question. According to statistics supplied by Detroit-based Ward's Communications, which tracks the auto industry, 68 percent of the SUV models manufactured in the United States in 2000 had four-wheel drive. A significant minority-more than 28 percent-had eight-cylinder engines. Somewhat oddly, then, environmentalists framed this issue strictly as a matter of what type of SUV automakers can be ordered to manufacture in the future-when it is clearly also a matter of what type of SUV that people choose to buy right now.

Thus were drawn the familiar battle lines between the friends and enemies of regulation. Opponents of the amendment argued that the CAFE standards are generally counterproductive; that broadening them would benefit foreign manufacturers at the expense of American ones, and thus cost some U.S. workers their jobs-all the while spiking the number of highway deaths due to the production of lighter-weight vehicles. Advocates of the amendment argued that the hike would help the environment without hurting Detroit, which, they say, has the technology for safe efficiency and-no small thanks to the obese profit margin on those SUVs-the resources to implement it.

Now, there are many instances where a given industry should be held accountable for hazards over which the consumer has no control. But the environmental impact of SUVs is not one of them, at least not entirely-and that's not just because it's the consumer's choice to buy an SUV in the first place. Take the popular Ford Explorer. Using the prices quoted on edmunds.com, a Ford Explorer XLT with four-wheel drive costs $29,745. The same model with two-wheel drive costs $27,780, almost $2,000 less. According to Jason Mark, director of the clean-vehicle project at the Union of Concerned Scientists, the two-wheel drive weighs 250 pounds less and will get more than an additional mile per gallon. Et voila: the customer who chooses the two-wheel drive saves a bundle at the dealership, plus a bit at the pump, and does more to save the earth than he would do in eons of sorting paper from plastic.

Needless to say, in a car market that now includes the electric-gas hybrid engine, a mile or two more per gallon is hardly the clean-air cutting edge. But the whole focus here is squeezing more out of the SUV-and in that very narrow regard, this option is remarkably handy. It does not ask Americans who need and want to drive big, high, wide trucklets not to drive big, high, wide trucklets, or even to drive them less. All it does ask is that people who are suburban soccer moms and dads, and not cowboys or jungle trackers or Nordic woodsmen, acknowledge, at the point of purchase, that they are suburban soccer moms and dads, and not cowboys or jungle trackers or Nordic woodsmen.

Uh-oh. Houston, we have a problem: a self-image problem.

"It's the whole mythology of the rugged American, off-roading with gadgets and gizmos," says Sierra Club spokesman Allen Mattison. "It doesn't appeal to your psyche as a big grocery cart." So, according to the strangely harmonious account of environmentalists and auto-industry lobbyists, the fact that the SUV frequently is a big grocery cart mustn't intrude on our psyches-even if that psychic preservation comes at the cost of precisely the kind of environmental impact from precisely the kind of vehicle debated earlier this month.

Of course, there are drivers who legitimately have loads to haul or treacherous roads to face. My problem isn't with them. Then again, a large part of the SUV market isn't about them. True, sales of four-wheel drive vehicles do skew heavily to the north. But let's face it: "the north" isn't just Maine and Minnesota; it's New Jersey and Delaware. And while most SUVs are built with the V6 engine, rather than the V8, and the V6-to-V8 ratio is growing in favor of the V6, huge V8s such as the Chevy Tahoe keep selling like hotcakes. To the degree that most SUV purchases involve need, it is widely acknowledged to involve not what buyers do need, but what buyers might need.

"The SUV is all about capabilities," says Jon Harmon, director of truck communications at Ford. "It's the `occasional imperative'; people who get a V8 engine because they tow a boat twice a year."

Hey, what's wrong with that? If one usually hits the mall but might one day hit a snowbank and can afford the gizmo that will get one out of that snowbank, why not go for it? There's nothing wrong with that-provided that one is either among those who see no real relationship between fuel emissions and the environment, or among those who are untroubled by it. Otherwise, one could not, of course, dream of buying a vehicle fit for once-in-a-blue-moon heroics and then using it for everyday schlepping.

None of this is necessarily to dismiss environmentalists' push for industry-wide modification of SUVs. It is certainly arguable that the action of consumers cannot make anywhere near the impact that the action of an entire industry could. But it is undeniable that consumer choice has been-awful pun alert-fueling the growth of SUVs, in dimension and quantity. After all, fuel efficiency, which involves the rate at which an engine uses fuel, has been on the increase year after year. But fuel economy-gas mileage-has declined. Why? Consumer demand. Eron Shosteck, manager of communications for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, Inc. cites a survey, published in October 2000: "Of 26 things that people look for in new vehicles, gas mileage is 25th." Thus, it is ridiculous to excoriate an industry's failure to regulate itself, without so much as mentioning consumers' failure to regulate themselves.

God, I hate to sound like such a shrew. No one needs lipstick or cable television or chocolate mousse or wrapping paper. Everyone needs a good dose of self-delusion. But in this instance, a little rational cost-benefit analysis does seem to be in order. After all, the purchase of a vehicle is one of the most important environmental decisions anyone makes-certainly more important than whether to drink from Styrofoam or bundle today's newspapers. On the list of personal-conservation offenses, purchasing gas-thirsty superfluities just for the kick of knowing they are there has got to be close to the top. Doing so while damning the thought of drilling in the Arctic is over the top.

"The Sierra Club has 700,000 members," says Shosteck. "I'd like to see how many of those people buy eight-cylinder SUVs."

Frankly, so would I.

Tish Durkin National Journal
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